billsfaninnyc Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 This is an interesting site about playoff chances - basically, 11-5 is the only real way to assure they get in.... http://playoffstatus.com/nfl/billswhatif.html
drnykterstein Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 Well, the Bills made the playoffs. They lose another game and they are done for the season.
SuperBills12 Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 5 game season...every week is elimination week. This team thrives anyway when the odds are stacked against them and no one pays attention
lets_go_bills Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 Ever since we lost all three divisional game I've been saying we had to go 11 and 5, and it's still holding true. While not impossible, it is a tall order. The only way 10 and 6 gets us in is if the Pats, Fish, Ravens, and Colts all s**t the bed.
Arkady Renko Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 28% of making the playoffs at 10-6 seems a little low. Missing the playoffs at 10-6 is rather rare nowadays.
lets_go_bills Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 28% of making the playoffs at 10-6 seems a little low. Missing the playoffs at 10-6 is rather rare nowadays. It's all about tie-breakers at 10-6.
Arkady Renko Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 It's all about tie-breakers at 10-6. Yes, but how often does it even come down to that? I know the Browns missed at 10-6 last year, but that's rare.
Tortured Soul Posted November 24, 2008 Posted November 24, 2008 I added it up once. About 80% of 10-6 teams make the playoffs. About 15% of 9-7 teams do.
BLZFAN4LIFE Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 It's all about tie-breakers at 10-6. ... and those early season wins against NFC opponents kill us there.
drnykterstein Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 ... and those early season wins against NFC opponents kill us there. I know!!! We should have lost those games. If the Bills were smart they'd lose to SF this week.
daytonajay Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 the cleveland game was a killer!!!!!!!!!!!!
Chick Marmelade Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 We should have won at least one divisional game and the Cleveland game - win either one and we'd control our own destiny and need to win out. Win both, and we'd be in the drivers seat for a wild card... I hope we make it, but to win out is tough, and even then we need help. Maybe next year...
Orton's Arm Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 28% of making the playoffs at 10-6 seems a little low. Missing the playoffs at 10-6 is rather rare nowadays. It's not as rare as it used to be. In the past you had 28 teams in the league competing for six playoff spots per conference. Now there are 32 teams competing for those same six spots in each conference. With more competitors going after the same number of playoff spots, getting one of those six spots is tougher now than it used to be.
marauderswr80 Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 Being 0-3 in the division dont help our chances at all....... If we are not going to make the playoffs, id rather be worse then 11-5 due to better draft position.
LABills08 Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 Being 0-3 in the division dont help our chances at all....... If we are not going to make the playoffs, id rather be worse then 11-5 due to better draft position. Agreed regarding the Cleveland game, that really killed us. Although even with that win, we would still essentially be in a must win situation since our season was going to come down to how we played our division. The good news, if there is any, is that notwithstanding any injuries next week, I think we have a good shot against the Pats, Dolphins and Jets. It is tough luck for the Bills in a sense, as critical of them as I am, the Jets, Pats, Dolphins and Bills are on a pretty level playing field. In all three games we had our chances. We were just outplayed in all 3 game.....or even more significantly, we were outcoached. So long as win against the niners and Dolphins, I could see the remaining 3 games all be nail biters. Though I must say, as much as I hate the Jets, they are playing much better football now than earlier in the season.
BuffOrange Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 28% of making the playoffs at 10-6 seems a little low. Missing the playoffs at 10-6 is rather rare nowadays. The schedules of the Colts & Pats say otherwise.
PTS Posted November 25, 2008 Posted November 25, 2008 It's all about tie-breakers at 10-6. You can't look at tiebreakers now if we are assuming the Bills win out or go 4 of 5 while winning their three divisional games. If that happens the tiebreakers will be completely different than what we see today. Outside of catching the Jets, the Bills have a possibility of grabbing that final spot over the Ravens. Well as long as they don't revert back into Jauron football. We REALLY need the Broncos to do us a huge favor this week and bring the Jets within one game.
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