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Bills/Jets Over-Under is at 33.


stevestojan

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I had a nice 4-0 day last week hitting the Bills, Jets, Cowboys & Jags. 

4-1 picking Bills games this year, don't like this week's game at all because the 3 pt spread is right on IMO. 

 

There are a few other 3 pt spreads in favor of the home team this week that I kinda like.

 

Pittsburgh -3 vs. Jacksonville - even with Tommy Maddox, I don't think the Jags are as good on neutral field, so a little surprised to see the line so low.  The Jags run D ranks surprisingly at the bottom despite their great DT tandem.

 

Dallas -3.5 vs. NYG - This Giants team is grossly overrated IMO because they have a few good fantasy players and they've played more crappy teams at home (3) than anybody in the league.  If you're a trenches guy, the Cowboys are better on both sides of the line.  Also I think the letdown effect for Dallas will be minimal because of the Parcells factor and they should be motivated enough after getting swept by the Giants last year.

 

NE +3 @ Denver - Hard to knock Denver because they have more quality wins than anybody so far this year - but NE is just a better football team.  Jake Plummer is also due for a Jake Plummer sort of game.

 

SD -2 @ Oakland - Looks like a trap game, but the Black Hole is just a grossly overrated advantage as the Raiders pretty much suck in these home division games year after year. 

 

The bad news is that the general public seems to agree with me on most of these games, unlike last week.

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Man you missed big time this week. :D

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I guess. They opened at -1 and closed at -2 or 3 I think.

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i pushed.....i was kicking myself..........i saw they were the number one choice in the hilton contest on saturday morning and i liked them all week.....figured it would move being as soon as that contests selections are released alot of people would follow.........i bet it too late saturday at -1

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Yeah, the Panthers are phenominal as road dogs vs. good teams. I don't trust them as favorites vs. mediocre teams. They didn't play very well in Miami or Arizona either.

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Yeah, the Panthers are phenominal as road dogs vs. good teams.  I don't trust them as favorites vs. mediocre teams.  They didn't play very well in Miami or Arizona either.

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i was going against detroit more than anything and their offense again wasnt much but too bad for me the defense scrored two touchdowns

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