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Kiper's latest 4 Round Mock


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I actually liked Mel's picks for us atleast as much as the ones you provided.

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I would be happy with either of these draft scenarios, though I woudln't be thrilled if the Bills burned one of their two third round picks on Maurice Stovall...it seems like the Bills have enough WR's right now. Early in the the third round, there should still be lots of talent to chose from. We have more needs than another WR at this point....

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why do I keep hearing that we have enough talent at Wr, after Evans we have no talent at WR.

 

Price has one good eye, couldn't make it in Dallas last year.

 

Davis-has been a bust in the pros, evan the game he tied the record for the longest catch (at 99 yards) he couldn't break the 100 mark (1 catch for 99 yards)

 

Josh reed-improved last year, but was at the end of his first contract.

 

Roscoe-he's 5'8" 160 pounds, he is not Hall, Smith or Moss-he is Roscoe and he is small, and he can not get off of the line.

 

Fast Freddie-funny thing is he is neither, his name really isn't freddie and he is not fast.

 

aikens-still looking for the talent, great special teamer.

 

That said, I'd be happy with Stovall in the 3rd.

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why do I keep hearing that we have enough talent at Wr, after Evans we have no talent at WR.

 

Price has one good eye, couldn't make it in Dallas last year.

 

Davis-has been a bust in the pros, evan the game he tied the record for the longest catch (at 99 yards) he couldn't break the 100 mark (1 catch for 99 yards)

 

Josh reed-improved last year, but was at the end of his first contract.

 

Roscoe-he's 5'8" 160 pounds, he is not Hall, Smith or Moss-he is Roscoe and he is small, and he can not get off of the line.

 

Fast Freddie-funny thing is he is neither, his name really isn't freddie and he is not fast. 

 

aikens-still looking for the talent, great special teamer.

 

That said, I'd be happy with Stovall in the 3rd.

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Glass half empty much?

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Ok, can someone tell me why this guy has slipped this far????

 

63. Seattle Mathias Kiwanuka, DE Boston College

 

If he's there in the second Marv had better pick him and tell the high-motors Denney and Kelsay to drive on over to the bench!

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Best post this week, although I have to add an "if we think that QB at #8 is better than the other players".

 

I think that trading down is going to make sense since Ngata, Justice, or Bunkley will be available after #8, so why not get some extra picks?

 

Perceived value controls whether we can trade down, so if another team perceives Cutler to be worth more than we do, trade down with that team (and hope our perception is right).

 

Our value projection controls who we pick at a given spot, so if we stay at #8 we should pick the best player available, which would be any of the five you listed, but if they are gone COULD be a QB.

 

But if we can't trade down, we have to decide if we think Cutler is a better football player than Bunkley or Ngata or Justice or Huff.  I'm not sure it is 100% certain, and if it isn't clear I'd lean away from QB (faith in Losman) and to the lines.  But only if I honestly think that player is better than Cutler (in value over replacement player, to borrow a term from baseball).

 

But I see our best move as picking one of your five if they slide, or trading down (not too far I hope) for a Cutler-happy team and still getting one of the players we target.

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Thanks for the compliment. I agree with everything here except the Losman part.

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I wouldn't say Brodrick Bunkley is clearly better than Haloti Ngata. That's a little premature, Jack.

 

Both of them had one very good college season last year. Both of them have had leg injuries. Both of them are strong freaks. Both of them need to improve their techniques to be solid NFL players; talent alone will not get it done.

 

Brodrick is not perfect. I've seen him disappear in games. He's a smaller NG who makes up for his lack of size with quickness, but against cat-quick lineman he loses the initiative and can be neutralized.

 

Anyway, I like Kiper's mock draft. Elvis would be an interesting pick. That guy was a sack machine at Louisville.

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Here is the problem though, you're asking me to ignore the fact that Bunkley didnt produce until last season, that he was...essentially...a glorified back-up at FSU because he couldnt crack the top talent there. 

 

You're asking me to ignore the injuries, the torn ACL and MCL in the same knee.  You're asking me to ignore the lack of size and how he might struggle with the bigger OGs and Centers he'll see in the NFL.

 

Instead, I'm supposed to be happy that he had ONE good season, that just so happened to be his last?

 

I'm not advocating Ngata by the way either, and the Wadsworth comment was made in terms of the effort that he gave once he reached the NFL.  I just dont see that much of a gap between Ngata, Bunkley and the rest of the DT field in this draft...so why waste a #8 overall pick on one when we could easily get a solid starter in the 2nd or possibly even 3rd round that are essentially equal talent?  Ngata has his faults, but so does Bunkley...both of which scare me off either of them.

