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Lori

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BUFFALO BILLS (3-3) AT OAKLAND RAIDERS (1-4)

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 23, 2005 - 4:15 PM EDT

McAFEE COLISEUM, OAKLAND, CA

CBS: Bill Macatee and Rich Gannon

 

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECORD: Oakland/LA/Oakland leads, 18-15. Bills are 4-9 in Oakland; 1-2 in Los Angeles.

 

PLAYOFF RECORD: Buffalo leads, 2-0.

 

LAST MEETING: September 19, 2004 – Raiders 13, Bills 10

Was he in? Bills fans have to wonder how differently the 2004 season might have played out, had any of the referees signaled a touchdown on Travis Henry’s fourth-and-goal plunge…

 

A late Bledsoe-to-Moulds TD pulled Buffalo within a FG, but Jerry Porter recovered the onside kick and two Rich Gannon kneeldowns ran the final 1:17 off the clock. An ugly game for the Bills, lowlighted by 67 rushing yards, 7 sacks given up, and two long kick returns wiped out by penalties. Oakland was almost as bad, but early in the second quarter, rookie safety Rashad Baker bit on a pump-fake and Gannon found Ronald Curry wide open for a 43-yard touchdown, Curry’s first career score. The Raiders tacked on a couple of second-half FGs, then held on for the win.

 

OVERVIEW

OFFENSE:

The big question, of course, is whether or not Randy Moss will be able to play Sunday. (He’s currently listed as “doubtful”.) Without him, either Alvis Whitted or Doug Gabriel will line up opposite Jerry Porter; both have the speed to get deep, but not having to defend Moss would obviously be an advantage for the Buffalo D. Porter and Gabriel have playmaking potential, but both have had problems with consistency and durability in the past.

At 6-7 and 270 pounds, TE Courtney Anderson provides a huge target over the middle. I’d hate to see Troy Vincent try to take him down one-on-one…

 

After finishing last in the league in rushing last season, the Raiders cut ties with Amos Zereoue and Tyrone Wheatley and spent some serious cash to sign LaMont Jordan away from the Jets. So far, the results aren’t promising; the team is actually averaging ten yards less per game than in 2004. Given how the Bills have played against the run lately, though, they certainly can’t afford to take Jordan lightly. He’s a threat out of the backfield, too – he currently leads the team with 26 catches. FB Zack Crockett is a capable lead blocker and a good short-yardage specialist.

 

The line is massive; every OL on the roster checks in at 300+ lbs. LT Barry Sims, RG Ron Stone, and RT Robert Gallery are all returning starters. C Jake Grove will probably miss this game with a knee injury, but backup Adam Treu was the starter at that spot last year; going back to Treu shouldn’t mean much of a dropoff. 6-8, 345 lb. road-grader Langston Walker is the new LG.

After only giving up 30 sacks in 2004, Oakland has already allowed 12 this year. Credit at least part of that to the renewed emphasis on the vertical passing game, rather than the quick drops and shorter routes that were the hallmark of the Jon Gruden/Rich Gannon era.

 

While J.P. Losman’s NFL roller-coaster ride is just starting, QB Kerry Collins has been around the track more than once; the former Nittany Lion great went from starting the 1996 NFC Championship Game for Carolina to looking for work four weeks into the 1998 season. A forgettable seven-game stint with New Orleans was followed by a measure of redemption (and a trip to the Super Bowl) with the Giants, before Collins landed in Oakland last year.

Kerry can make all the throws, but he doesn’t always take care of the ball – he shares the single-season fumble record (23) with Daunte Culpepper. He’s played pretty well so far in 2005, though, throwing 6 TD passes and only 1 interception in the first five games.

 

DEFENSE:

The much-hyped move to a 3-4, New England-style defense in 2004 didn’t work out so well. (By the numbers: #30 in passing and total defense; #31 in sacks; #29 in interceptions, -17 turnover differential.) Oakland has apparently learned from that mistake. Warren Sapp is back at DT, lining up next to our old friend Ted Washington in the Raiders’ return to a 4-3 base set. Veteran Bobby Hamilton starts at LDE. Tommy Kelly and free-agent pickup Derrick Burgess – who leads the team with five sacks - have split the starts at RDE.

