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Let's get down to business here TBD


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Currently:

 

Arizona rated #4 in passing offense at 290.8YPG

Bills rated #12 @ 217.5YPG

Nod to Arizona

 

Buffalo is #6 in NFL Pass Defense with 168.5 YPG/6.17YPA

Arizona rated #16 in Pass Defense with 204.5YPG

Nod to Bills

 

+122YPG in favor of Arizona Passing

+ 13YPG in favor of Bills Passing

Nod to Arizona for passing game

 

Arizona is rated #14 in the NFL in rushing defense @ 101.3YPG

Buffalo is rated #18 in the NFL in rushing defense @ 112YPG

Nod to Arizona

 

Buffalo rated #20 in Rushing offense at 102YPG

Arizona rated #25 in rusing offense at 87YPG

Nod to Bills

 

-25YPG rushing for Arizona

+0.7YPG rushing for Bills

Nod to Bills for rushing game

 

Like Arizona's chances if they pass a lot. Like Buffalo's chances if the Bills make them run.

So to summarize, you give the nod to the Bills passing defense and the nod to Arizona's passing offense. And you give the nod to the Arizona's rushing defense and the nod to Buffalo's rushing offense. What exactly does that mean?

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Currently:

 

Arizona rated #4 in passing offense at 290.8YPG

Bills rated #12 @ 217.5YPG

Nod to Arizona

 

Buffalo is #6 in NFL Pass Defense with 168.5 YPG/6.17YPA

Arizona rated #16 in Pass Defense with 204.5YPG

Nod to Bills

 

+122YPG in favor of Arizona Passing

+ 13YPG in favor of Bills Passing

Nod to Arizona for passing game

 

Arizona is rated #14 in the NFL in rushing defense @ 101.3YPG

Buffalo is rated #18 in the NFL in rushing defense @ 112YPG

Nod to Arizona

 

Buffalo rated #20 in Rushing offense at 102YPG

Arizona rated #25 in rusing offense at 87YPG

Nod to Bills

 

-25YPG rushing for Arizona

+0.7YPG rushing for Bills

Nod to Bills for rushing game

 

Like Arizona's chances if they pass a lot. Like Buffalo's chances if the Bills make them run.

 

Can you explain how you reached those numbers, please.

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So to summarize, you give the nod to the Bills passing defense and the nod to Arizona's passing offense. And you give the nod to the Arizona's rushing defense and the nod to Buffalo's rushing offense. What exactly does that mean?

The most telling stat is Arizona is +109YPG over Buffalo in passing. On a paper field, that equals a TD. Rushing is only about 25YPG in favor of the Bills. Not enough for a TD or FG on a paper field (assuming the team starts on it's 1 yard line in both cases). Admittedly, Arizona's passing stats got skewed last week.

 

If the Bills take the passing game away from Arizona and make them run, statistically the Bills should win. If Arizona sticks with the passing game, statistically they should win. I am NOT a statistician, so factor that in too!

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