 

I understand as an FSU fan you're obligated to give the guy some love, but I just dont want to take a chance on someone with SO many question marks over his consistency and talent translation into the NFL.

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Coming from another 'Nole, i also think you are way off on your assesment of bunkley. the guy was an extremely disruptive force down here at FSU, and prior to this year, was part of a DT rotation. He'd be much better than the tub of goo from oregon.

 

That being said, with the amount of DT talent in this draft, i really hope we take Huff or Davis with our #1.

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Gotta love McNeill, I'd be thrilled with him, but with the re-addition of Fearless Peerless I honestly believe that Marv has no interest in early-round Recievers. Stovall would be HUGE, but I would LOVE to have Martin Nance instead.

 

I'm gonna give the big no to O'Callaghan, he's a great athelete and could be the second or third best tackle out there, but he's injury-prone and that'd be a bust off the bat.

 

Darnell Bing would be nice, but Daniel Bullocks would be a better fit IMHO, he's a talented player with speed and size who can also make the big hits if he can get his head in the right place every down.

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why do I keep hearing that we have enough talent at Wr, after Evans we have no talent at WR.

 

Price has one good eye, couldn't make it in Dallas last year.

 

Davis-has been a bust in the pros, evan the game he tied the record for the longest catch (at 99 yards) he couldn't break the 100 mark (1 catch for 99 yards)

 

Josh reed-improved last year, but was at the end of his first contract.

 

Roscoe-he's 5'8" 160 pounds, he is not Hall, Smith or Moss-he is Roscoe and he is small, and he can not get off of the line.

 

Fast Freddie-funny thing is he is neither, his name really isn't freddie and he is not fast. 

 

aikens-still looking for the talent, great special teamer.

 

That said, I'd be happy with Stovall in the 3rd.

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I hear what your saying, and I sort of agree. However, until the line and QB position is solidified, it wouldn't matter if we had Randy Moss and Terrell Owens (on their best behavior) runnig routs.

 

I am pretty sure Evans is a stud, Price may be underrated (I rarely say that about anyone!) by Bills fans, and Davis kind of intrigues me, and Reed, I believe is going to have a solid season. Parrish, Aiken and Freddie do nothing for me. I hope I am wrong, but I think Parrish was one of the worst Bills draft picks of the Donohoe era.

 

Also, this draft seems the most shallow at the WR position. I wouldn't be shocked if Stovall was picked in the second round.

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The Bold article below is Mel Kiper's latest 4 round mock draft that he did on April 12th.  I like some of the picks he made for the Bills, but I thought I would change a few things, but only change players that Kiper has being picked after we pick.  Here is my mock:

 

1st round (8): DT Brodrick Bunkley (Kiper has him going 8th to us)

2nd round (42): OT Marcus McNeill  (Kiper has him going 49th to Dallas)

3rd round (70): OG Charles Spencer (Kiper has him going 78th to Cleveland)

3rd round (73): S Darnell Bing (Kiper has him going 89th to Carolina)

4th round (105): DT John McCargo (Kiper has him going 123rd to Cincinati)

 

If this happened I would die in happiness!!!!!

 

http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/draft06/ins..._mel&id=2405172

 

With the NFL draft two weeks away, the one hot spot in the first round remains with the New Orleans Saints and second overall pick. While I still have North Carolina State defensive end Mario Williams going to New Orleans, the outlook of the first round could change significantly if the Saints trade the pick.

 

My first-round projections remain nearly the same, with the one newcomer being NC State defensive end Manny Lawson. Overshadowed by Williams at NC State, Lawson had a very good senior season then performed exceptionally well at the NFL scouting combine. Right now I am projecting the Jets will use their second first-round pick on Lawson, where he will be used as a pass-rushing defensive end/outside linebacker.

 

New this week are my projections for the second, third and fourth rounds. You will be surprised to see some players initially projected as first-round picks have slipped to the second round in recent weeks.