 

With Sapp and Mount Washington blocking out the sun in front of him, MLB Danny Clark should have ample opportunities to rack up tackles. DE/LB Tyler Brayton is a former first-round pick who defensive coordinator Rob Ryan is trying at SLB this season. Rookie Kirk Morrison, a third-round selection from San Diego State, leads the team in tackles from the other OLB spot.

 

After trading CB Phillip Buchanon to Houston and releasing S Ray Buchanan in the offseason, Oakland used their top two draft picks on cornerbacks. Charles Woodson (and his one-year, $10.5 million contract) and Nnamdi Asomugha are listed as the starting CBs, but Woodson has seen time at safety and could eventually move there for good, with 2005 first-rounder Fabian Washington taking over at CB. Yet another former #1 pick, Derrick Gibson, is the SS; Stuart Schweigert is the normal starter at FS, but is replaced by backup CB Renaldo Hill in nickel packages.

 

SPECIAL TEAMS:

Kicker Sebastian Janikowski has already missed 4 FGs this season. (No chipshots – the missed kicks were from 43, 50, 49, and 37 yards). That’s still unusual for him; he only missed three attempts in each of the last two seasons, and he’s 78-84 (92.9%) all-time from inside 40 yards.

Two-time Pro Bowl punter Shane Lechler once again leads the NFL in net average, at 40.9 yds/punt. (In fact, Lechler’s 45.9-yard gross average is now the best in NFL history, breaking the record previously held by Sammy Baugh.)

 

Backup CB Chris Carr has taken over as the lead KR/PR; so far, he doesn’t appear to be anything special. The punt coverage team is adequate; giving up a 7.5-yard average return isn’t bad, considering how far Lechler’s kicks normally travel. The kickoff cover team is giving up 28.9 yards/return - McGee could find some room to roam, if they’re dumb enough to kick to him.

Here’s something to keep an eye on: Oakland has already blocked three kicks (1 FG, 1 XP, 1 punt) this season.

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OUTLOOK:

The Buffalo coaching staff has apparently decided to make the commitment to the smash-mouth, ball-control offense Mike Mularkey talked about when he was hired; another strong showing from Willis should open up opportunities in the passing game against a Raiders defense that has only managed eight sacks and four takeaways this season.

 

On the other side of the ball, the Buffalo defense doesn’t want to let Collins find his rhythm – get in his face early in the game, and he’ll be shaky the rest of the day. Oh, and maybe find some way to keep Jordan under 150 yards? Thanks.

 

Oakland is certainly beatable. But West Coast trips often seem to bring out the worst in the Bills, and they didn’t exactly overwhelm anyone with their play in the first two road games. I’m hoping for a Bills victory, and the numbers would seem to lean in that direction… but with this team, I don’t count any win until the clock reads 0:00.

 

Hey, I just realized something – for the first time in five weeks, I’ll actually be kicking back and watching the game on TV instead of at the stadium. Gotta get used to that again, because I can guarantee you Pinto Ken’s consecutive-game streak is safe from me…

 

Go Bills!

 

Links:

NFL.com injury report

NFL.com Raiders depth chart

NFL.com Raiders team stats

Ourlads.com – Raiders depth chart

Raiders.com

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The Buffalo coaching staff has apparently decided to make the commitment to the smash-mouth, ball-control offense Mike Mularkey talked about when he was hired;

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..Since all the cute crap imploded and lost us 2 winnable games against Atlanta and New Orleans..

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..Since all the cute crap imploded and lost us 2 winnable games against Atlanta and New Orleans..

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Agreed. Can you imagine - despite the matador run D, losing TKO, the o-line questions, and (IMO) not giving Losman the gameplan he needed, this team could've been 5-1 right now.

 

Not sure whether that says more about the Bills, or the current state of the league.... :rolleyes:

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Raider's Fan Perspective:

 

What an excellent post from the Bills Board. I only disagree with one thing. As with most writers, the consensus is that Adam Treu is not much of a drop off from Jake Grove, since Treu was previously the starter. While Treu is certainly capable, he doesn't generate the push that Grove does. True tends to be content to stand his man up, while Grove creates some running room.

 

Langston Walker's play thus far has been poor, his one bright spot is that he blocks many kicks. Also, keep your eye on return man Chris Carr. He was very impressive in the pre-season, and but for a couple of shoestring tackles, he would have gone all the way several times this season.

