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Before you get all hot and bothered bout Bills QBs


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Remeber that a quick look at the last few weeks performances where QBs threw for over 300 yards were done by losing QBs.

 

Not only are 300 yard throwing performances fairly rare in the modern NFL (2-3 per week) they usually are done by teams and QBs with bad Ds who are losing badly anf the QB is tossing the ball trying (usually desperately) to stay in the game.

 

Certainly anemic QB work is a big reason why the Bills have been bad at QB (Losman's work this year is a prime example of this( but I think the main reasons why the Bills have such a long streak of sub-300 yard QB performances are:

 

1. The win streak last year meant for over half the season the Bills were running the clock and it would have been silly to pass.

 

2. The D until this year was very good and in closely fought games there was good reason to go deep a few times to stretch the D, but it would have been silly to commit to pass at the level necesary for the QB to ring up 300+ yards.

 

3. The last year and a half has seen the Bills have little reluctance to go with 2 QBs as JP did mop-up duty last year in both wins and the debacle in NE. This year saw not only JPs poor performances but no reluctance from MM to pull JP when we are losing so its unlikely even if he was throwing well but not for scores that we would get 300 yards.

 

Certainly folks are correctly pissed because the tremendous streak of the Bills not throwing for over 300 yards coincides with the JP disappointment and ups and downs of life with Bledsoe, but this stat says more about how addicted folks have become to fantasy leagues and the fact they are looking for outstanding individual stats as much as they are for team Ws.

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You've got a point that we really shouldn't be alarmed that we haven't had a 300 yard passes in years. To some extent, it's a good thing. Also, since there's usually only 2 or 3 a week, it probably isn't that much of a statistical aberration.

What is VERY disturbing, however is that we haven't had a 200 yard passer in like 11 games. That's gotta be indicative of a bad passing offense, especially since we've lost roughly 1/2 those games.

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1. The win streak last year meant for over half the season the Bills were running the clock and it would have been silly to pass.

 

2. The D until this year was very good and in closely fought games there was good reason to go deep a few times to stretch the D, but it would have been silly to commit to pass at the level necesary for the QB to ring up 300+ yards.

 

3. The last year and a half has seen the Bills have little reluctance to go with 2 QBs as JP did mop-up duty last year in both wins and the debacle in NE.  This year saw not only JPs poor performances but no reluctance from MM to pull JP when we are losing so its unlikely even if he was throwing well but not for scores that we would get 300 yards.

 

Certainly folks are correctly pissed because the tremendous streak of the Bills not throwing for over 300 yards coincides with the JP disappointment and ups and downs of life with Bledsoe, but this stat says more about how addicted folks have become to fantasy leagues and the fact they are looking for outstanding individual stats as much as they are for team Ws.

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The Bills have been ranked 25, 22, and now 31st in yards per pass attempt the past three years. Sure the yards per game are influenced by a team running out the clock, or a good defense, but that doesn't affect yards per pass.

 

As an example the Steelers (often running out the clock, good defense) are currently ranked 24th in yards passing per game, but first in yards per pass attempt. They may not throw very often, but when they do they have great effectiveness. Buffalo is the complete opposite, ranked both 31st in pass yardage and 31st in yards per pass attempt.

 

It's not only that we haven’t hit 300 in 35+ games; it's that we haven't even had a 200 yard passer in the last 11 games. At some point in the NFL your passing game is going to be called upon to produce yardage, and the disparity amongst teams is simply too small to not be able to pass. Watch the elite teams play and it's like a chess game as they both try and find any way to create yards. When a team can so easily take away the threat of a passing game it makes everything else that much harder.

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