CoachChuckDickerson Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 as 2 1/2 point favorites this weekend. I'm not really sure why or how we are favored but GO BILLS....
stuckincincy Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 as 2 1/2 point favorites this weekend. I'm not really sure why or how we are favored but GO BILLS.... 464655[/snapback] Coach, a 3 point edge is usual for the home team in what is just a "pick-em" matchup, or so I am told. The A.M. line in the paper here had it at 3; I guess the betted money so far has moved it that half-point. Dunno.
JasoninMT Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I believe the standard is 3 points for Home field... so, we're really a 1/2 point dog if you take home field into account... I saw a pretty cool deal somewhere on how they set those... I think it was online at yahoo where they interviewed one of the oddsmakers...
AJ1 Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 as 2 1/2 point favorites this weekend. I'm not really sure why or how we are favored but GO BILLS.... 464655[/snapback] They think Kelly is going to start. Don't know where they get that.
SDS Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I like Miami this week. The Bills are the favorites and I just don't see it. I think Indy at +14 is good bet at San Fran. San Fran doesn't have a secondary, plus they are coming off of a trip to Mexico. I also like Cincy getting 3 at Jax. Tampa giving 4 to NYJ is also tempting.
stuckincincy Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I like Miami this week. The Bills are the favorites and I just don't see it. I think Indy at +14 is good bet at San Fran. San Fran doesn't have a secondary, plus they are coming off of a trip to Mexico. I also like Cincy getting 3 at Jax. Tampa giving 4 to NYJ is also tempting. 464705[/snapback] I'd wait a bit for CIN's injury repory. C Rich Brabham went out after the 1st series last week, and back-up Larry Moore left in the 2nd quarter with a knee - he's on IR. 4th round rookie C Eric Ghiacuic (pronounced GUY-check) may get the start, and FS Madieu Williams was out last week and is to date questionable.
e-dog Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I'd like Indy +14 also, only problem is they are -14. And all this automatic 3 points for homefield talk is all a bunch of bs. Some teams may be 4 or 5 points for their home field and some others may be 1 or 2 points. It's not like an automatic 3 points for homefield.
SDS Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I'd like Indy +14 also, only problem is they are -14. 464739[/snapback] that's what I meant wise guy... I would give the 14.
Bill from NYC Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 that's what I meant wise guy... I would give the 14. 464753[/snapback] Scott, what do you think of the Texans this week? I actually took them in the survival pool.
Blue Chipper Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 as 2 1/2 point favorites this weekend. I'm not really sure why or how we are favored but GO BILLS.... 464655[/snapback] Sucker bet. A home team favored by 2.5 = people will think oh thats just a field goal to cover. No problem. Same thing with 6.5 point favorites- the odds makers want you to take the favorite.
bills_fan Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 They think Kelly is going to start. Don't know where they get that. Man, you think??? I mean, he's been gone since 96 & never adequately replaced, but you know even as old as he is, he has to be better than what we have. I'd certainly love to see it.
BuffOrange Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I like Miami this week. The Bills are the favorites and I just don't see it. I think Indy at +14 is good bet at San Fran. San Fran doesn't have a secondary, plus they are coming off of a trip to Mexico. I also like Cincy getting 3 at Jax. Tampa giving 4 to NYJ is also tempting. 464705[/snapback] I could not possibly disagree more. Give me the Bills, Jags, and Jets. The Bills game is like the opposite of the '03 night game in Miami. Everyone was asking "why is Miami favored?" and everyone picked Buffalo, and Drew Bledsoe played like Drew Bledsoe on the road. Don't be shocked if Guss Forrotte plays like Guss Forrotte on the road.
Blue Chipper Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 Does anyone want to start a play of the week thread? Im sure there are many folks out there who like to bet on games including myself. It would be interesting to hear from other people who follow football and hear their opinion on different games- college or pro. If so lets do it on Fridays.
BuffOrange Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 Sucker bet. A home team favored by 2.5 = people will think oh thats just a field goal to cover. No problem. Same thing with 6.5 point favorites- the odds makers want you to take the favorite. 464761[/snapback] We were favored by 2.5 in the '95 playoff game vs. Miami. That was a hell of a sucker bet
smokinandjokin Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 Does anyone want to start a play of the week thread? Im sure there are many folks out there who like to bet on games including myself. It would be interesting to hear from other people who follow football and hear their opinion on different games- college or pro. If so lets do it on Fridays. 464928[/snapback] I'd add my two cents to that...
Fan in Chicago Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I like Miami this week. 464705[/snapback] You might want to re-phrase that
HopsGuy Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 ... the odds makers want you to take the favorite. 464761[/snapback] The odds makers don't care who you take. Most Vegas casinos subscribe to an oddsmaking service. The oddsmakers want to set a line that will get equal money on both sides. This way, the casino has a riskless proposition, and they take the juice. If the initial line is perceived to be off, bettors will move the line to where the money will be equal. It's a pretty efficient market.
Blue Chipper Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 We were favored by 2.5 in the '95 playoff game vs. Miami.That was a hell of a sucker bet 464997[/snapback] there are 4 games this week with spreads of 2.5. The pats, fish, bengals and saints all getting points. Have to wait until monday but wouldnt be surprised if three of the four win.
erynthered Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 I like Miami this week. The Bills are the favorites and I just don't see it. I think Indy at +14 is good bet at San Fran. San Fran doesn't have a secondary, plus they are coming off of a trip to Mexico. I also like Cincy getting 3 at Jax. Tampa giving 4 to NYJ is also tempting. 464705[/snapback] Griese is banged up and Cadillac probably wont play. Pittman will start IMO, with Alstot coming out in the flats, plus helping on the Blitz's. But I still like their D, against Vinnie. Good bet. Give the points.
Ozymandius Posted October 4, 2005 Posted October 4, 2005 Only the Colts will make it out of Week 5 undefeated. Jets over Bucs (remember, a bad team in the afc might still be better than a good team in the nfc), Jags over Bengals (Sunday night primetime game in Jacksonville), and Denver over Redskins. I'm actually least confident about the Denver game.
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