 

In my opinion, Oakland's biggest soft spot has been our pass protection. Against San Diego, Collins was repeatedly on his rump, even on short to medium routes with three step drops and only 4 men rushing.

 

Bring on the "D" cup, and let the zebras stay the hell out and let the players decide the game!

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Lori, once again your work is superb. Seriously, one could not find a better game analysis on nfl.com, nor any other place on the internet.

I have never seen any sportswriter in any paper break down a game as well as you.

 

Don't be mad, but I think that a prediction would be in order. With all of your effort and knowledge, it is the only thing missing.

Besides, it would give me a leg up on the football pool. :rolleyes:

 

Thanks again, and if Bills can just make the playoffs, maybe we can party once more this season at RWS! :rolleyes:

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  Where'd you get this Raiders-fan feedback? (Or are you a Raiders fan...?)

482152[/snapback]

 

OUCH!- In answer to your second question, I would never ally myself with a mercenary organization who has not only screwed one but two fan bases.

 

On the first one, it's from a buddy of mine who will be competing with me this weekend for the future display rights to our local Bills/Raiders Trophy called The D Cup.

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AKC aka Closet Radier Fan has a nice ring to it; glad that is not your "other" team.

 

I do not know if I agree with Lori regarding 'chip shot' missed of 37 yards. For a kicker of Sebastian Janikowski's talent to miss a kick of 37 yards is odd. Maybe someone was spooking him with a AA sign.

 

I am more worried about Jordan's ability to catch and run than just run - he can dominate us if our line is overwhelmed and he can catch short passes behind LBs.

 

McGahee better be running outside for Ted certainly can engulf!

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Just got a look at this weeks rundown.

Top notch article. I think it belongs on the Two Bills Drive home page first and then pinned on the wall after. That way it would get alot more exposeure to fans who read the articles but don't open up yhe stadium wall. With this grade of great reaearch, don't be supprised to see thinly disguised media articles a day later.

Way to go Lori

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Raider's Fan Perspective:

 

What an excellent post from the Bills Board.  I only disagree with one thing.  As with most writers, the consensus is that Adam Treu is not much of a drop off from Jake Grove, since Treu was previously the starter.  While Treu is certainly capable, he doesn't generate the push that Grove does.  True tends to be content to stand his man up, while Grove creates some running room. 

 

Langston Walker's play thus far has been poor, his one bright spot is that he blocks many kicks.  Also, keep your eye on return man Chris Carr.  He was very impressive in the pre-season, and but for a couple of shoestring tackles, he would have gone all the way several times this season. 

 

In my opinion, Oakland's biggest soft spot has been our pass protection.  Against San Diego, Collins was repeatedly on his rump, even on short to medium routes with three step drops and only 4 men rushing. 

 

Bring on the "D" cup, and let the zebras stay the hell out and let the players decide the game!

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Fair enough, regarding Treu/Grove. I like Grove a lot; in fact, I think there was a loud contingent here on the Wall in favor of drafting him. Guess my point was more along the lines of the Raiders having an experienced vet - and one who's already worked with all of his linemates - ready to step in without having to disrupt the rest of their line. (Unlike the Jets, for example - if they move Kendall to C, then they'll have to replace him at G. Domino effect.)

 

I like what he says about their pass protection... :doh:

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Just got a look at this weeks rundown.

Top notch article. I think it belongs on the Two Bills Drive home page first and then pinned on the wall after. That way it would get alot more exposeure to fans who read the articles but don't open up yhe stadium wall. With this grade of great reaearch, don't be supprised to see thinly disguised media articles a day later.

Way to go Lori

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Jeez. I'm going to have to let out my hatband again. :doh:

 

While I wouldn't be averse to a link from the TBD homepage, I like the idea of keeping these in a message-board format. As I've said before - feedback, constructive criticism, and even opposing viewpoints are all welcome...

And in my opinion, there's no better place to accomplish that than here on the Wall.

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is she hot??

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

lol

just kidding

we need this win, 3 wins in a row, we'll be first in our division, and the fish will most likely lose tonight

GO BILLSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS

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And you're still married ?!?  :doh:

482378[/snapback]

 

Somehow I've manuevered for the past 14 years with Sheri without a "formal" arrangement, but should things ever get difficult I'm quite certain the State of California won't let that become a problem for anyone ;-)

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