ans4e64 Posted January 5, 2007 Posted January 5, 2007 So I'm the only one who thinks Dallas will beat Seattle without the spread lol?
IDBillzFan Posted January 5, 2007 Posted January 5, 2007 I don't agree with this. The Giants are in serious disarray, a team that was blown out several times and is almost embarrased to be in the playoffs at all. There's always a bit of uncertainly in a big rivalry game, but I just can't see the G-men rising to the occassion against a confident Philly team. I agree. Philly is playing football the way it was meant to be played: as a team with everyone finding a way to contribute. I think this is aided by the fact that Garcia doesn't have a favorite receiver, so he's just going through his progressions in an offense he knows really well. The Giants are the complete opposite, and I will go so far as to predict that when the game is over, Coughlin is gone. On the other hand, I think the spread is too big and will stay far away from this game from a gambling standpoint. I would not, however, be surprised to see Philly in the Super Bowl. I agree that Manning won't be stopped easily, but Larry Johnon might keep him on the bench.I think the Bills laid down the blueprint on how to beat the Colts, even though we were unsuccessful: slow, methodical, clock-killing run-based offense, and then have your cornerback push Marvin out of bounds any time he jukes to the outside. I suspect this game, like a lot of the late-season Colt games, will come down to a game-winning/losing drive by Manning. I don't like the big number but I see the Pats controlling this game from start to finish. They won't lose at home to the Jets twice in two months. I think this is the one game the Pats win in the playoffs, but my favorite bet all week has been the Jets getting 8 1/2 points. I just don't see a blowout here.
Tcali Posted January 5, 2007 Posted January 5, 2007 My picks: LOCK of the Week: NY Giants over Philadelphia: Why? No logic needed....."Experts" are all over the Eagles now...they are the 'hip pick' now..So now the Giants will play their best game...after all this is the MFL....NY always seems to beat Philly in these kinds of matchups in virtually every sport...why that is I have no idea. Giants 28 Eagles 23 Seattle over Dallas: Now Tony can spend more time with Carrie. I was fooled by the Cowboys in November. Cinderella Romo: It is almost Midnight. Seattle 31 Dallas 20 Indianapolis over Kansas City: Manning will feast on the KC defense. KC will keep it somewhat close, but you will never get a true sense they can win the game. Indy 38 Chiefs 27 New England over the Jets: Low scoring game on the docket here. I do not see it being close however. Brady will avenge the loss from earlier this year. Pats 24 Jets 10 What are your picks? Philly 30 Giants 6 NE 17 JETS 16 KC34 INDY 33 Dallas 23 Seattle 9
Prognastic Posted January 5, 2007 Posted January 5, 2007 Dallas 38 Seattle 31 Seattle's secondary which is shot is going up against TO and Glenn who like them or not, come up big in big games. NE 28 NYJ 10 - The Pats are gonna crush the Jets. No more toying around with them. Indy 35 KC 25 - Manning makes enough plays and takes an early lead to partially negate KC's strength Philly 24 NYG 17 - Giants are just cooked. This batch of players has to go as does Coughlin.
SportsGamer Posted January 6, 2007 Posted January 6, 2007 Who's going to win this weekend? SportsGamer actually used Madden 2007 to simulate the playoffs to see who's going to win. It's a pretty interesting read, and there are a couple surprises you should check out, complete with game stats. Here's the link: http://www.sportsgamer.com/content/357/spo...sing-madden-07/ Also, if you play Madden 2007, SportsGamer also has some great Madden tips & strategies if you want to beat up on your friends. Are the SportsGamer predictions accurate? What are your thoughts? Daniel
Dwight Drane Posted January 8, 2007 Posted January 8, 2007 Although I was hoping to receive a two possession spread with betting on the Chiefs, I still think they are coming with some value as expecting the Colts to win by two possessions is a lot to ask for- and it is not rocket science to why this is the case. As long as the Colts possess the worst run defense in the league, they will continue to find it hard to win by comfortable margins of victories, especially against teams that possess potent running games that can magnify their deficiencies, which the Chiefs are considered to have. Expect the Chiefs to establish a running game from the get go. The Chiefs possess what might be the best interior offensive line in football and what might be the best running back in the game in wearing down opposing fronts. The Colts lack size up front, and are extremely vulnerable to be getting worn down. Expect the Chiefs to establish an interior power game early on where they have the clear cut advantage to be able to grind out 4 yards on a consistent basis with an occasional big run. Even with stacked boxes, the Colts have failed miserably in trying to curtail oppositions running games. Although the return of Sanders should improve their run defense, he will more than likely be unable to make the impact most people are giving credit for. Not only is he coming off a long lay off that will hinder his game shape and limit the amount of plays that he will be in the game for, but he is still playing nowhere near 100 percent and won’t be the force that allowed him to be a pro bowler last year. Also, a strong safety can only do so much, as their role is to stop the bleeding a running game, not stop the running game, as they are a second level defender. The Chiefs should also be successful in attacking the Chiefs perimeter with Johnson in order to wear down the Colts edge rushers, making them less of a factor in pass rushing situations. Most importantly, the huge running advantage in which the Chiefs possess will keep Manning off the field and limit the chances the Colts get on