PromoTheRobot Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 http://footballforecasters.com/2005/afceastpreview.html Unlike the usual blah-blah crap we have been seeing, these guys are dissecting and analyzing each AFC East teams strengths and weaknesses, like a stockbroker would assess a stock. Pretty insightful stuff, in my opinion. Not good news for Hollywood Donahoe and his choad-smoking Patsy trolls. PTR
drnykterstein Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 so I don't gamble, but what does +750 mean (in english)
bprulz Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 For every 100 dollars bet you win 750 dollars
Campy Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 so I don't gamble, but what does +750 mean (in english) 425115[/snapback] Well, according to the article:...a small $100 wager would payoff at $750.
PromoTheRobot Posted September 1, 2005 Author Posted September 1, 2005 so I don't gamble, but what does +750 mean (in english) 425115[/snapback] It means bet $100 on the Bills to win the AFC East and win $750. $100 on the Pats earns you $40. $100 on the Jets wins $285. They are not even offering odds on the Dolphins. Our division oriented forecasting model has New England barely winning the AFC East. However, they are not necessarily the best futures pick to wager on in that division. Consider that Canbet has them at -250 to win their division (meaning a $100 wager would payout $40); followed by NYJ at +285, and Buffalo at +750. Based on how tight this division race shapes up to be, we'd take a hard look at making a small futures play on Buffalo to win their division. Consider that at +750 (Canbet futures number), a small $100 wager would payoff at $750. Here is what our by-the-numbers division forecast model projects for the AFC East: New England - 9 (-) wins NY Jets - 9 (-) wins Buffalo - 8 (+) wins Miami - 3 wins We like the intangibles with Buffalo and pick them to outright win the division. We have Buffalo with a positive upwards mobility factor - meaning they are more likely to win 9 games (or more), than slip to 7 wins. There are positive intangible factors to consider with Buffalo, as well as negative intangible factors with the Patriots, which we point out in the team write-ups below. The forecasting model indicates the Pats will win a very tight division race - but the wagering value is certainly with the Bills. PTR
stuckincincy Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 >>>bump<<< PTR 425366[/snapback] >>>and grind<<<
Terry Tate Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Actually, the ratings numbers they give each team mean the 'smart' money - that is, the safest bet is first on the Patriots, then Jets before the Bills to win the division. The point they make is the Bills bet is a good small money additional bet, because they feel the payoff far exceeds the risk. Those gambling sites are ridiculous anyway. You ever see their commercials with the guy yelling "LEAD PIPE CINCH!" or "THIS WEEK'S LOCK!". The goal is to generate action. Of course, I may still visit a sports book this weekend...
SDS Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 http://footballforecasters.com/2005/afceastpreview.html Unlike the usual blah-blah crap we have been seeing, these guys are dissecting and analyzing each AFC East teams strengths and weaknesses, like a stockbroker would assess a stock. Pretty insightful stuff, in my opinion. Not good news for Hollywood Donahoe and his choad-smoking Patsy trolls. PTR 425104[/snapback] speaking of the pats - we need a spy update!
UConn James Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 speaking of the pats - we need a spy update! 425388[/snapback] Would said spy get a watch with built-in laser and a Russian sexpot sidekick?
PromoTheRobot Posted September 1, 2005 Author Posted September 1, 2005 speaking of the pats - we need a spy update! 425388[/snapback] uh...I'm on it! PTR
Puhonix Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Last year the Patriots went 6-0 in division play First thing they say and they screw it up. There goes credibility out the window. Hard to keep reading when they mess up right off the bat.
Beerball Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Sorry to go off topic, but, where does dumb money go?
SDS Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Sorry to go off topic, but, where does dumb money go? 425445[/snapback] on the Dolphins?
stuckincincy Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Sorry to go off topic, but, where does dumb money go? 425445[/snapback] Beerball hits one out of the park! Copyright that quote - it could go down in history...
Kelly the Dog Posted September 1, 2005 Posted September 1, 2005 Actually, the ratings numbers they give each team mean the 'smart' money - that is, the safest bet is first on the Patriots, then Jets before the Bills to win the division. The point they make is the Bills bet is a good small money additional bet, because they feel the payoff far exceeds the risk. Those gambling sites are ridiculous anyway. You ever see their commercials with the guy yelling "LEAD PIPE CINCH!" or "THIS WEEK'S LOCK!". The goal is to generate action. Of course, I may still visit a sports book this weekend... 425386[/snapback] True. Something I found out about those places last year was pretty funny, but when you think about it, kind of genius. They tell people in their ads that they have a guaranteed lock of the week, to get them to call. When people call, they give 50% one team in a game, and 50% the other team in that same game. They figure they'll lose half of the callers but half of them will think they're geniuses and sign up. And it obviously works. That site, however, seemed to have the division down pretty good, IMO.
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