SDS Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 Arizona Zogby had it +6% for Bush Final +11% for Bush Arkansas Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +9% for Bush Colorado Zogby had it too close to call Final +7% for Bush Florida Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry Final +5% for Bush Iowa Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final still TBD Michigan Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Minnesota Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Missouri Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final Result +8% for Bush Nevada Zogby had it too close to call Final +3% for Bush New Hampshire Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry New Mexico Zogby had it +3% for Kerry Final - still TBD North Carolina Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +13% for Bush Oregon Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +5% for Kerry Ohio Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry Final TBD Pennsylvania Zogby had it trending Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Tennessee Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush Virginia Zogby had it slight edge for Bush Final +8% for Bush Washington Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +7% for Kerry West Virginia Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush Wisconsin Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry
SDS Posted November 3, 2004 Author Posted November 3, 2004 BTW, these were his 5 pm numbers YESTERDAY.
Lori Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 Apparently, Dick Morris has a piece in the Post today suggesting a deliberate attempt at vote fraud by the exit pollers. (Unfortunately, nypost.com doesn't want to work right now....)
stuckincincy Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 ArizonaZogby had it +6% for Bush Final +11% for Bush Arkansas Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +9% for Bush Colorado Zogby had it too close to call Final +7% for Bush Florida Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry Final +5% for Bush Iowa Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final still TBD Michigan Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Minnesota Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Missouri Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final Result +8% for Bush Nevada Zogby had it too close to call Final +3% for Bush New Hampshire Zogby had it +5% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry New Mexico Zogby had it +3% for Kerry Final - still TBD North Carolina Zogby had it +3% for Bush Final +13% for Bush Oregon Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +5% for Kerry Ohio Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry Final TBD Pennsylvania Zogby had it trending Kerry Final Result +3% for Kerry Tennessee Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush Virginia Zogby had it slight edge for Bush Final +8% for Bush Washington Zogby had it +10% for Kerry Final Result +7% for Kerry West Virginia Zogby had it +4% for Bush Final +14% for Bush Wisconsin Zogby had it +6% for Kerry Final Result +1% for Kerry 99532[/snapback] Which Zogby poll? The onse people pay for, or the on-line one which is much like voting for one of the myriad idiotic "reality" shows? Not defending Zogby, but they are different.
SDS Posted November 3, 2004 Author Posted November 3, 2004 I believe these were HIS 5:00 pm predictions on how the race would go.
stuckincincy Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 I believe these were HIS 5:00 pm predictions on how the race would go. 99701[/snapback] Likely so...the interactive one got ridiculed a month and a half or so ago. Polls may be on the outs, anyway. Cell phones, call blocking, polled people's names being packaged into databases and sold, skewing by pollster and recspondent alike and so forth.
John Adams Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 Is there any poll that accurately called this state by state?
BuffaloBorn1960 Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 Is there any poll that accurately called this state by state? 99776[/snapback] Yes.... Its called the national election
stuckincincy Posted November 3, 2004 Posted November 3, 2004 Is there any poll that accurately called this state by state? 99776[/snapback] I'm sure there were good number, at least of the cherry-picking variety. That NY and CA, or AL or MT were respective slam-dunks is no surprise. But in my opinion, the endless number of 1000 plus or minus 3% polls are suspect and hard to think how they could claim statistical significance - so many variables, so much subjectivity. The political polling business is iffy IMO at best, and the sellers of same certainly tout them as valid because that's how they get their $$$. But they are pretty good when they exist as product surveys or as purchasing trends - harder data. As an aside, a local radio personality, comedian Gary Burbank, has long run a feature called "The Senseless Survey", with inane questions, yet people answer with sincerity. It's hilarious. But people like to be asked their opinion - we all do to this degree or that. There will never be anything empirical with regard to opinion polling.
SDS Posted November 3, 2004 Author Posted November 3, 2004 Is there any poll that accurately called this state by state? 99776[/snapback] my untrustworthy political hack sources claim that Hotline says Mason-Dixon was the winner. Pew is close also (nationally at least).
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