offense to blow the Chiefs out. The Chiefs should also employ an ideal passing game plan against the Colts. Expect the running game to soften up the Colts defense, which should allow Green to play within his means, and use more three and five step drops compared to the last three games in which he struggled. With a stacked box, the Colts will find it hard to double up on Gonzalez, which should allow Green’s favorite passing option to find mismatches throughout the game against the Cover 2 is tight end friendly to begin with. Although the Colts pass defense ranks second in the league, that number is very misleading, as they allow quarterbacks to employ a very efficient passing game plan if they are willing to take what is given to them. The Colts are very generous in giving the opposition underneath routes and first level passes that chip away at the field. This is the exact role Green is best at, a role that will also allow him to gain much needed confidence after putting forth three sub par games in a row. Also, expect the short rhythm passes to offset the improving pass rush in which the Colts have been displaying in recent games. Johnson is also a potent receiver coming out of the backfield, which has proven to be a huge asset against this Colts team, whose over pursuing tendencies has made the running back screen pass an effective play against them. The Chiefs have been effective all year inside the red zone in large part because this is where Johnson shines the most. The Colts defense on the other hand rank near the bottom of the league in red zone defense in large part because of their inability to stop the running game is magnified inside the 20. Add these two variables together, and it’s hard to imagine the Chiefs not being dominant inside the red zone in this game. Simply put, expect a lot of time consuming drives by the Chiefs that take little risk and keep the Colts offense off the field. Teams have been really successful employing such a game plan against the Colts, and there is no reason that a team that is built for such a game plan will be otherwise. Although there is rarely a lot to like on the defensive side of the ball when betting against the Colts, there are a few things that I like on the Chiefs defense that makes me think it will be hard for the Colts to blow them out. In the past years, the Colts game plan was to score early with aggressive passing plays in hopes to take out the oppositions running game. However, this year, employing this type of game plan has not been successful for the Colts for a variety of reasons. First of all, their offense has not been as potent making it hard for them to establish an early comfortable lead. Secondly, their defense has been so bad, that allowing points early has been nearly impossible to stop. Thirdly, even when they have established early leads, opponents have stayed committed to the running game, allowing them to be effective with their offense throughout the game. This has forced the Colts offense into a more methodical approach that chips away at the field and eats up a lot of clock as well, thus giving them less chances to blow opponents out. This should hold especially true against and Edwards 2 type defense that employs a bend don’t break philosophy that forces teams to have to chip away at the field. Expect the Colts to be committed to the running game in this game, which is a good thing for the seven point barrier to not be broken. When the Colts do elect to pass, they will be forced to use a heavy dose of complimentary receivers, as the Chiefs Cover 2 coupled with two solid corners has made it hard for opponents to go to their go to guys. Law has had a lot of experience and success against Harrison, and with outside help, should limit his production on Saturday. Surtain’s style of play, coupled with the Cover 2 philosophy also leads me to believe that Wayne’s productivity in this game will be limited to a first level passing threat. This will force Manning to have to rely more on his less potent passing options like Clark, who will not be playing 100 percent, and his ailing knee injury will limit his production downfield. Simply put, it is hard to imagine that the Colts offense will not be successful in moving the ball. However, the Chiefs possess fundamental traits on defense which will force the Colts to have to eat up clock, chip away at the field, making them more prone to mistakes, in order to be able to move the ball. This is not ideal for a team that has to win by two possessions to cover the spread. Cons: Home field advantage is magnified in this game. The Colts have always been a much more potent team inside their dome. Their offensive style is built for the fast track, as it magnifies their assets. The same could be said for their defense, which heavily relies on speed to be effective. However, the intangible effects of their home field advantage often goes unnoticed and has allowed them to go undefeated once again at home. Their offense heavily relies on communication and no huddles, two variables that are a lot easier in a quiet place, while their defense seems to play with a lot more intensity and emotion and home, something that is vital and helps mask their deficiencies. Not only are the Colts much more potent at home, but the Chiefs have always been a much less dangerous team on the road. This year is no different as they have only managed 3 wins all year away from Arrowhead. Playing off surface is also not good for a team in the playoffs. The return of Sanders increases the chances of the Colts improving their biggest weakness. Johnson set the single season carry record last year, making one have to ponder how much he has left in the tank and if he is equipped to carrying 35 plus times. In the past, the Colts have not been a dangerous team to lay a lot of points on, as they could score as easily as any other team, rarely let up, and are a hard team to backdoor cover, as their defense becomes much more effective against a one dimensional passing game. Green has looked horrible of late. Conclusion: I have no problem betting against the Colts anytime they have to win by two scores to cover, as their run defense is just too bad. Expect Johnson and the Chiefs running game to be effective enough to keep this game close, as it will allow them to put up enough points and limit the chances Manning gets to blow them out. They lack the ideal defense to pull off an upset, but have the ideal defense to prevent a blow out. I will take the points in this showdown. If I ever get arrested in NH, remind me not to hire you as my lawyer