1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round

First-Round Projections

1. Houston  Reggie Bush, RB  USC 

2. New Orleans  Mario Williams, DE  NC State 

3. Tennessee  Matt Leinart, QB  USC 

4. N.Y. Jets  D'Brickashaw Ferguson, T  Virginia 

5. Green Bay  A.J. Hawk, LB  Ohio St. 

6. San Francisco  Vernon Davis, TE  Maryland 

7. Oakland  Vince Young, QB  Texas 

8. Buffalo  Brodrick Bunkley, DT  Florida St. 

9. Detroit  Michael Huff, DB  Texas 

10. Arizona  Jay Cutler, QB  Vanderbilt 

11. St. Louis  Chad Greenway, LB  Iowa 

12. Cleveland  Kamerion Wimbley, DE/OLB  Florida St. 

13. Baltimore  Haloti Ngata, DT  Oregon 

14. Philadelphia  Winston Justice, T  USC 

15. Denver (from ATL)  Chad Jackson, WR  Florida 

16. Miami  Donte Whitner, S  Ohio St. 

17. Minnesota  Ernie Sims, LB  Florida St. 

18. Dallas  Jason Allen, S/CB  Tennessee 

19. San Diego  Johnathan Joseph, CB  South Carolina 

20. Kansas City  Tye Hill, CB  Clemson 

21. New England  Santonio Holmes, WR  Ohio St. 

22. Denver (from WSH)  DeAngelo Williams, RB  Memphis 

23. Tampa Bay  Antonio Cromartie, CB  Florida St. 

24. Cincinnati  Jimmy Williams, CB  Virginia Tech 

25. N.Y. Giants  Kelly Jennings, CB  Miami 

26. Chicago  Richard Marshall CB  Fresno St. 

27. Carolina  LenDale White, RB  USC 

28. Jacksonville  Marcedes Lewis, TE  UCLA 

29. N.Y. Jets (from DEN)  Manny Lawson, DE/OLB  NC State 

30. Indianapolis  Laurence Maroney, RB  Minnesota 

31. Seattle  Ashton Youboty, CB  Ohio St. 

32. Pittsburgh  Sinorice Moss, WR  Miami 

 

1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round

 

Second-Round Projections

33. Houston  Eric Winston, T  Miami 

34. New Orleans  Nick Mangold, C  Ohio St. 

35. N.Y. Jets  Joseph Addai, RB  LSU 

36. Green Bay  Tamba Hali, DE  Penn St. 

37. San Francisco  Bobby Carpenter, LB  Ohio St. 

38. Oakland  Gabe Watson, DT  Michigan 

39. Tennessee  D'Qwell Jackson, LB  Maryland 

40. Detroit  Davin Joseph, G  Oklahoma 

41. Arizona  Leonard Pope, TE  Georgia 

42. Buffalo  Taitusi "Deuce" Lutui, G  USC 

43. Cleveland  Abdul Hodge, LB  Iowa 

44. Baltimore  Brodie Croyle, QB  Alabama 

45. Philadelphia  DeMeco Ryans, LB  Alabama 

46. St. Louis  Orien Harris, DT  Miami 

47. Atlanta  Cedric Griffin, CB  Texas 

48. Minnesota  Kellen Clemens, QB  Oregon 

49. Dallas  Marcus McNeill, T  Auburn 

50. San Diego  Demetrius Williams, WR  Oregon 

51. Minnesota (from MIA)  Chris Chester, OL  Oklahoma 

52. New England  Brian Calhoun, RB  Wisconsin 

53. Washington  Rocky McIntosh, LB  Miami 

54. Kansas City  Darryl Tapp, DE  Virginia Tech 

55. Cincinnati  Dominique Byrd, TE  USC 

56. N.Y. Giants  Thomas Howard, LB  UTEP 

57. Chicago  Greg Jennings, WR  Western Michigan 

58. Carolina  Joe Klopfenstein, TE  Colorado 

59. Tampa Bay  Andrew Whitworth, T  LSU 

60. Jacksonville  Jason Spitz, C  Louisville 

61. Denver  Mark Anderson, DE  Alabama 

62. Indianapolis  Daniel Bullocks, DB  Nebraska 

63. Seattle  Mathias Kiwanuka, DE  Boston College 

64. Pittsburgh  Danieal Manning, DB  Abilene Christian 

 

1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round

 

