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What's up with Zogby polling?


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This is the 2nd time results of polling for a race in this area have been questioned.

 

Poll results Jim Walsh and Dan Maffei in question.

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Zogby is one of the worst pollsters there is. He has a big name, but he has some horrible polling practices. ANY Zogby poll needs to be taken with a grain of salt. He's famous for "volunteer" and internet polling.

 

He's the deuchebag who in the 2000 primaries, went to one of the Carolinas, got on CNN, and said "On Thursday, McCain's lead was 4%. Now, McCain's lead over Bush is 2%. Bush is coming back really strong!"

 

Uh, no, Zogby, both of those polls are within the margin of error, and therefore they are a friggin tie.

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Speaking of Zogby, here's the survey emailed to me yesterday...

 

What state do you live in?

IS your county A-L or M-Z

What county do you live in?

 

How much is your holiday gift buying budget this year?

 

How much of you holiday shopping do you plan to do online this year?

 

Do you expect to do more holiday shopping online this year over last year, do you expect to do less, or will you do about the same amount of holiday shopping online this year as last?

 

More

Less

About the same

Not sure

 

 

Among this list of potential holiday gift items, which are you more likely to purchase online than buy in a store? (Choose all that apply)

 

Clothing, shoes, accessories, etc.

Books, music, etc.

Electronics

Computer software

Food

Home décor

Toys/games

Sports equipment

Other (Specify: )

Not sure/none

 

 

Do you feel more secure buying items online this holiday season than you did last year, do you feel less secure, or do you feel about as secure this year as you did last year?

 

More

Less

About the same

Not sure

 

Which of the following best explains why you may chose to shop online rather than in a the store?

 

Want to avoid sales tax

Item not available in local stores

Online sales promotion not available in the store

Easy comparison shopping

Time savings

Free shipping

Easy last minute shopping

Price of gasoline

Other (Specify: )

Not sure/none

 

 

What is your age?

 

 

Which of the following best describes your highest level of education?

 

Less than high school graduate

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate+

Refused

 

 

Which of the following best represents your race or ethnic group?

 

White, non-Hispanic

Hispanic

African American

Asian/Pacific

Arab American

Other-Specify

Refused

 

Which of the following best represents where you live?

 

Large city (100,000 or more residents)

Small city (less than 100,000 residents)

Suburbs

Rural area

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Which description best represents your political ideology?

 

Progressive/very liberal

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative

Libertarian

Not sure

Refused

 

Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

 

Roman Catholic

Protestant/other non-denominational Christian

Jewish

Muslim

Mormon

Atheist/realist/humanist

No affiliation

Other-Specify

Refused

 

Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a union?

 

Yes

No

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Are you a parent or guardian of a child under 17 who is living at home?

 

Yes

No

Refused

 

 

Which of the following best describes your marital status?

 

Married

Single, never married

Divorced/widowed/separated

Civil union/domestic partnership

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Are you or is any member of your family a member of the Armed Forces?

 

Yes

No

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Do you consider yourself a NASCAR fan?

 

Yes

No

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Please tell me if you regularly attend any of the following sporting events?

(Choose all that apply.)

 

NASCAR

Any high school sport

Little League

None

Not sure

Refused

 

 

How often do you attend church, mosque, synagogue or other place of worship?

 

More than once a week

About once a week

Once or twice a month

Only on religious holidays

Rarely

Never

Not sure

Refused

 

Which of the following best describes the types of stocks you own that are traded on either the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ?

(Choose all that apply.)

 

Own stock personally

Own stock through 401 (k)

Own stock through other pension plan

None

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Would you consider yourself to be a member of the "investor class?"

 

Yes

No

Not sure

Refused

 

 

Do you or does anyone in your household keep a gun for personal protection or hunting at your home, place of business, or at a vacation home or club?

 

Yes

No

Not sure

Refused

 

 

How often do you shop at Wal-Mart?

 

Every week

A few times a month

A couple times a year

Never

Other

Not sure

 

 

What is your occupation?

 

 

Which of the following best represents your household income last year before taxes?

 

Less than $25,000

$25,000-34,999

$35,000-49,999

$50,000-74,999

$75,000-$99,999

$100,000 or more

Refused

 

 

Do you currently have a valid passport?

 

Yes

No

Not sure

 

 

Are you male or female.

 

Male

Female

Refused

 

5 days away from an election, I'm in a state (Virginia) with a heated Senate Race and a county (Virginia Beach City) in a Congressional District (VA02) with a close race, you'd think he would ask something about the election :D

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Speaking of Zogby, here's the survey emailed to me yesterday...

5 days away from an election, I'm in a state (Virginia) with a heated Senate Race and a county (Virginia Beach City) in a Congressional District (VA02) with a close race, you'd think he would ask something about the election :D

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He emailed you a poll.

 

That alone should raise red flags.

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He emailed you a poll.

 

That alone should raise red flags.

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He didn't email the poll itself, just a link to the poll. I signed up a couple years ago but nowadays I usually just delete the email

 

We invite you to participate in an online poll for Zogby International. Your opinions are very important to us.

 

Your responses will be kept completely confidential and anonymous.

 

To begin the survey, please click or paste the link into your browser bar:

<link omitted, had my logon name in url>

 

If are experiencing technical difficulties when taking the survey, please try again at a later time. You will be able to start where you left off in the survey.

 

Check out the new website dedicated to Zogby Interactive polling:

http://interactive.zogby.com/

 

As an incentive for your participation, we're including, at the end of the survey, a special bonus:

 

Zogby's Real America Newsletter - Special Election Edition

 

    * Special Election Edition

    * Democrats hold leads for key House GOP seats

    * Undecideds may have the final word

    * No easy solution to U.S. oil issues

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He didn't email the poll itself, just a link to the poll.  I signed up a couple years ago but nowadays I usually just delete the email

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Doesn't matter to be honest.

 

The mere fact that they are emailing puts in so many biases its unbelievable. Zogby thinks he can account for all of them by weighting responses, but in reality his polls suck.

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Doesn't matter to be honest.

 

The mere fact that they are emailing puts in so many biases its unbelievable.  Zogby thinks he can account for all of them by weighting responses, but in reality his polls suck.

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No, it's valid. It introduces error, sure...but that's just regression toward the mean anyway. :D

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