Nanker Posted January 8, 2007 Posted January 8, 2007 Although I was hoping to receive a two possession spread with betting on the Chiefs, I still think they are coming with some value as expecting the Colts to win by two possessions is a lot to ask for- and it is not rocket science to why this is the case. As long as the Colts possess the worst run defense in the league, they will continue to find it hard to win by comfortable margins of victories, especially against teams that possess potent running games that can magnify their deficiencies, which the Chiefs are considered to have. Expect the Chiefs to establish a running game from the get go. The Chiefs possess what might be the best interior offensive line in football and what might be the best running back in the game in wearing down opposing fronts. The Colts lack size up front, and are extremely vulnerable to be getting worn down. Expect the Chiefs to establish an interior power game early on where they have the clear cut advantage to be able to grind out 4 yards on a consistent basis with an occasional big run. Even with stacked boxes, the Colts have failed miserably in trying to curtail oppositions running games. Although the return of Sanders should improve their run defense, he will more than likely be unable to make the impact most people are giving credit for. Not only is he coming off a long lay off that will hinder his game shape and limit the amount of plays that he will be in the game for, but he is still playing nowhere near 100 percent and won’t be the force that allowed him to be a pro bowler last year. Also, a strong safety can only do so much, as their role is to stop the bleeding a running game, not stop the running game, as they are a second level defender. The Chiefs should also be successful in attacking the Chiefs perimeter with Johnson in order to wear down the Colts edge rushers, making them less of a factor in pass rushing situations. Most importantly, the huge running advantage in which the Chiefs possess will keep Manning off the field and limit the chances the Colts get on offense to blow the Chiefs out. The Chiefs should also employ an ideal passing game plan against the Colts. Expect the running game to soften up the Colts defense, which should allow Green to play within his means, and use more three and five step drops compared to the last three games in which he struggled. With a stacked box, the Colts will find it hard to double up on Gonzalez, which should allow Green’s favorite passing option to find mismatches throughout the game against the Cover 2 is tight end friendly to begin with. Although the Colts pass defense ranks second in the league, that number is very misleading, as they allow quarterbacks to employ a very efficient passing game plan if they are willing to take what is given to them. The Colts are very generous in giving the opposition underneath routes and first level passes that chip away at the field. This is the exact role Green is best at, a role that will also allow him to gain much needed confidence after putting forth three sub par games in a row. Also, expect the short rhythm passes to offset the improving pass rush in which the Colts have been displaying in recent games. Johnson is also a potent receiver coming out of the backfield, which has proven to be a huge asset against this Colts team, whose over pursuing tendencies has made the running back screen pass an effective play against them. The Chiefs have been effective all year inside the red zone in large part because this is where Johnson shines the most. The Colts defense on the other hand rank near the bottom of the league in red zone defense in large part because of their inability to stop the running game is magnified inside the 20. Add these two variables together, and it’s hard to imagine the Chiefs not being dominant inside the red zone in this game. Simply put, expect a lot of time consuming drives by the Chiefs that take little risk and keep the Colts offense off the field. Teams have been really successful employing such a game plan against the Colts, and there is no reason that a team that is built for such a game plan will be otherwise. Although there is rarely a lot to like on the defensive side of the ball when betting against the Colts, there are a few things that I like on the Chiefs defense that makes me think it will be hard for the Colts to blow them out. In the past years, the Colts game plan was to score early with aggressive passing plays in hopes to take out the oppositions running game. However, this year, employing this type of game plan has not been successful for the Colts for a variety of reasons. First of all, their offense has not been as potent making it hard for them to establish an early comfortable lead. Secondly, their defense has been so bad, that allowing points early has been nearly impossible to stop. Thirdly, even when they have established early leads, opponents have stayed committed to the running game, allowing them to be effective with their offense throughout the game. This has forced the Colts offense into a more methodical approach that chips away at the field and eats up a lot of clock as well, thus giving them less chances to blow opponents out. This should hold especially true against and Edwards 2 type defense that employs a bend don’t