Third-Round Projections

65. Houston  Ko Simpson, DB  South Carolina 

66. Houston (from NO)  Gerris Wilkinson, LB  Georgia Tech 

67. Green Bay  Max Jean-Gilles, G  Georgia 

68. San Francisco  David Pittman, CB  Northwestern St. (La.) 

69. Oakland  Maurice Drew, RB  UCLA 

70. Buffalo (from TEN)  Ryan O'Callaghan, T  California 

71. N.Y. Jets  Brandon Williams, WR  Wisconsin 

72. Arizona  Jon Alston, LB  Stanford 

73. Buffalo  Maurice Stovall, WR  Notre Dame 

74. Detroit  Devin Hester, CB  Miami 

75. New England (from BAL)  Chris Gocong, DE/LB  Cal Poly-SLO 

76. Philadelphia  Claude Wroten, DT  LSU 

77. St. Louis  David Thomas, TE  Texas 

78. Cleveland  Charles Spencer, G  Pittsburgh 

79. Atlanta  Calvin Lowery, DB  Penn St. 

80. Dallas  Charlie Whitehurst, QB  Clemson 

81. San Diego  Paul McQuistan, OL  Weber St. 

82. Miami  Parys Haralson, DE  Tennessee 

83. Minnesota  Will Blackmon, WR/CB  Boston College 

84. San Francisco (from WSH)  Victor Adeyanju, DE  Indiana 

85. Kansas City  Brandon Marshall, WR  Central Florida 

86. New England  Montavious Stanley, DT  Louisville 

87. N.Y. Giants  Kyle Williams, DT  LSU 

88. Chicago  Anthony Fasano, TE  Notre Dame 

89. Carolina  Darnell Bing, DB  USC 

90. Tampa Bay  Willie Reid, WR  Fresno St. 

91. Cincinnati  Stanley McClover, DE  Auburn 

92. Jacksonville  Jerome Harrison, RB  Washington St. 

93. Atlanta (from DEN)  Devin Aromashodu, WR  Auburn 

94. Indianapolis  Dusty Dvoracek, DT  Oklahoma 

95. Minnesota (from SEA)  Le Kevin Smith, DT  Nebraska 

96. Pittsburgh  Brent Hawkins, DE/OLB  Illinois St. 

 

97. N.Y. Jets (comp. pick)  Roman Harper, DB  Alabama 

 

1st Round | 2nd Round | 3rd Round | 4th Round

 

Fourth-Round Projections

98. Houston  James Wyche, DE  Syracuse 

99. New Orleans  Demetrice Webb, CB  Florida 

100. San Francisco  Lawrence Vickers, FB  Colorado 

101. Oakland  Anthony Smith, DB  Syracuse 

102. Tennessee  Leon Washington, RB  Florida St. 

103. N.Y. Jets  Alan Zemaitis, CB  Penn St. 

104. Green Bay  Derrick Martin, CB  Wyoming 

105. Buffalo  Elvis Dumervil, DE  Louisville 

106. New England (from DET)  Guy Whimper, T  East Carolina 

107. Arizona  Fred Matua, G  USC 

108. Philadelphia  David Kirtman, FB  USC 

109. St. Louis  Kevin Boothe, OL  Cornell 

110. Cleveland  DeMario Minter, CB  Georgia 

111. Baltimore  Dion Byrum, CB  Ohio 

112. Cleveland (from ATL)  Rodrique Wright, DT  Texas 

113. San Diego  Babatunde Oshinowo, DT  Stanford 

114. Miami  Zach Strief, T  Northwestern 

115. Minnesota  Miles Austin, WR  Monmouth 

116. Philadelphia (from DAL)  Tarvaris Jackson, QB  Alabama St. 

117. N.Y. Jets (from KC)  Greg Eslinger, C  Minnesota 

118. New England  Derek Hagan, WR  Arizona St. 

119. Denver (from WSH)  Owen Daniels, TE  Wisconsin 

120. Chicago  Freddie Keiaho, LB  San Diego St. 

121. Carolina  Jonathan Scott, T  Texas 

122. Tampa Bay  Brandon Johnson, LB  Louisville 

123. Cincinnati  John McCargo, DT  NC State 

124. N.Y. Giants  Jeremy Trueblood, T  Boston College 

125. Jacksonville  James Anderson, LB  Virginia Tech 

126. Denver  Bernard Pollard, DB  Purdue 

127. Philadelphia (from IND)  Hank Baskett, WR  New Mexico 

128. Seattle  John Torp, P  Colorado 

129. Pittsburgh  Andre Hall, RB  South Florida 

 

130. Denver (comp. pick)  Jeremy Bloom, WR  Colorado 

 

131. Pittsburgh (comp. pick)  Daryn Colledge, T  Boise St. 

 

132. Baltimore (comp. pick)  Rob Sims, G  Ohio St. 

 

133. Pittsburgh (comp. pick)  Omar Jacobs, QB  Bowling Green 

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Ijust like the name 'Duce Lutui'.

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