34-78-83 Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 People who base their fantasy picks on last year's results don't win in fantasy football. You can almost always take that to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 People who base their fantasy picks on last year's results don't win in fantasy football. You can almost always take that to the bank. 750110[/snapback] So I should dismiss WM's disappointing 2005 season as a fluke and combined with the fact that the Bills OL has all the makings of still being below average with almost no quality depth, believe that he is going to turn it around in a big way? I agree that you can't draft solely on what a player did in the previous season, but their is plenty of information(stats from previous year) that can be valuable and should not be ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inkman Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 People who don't know anything about football, end up winning the league because they lucked into the league's # 1 scorer. You can take that to the bank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sen. John Blutarsky Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 You can look at it this way too, our offense was totally dysfunctional last year and he STILL ran for 1,200 yards and 5 TDs. 7th round is a bargain. I agree with those who say the drafters know jack about FFL, they were taking RBs who split carries way too high, what does Deuce McAllister suddenly suck? He and Bush are going to split carries. So are DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams, etc. I'll say it, I'm not afraid of the fire...BEWARE OF SHAUN ALEXANDER. He's touched the ball more than 300 times each of the past 5 years and, including the playoffs, over 400 times last year. Eddie George hit the wall after 5 years of that workload, so did Thurman Thomas (his YPC dropped by a full yard between 92 and 93 and never came back-don't forget to count playoff touches), Marshall Faulk did it for 7 years but only had 300+ carries twice and his carries decreased and receptions increased as a percentage of production for the last several seasons of high productivity. Alexander has been the opposite, his catches dropped from the 50s to 18 last year while his carries went up from the 290's/low 300's to 370 last year. More carries = more punishment. Plus...he's on the cover of Madden, and it sounds silly but Eddie George, Daunte Culpepper, Marshall Faulk and Donovan McNabb all had bad years in their Madden cover year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Simon Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 He's touched the ball more than 300 times each of the past 5 years and, including the playoffs, over 400 times last year. Eddie George hit the wall after 5 years of that workload, That's a very good point Falstaff, but I don't think you should discount the differences in their running styles. While Alexander never met a sideline he didn't like, Eddie George would frequently go out of his way just to dish out punishment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 I'll say it, I'm not afraid of the fire...BEWARE OF SHAUN ALEXANDER. He's touched the ball more than 300 times each of the past 5 years and, including the playoffs, over 400 times last year. 750254[/snapback] The other scary thing is...Alexander has been playing lights out to get the big contract and now that he has it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sen. John Blutarsky Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 That's a very good point Falstaff, but I don't think you should discount the differences in their running styles. While Alexander never met a sideline he didn't like, Eddie George would frequently go out of his way just to dish out punishment. 750264[/snapback] True, that why I included the other examples. Thurman and Faulk weren't bruising runner either. I can put more examples of this up, they do exist, I'm just lazy. Once NFL backs hit the 400 touch mark they go downhill fast in most cases. You might get another great season out of Alexander this year, but it will be less than last year (nobody can do that 2 years in a row) or you might get a good year from him. Either way he probably won't be a value pick in rounds one or two which is where you'll have to pick him to get him in most leagues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sen. John Blutarsky Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 carries yds ypc td catches yds ypc td touches 2001 sdg 339 1236 3.6 10 | 59 367 6.2 0 398 2002 sdg 372 1683 4.5 14 | 79 489 6.2 1 451 2003 sdg 313 1645 5.3 13 | 100 725 7.2 4 413 2004 sdg 339 1335 3.9 17 | 53 441 8.3 1 392 2005 sdg 339 1462 4.3 18 | 51 370 7.3 2 390 See the wall coming? This is LaDainian Tomlinson and it is year 6 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMadCap Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 I could care less about ESPN showing a fantasy draft. 749829[/snapback] So you liked the draft then? Smart@ss off - I agree with your post though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nemhoff Posted August 23, 2006 Share Posted August 23, 2006 fantasy pick of the year is going to be Stephen Jackson. Call it a hunch, but i got a feeling ABOUT THIS KID. 749899[/snapback] Yes. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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