break philosophy that forces teams to have to chip away at the field. Expect the Colts to be committed to the running game in this game, which is a good thing for the seven point barrier to not be broken. When the Colts do elect to pass, they will be forced to use a heavy dose of complimentary receivers, as the Chiefs Cover 2 coupled with two solid corners has made it hard for opponents to go to their go to guys. Law has had a lot of experience and success against Harrison, and with outside help, should limit his production on Saturday. Surtain’s style of play, coupled with the Cover 2 philosophy also leads me to believe that Wayne’s productivity in this game will be limited to a first level passing threat. This will force Manning to have to rely more on his less potent passing options like Clark, who will not be playing 100 percent, and his ailing knee injury will limit his production downfield. Simply put, it is hard to imagine that the Colts offense will not be successful in moving the ball. However, the Chiefs possess fundamental traits on defense which will force the Colts to have to eat up clock, chip away at the field, making them more prone to mistakes, in order to be able to move the ball. This is not ideal for a team that has to win by two possessions to cover the spread. Cons: Home field advantage is magnified in this game. The Colts have always been a much more potent team inside their dome. Their offensive style is built for the fast track, as it magnifies their assets. The same could be said for their defense, which heavily relies on speed to be effective. However, the intangible effects of their home field advantage often goes unnoticed and has allowed them to go undefeated once again at home. Their offense heavily relies on communication and no huddles, two variables that are a lot easier in a quiet place, while their defense seems to play with a lot more intensity and emotion and home, something that is vital and helps mask their deficiencies. Not only are the Colts much more potent at home, but the Chiefs have always been a much less dangerous team on the road. This year is no different as they have only managed 3 wins all year away from Arrowhead. Playing off surface is also not good for a team in the playoffs. The return of Sanders increases the chances of the Colts improving their biggest weakness. Johnson set the single season carry record last year, making one have to ponder how much he has left in the tank and if he is equipped to carrying 35 plus times. In the past, the Colts have not been a dangerous team to lay a lot of points on, as they could score as easily as any other team, rarely let up, and are a hard team to backdoor cover, as their defense becomes much more effective against a one dimensional passing game. Green has looked horrible of late. Conclusion: I have no problem betting against the Colts anytime they have to win by two scores to cover, as their run defense is just too bad. Expect Johnson and the Chiefs running game to be effective enough to keep this game close, as it will allow them to put up enough points and limit the chances Manning gets to blow them out. They lack the ideal defense to pull off an upset, but have the ideal defense to prevent a blow out. I will take the points in this showdown. Simply put, I think Pyrite Gal has a new handle in honor of Nate's "Peerless" Free Agency Period "Price".
ofiba Posted January 8, 2007 Posted January 8, 2007 HERMAN EDWARDS=Loses his mind during playoff games. You will be looking at your TV set in awe when he makes a decision that kills any chance KC has. Peyton has no pressure on him since everyone assumes he is a choke job in the playoffs. Indy 33 KC 16 Seattle and Dallas is a sad state of affairs. I was impressed with the Dallas D enough to think they will somehow pull it out. I hope Bledsoe gets a chance, but Parcells is too proud a guy to put him back in there. Dal 20 Sea 17 Philly has been playing well, and NY hates Coughlin, but 7 points is a lot for a team that has 2 starting RBs. Phi 23 NYG 20 Billy Belichek can get 22 guys from this board together and come within a TD of the Jets. He is the man, as much as I hate to admit it. He probably gets 2 hours of sleep a night this time of year. NE 30 NYJ 13 Remember.....Herm Edwards. That is all I am sure of. Wow, great call.
Dwight Drane Posted January 8, 2007 Posted January 8, 2007 Wow, great call. Thanks.....I'm trying not to talk myself out of sticking with Indy and NE. They are getting some real points next week. The thing that scares me about Indy is that Harrison is going to be a non factor in blocking with that hand. I have to take the points though. Indy 23 Baltimore 20 New England is so classy, that even if they lose, they should be close. The Bills should have beaten San Diego if the refs didn't job them, and I'm not one to make excuses. Gates will be key, as Tomlinson shouldn't be able to go crazy on them. New England 24 San Diego 23 Chicago should wake up against Seattle. Grossman will rise to the occasion I believe, and Seattle will be lucky to crack 20 points. Chicago 31 Seattle 16 Philly and New Orleans is a tossup. Should be fun to watch....I'm trusting Brees at home NO 34 Philly 27
Ramius Posted January 8, 2007 Posted January 8, 2007 My picks: LOCK of the Week: NY Giants over Philadelphia: Why? No logic needed....."Experts" are all over the Eagles now...they are the 'hip pick' now..So now the Giants will play their best game...after all this is the MFL....NY always seems to beat Philly in these kinds of matchups in virtually every sport...why that is I have no idea. Giants 28 Eagles 23 Looks like we have our THIRD homeless TBD'er after a bad bet. say hi to blinker2 for us!
Cornerville Posted January 8, 2007 Author Posted January 8, 2007 Looks like we have our THIRD homeless TBD'er after a bad bet. say hi to blinker2 for us! I do not bet on NFL football. I am not a fool
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