Bills strategy for the draft

[chris heff]

On 4/20/2025 at 11:49 AM, SoonerBillsFan said:

Agreed.  Knowing Beane if he cam trade back a few spots and still get a player they want ( see the 30 player visits) and pick up a 3rd round pick,he will do it.

I have all the confidence in the world that I will goth bed on Thursday unsatisfied.

[3rdand12]

On 4/20/2025 at 2:11 PM, L Ron Burgundy said:

Here are my hopes for the Bills strategy.  Starting/difference making players at CB and DT, and if the draft falls well WR, S, and LB.  Then depth and special teams.  I think there's a decent chance we can get 3 starters.  The only thing I don't know is where the needs lie after CB and DT.  Do we need a S more than LB?  Probably, unless there's injuries at LB but there always are.  A WR that has separation would be great but not an absolute need.  

 

Where's our pass rusher for when Bosa gets injured or needs a massive raise after his one year rental.

I want an AJ upgrade big time. Need a second DT and second CB , safety project  later

 key words are the bolded.

 allen2moulds is right onto something there

[L Ron Burgundy]

2 minutes ago, 3rdand12 said:

Where's our pass rusher for when Bosa gets injured or needs a massive raise after his one year rental.

I want an AJ upgrade big time. Need a second DT and second CB , safety project  later

 key words are the bolded.

 allen2moulds is right onto something there

Yeah, good point.  Bosa will probably get hurt at some point.  Didn't our rook from last year have some potential though?  I'm blanking on the name.

[3rdand12]

16 hours ago, Thurman#1 said:

Trade up ... if the right guy is there moving towards you and you don't have to give up picks in day one or two. That's day one or two this year and every year going forward. Don't give away high-value picks in future years. Just don't do it unless you are desperate for a franchise QB, and we are very much not.

 

Trade back ... especially if you can pick up the kind of pick you shouldn't trade away, day one or two picks this year or in the future.

 

More picks means more chances to get a terrific bargain.

 

There's a reason this is the standard wisdom. They've done academic studies on this and they all say the same thing, and that is that trading up with big assets lowers your overall chances of success, whereas trading down raises your chances. 

 

GMs, and armchair GMs as well, tend to think they know best which guys will turn out best. That's a mistake of perception. We can figure out guys who have higher odds and guys who have lower odds, but there's a reason that about half of all first rounders under-produce according to standards you'd expect from their draft slot. Predicting the draft is just a hell of a lot harder than it appears. That's why more picks is better.

 A Man's got to know his limitations lol

 and this most likely how our disciplined Gm functions. But sometimes if you know its the Guy without doubt and consensus. You have to spend.

 There was risk with Allen , but a severe need. They made the right pick for Buffalo !
This time get the guys you feel are surefire starters in the 1st 2-3 picks and do what ya gotta do to make the sweet spot happen.

That's my only counter point #1

4 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

Yeah, good point.  Bosa will probably get hurt at some point.  Didn't our rook from last year have some potential though?  I'm blanking on the name.

Lets sure hope not about Bosa, but he might be a boom or bust guy. Lets hope he plays well all the way through the SB 

Yes I don't recall anyone truly standing out from the edge. guess that might be the point Ron . Thanks

[FieldGeneral]

I believe that they will go for instant starters on defense (CB or DT) or in the EXTREMELY rare case if someone slides, they'll trade up with those 2 2nds.

[SoonerBillsFan]

1 hour ago, chris heff said:

I have all the confidence in the world that I will goth bed on Thursday unsatisfied.

The odds are in your favor.  Hell they are for many of us.

1 hour ago, 3rdand12 said:

Where's our pass rusher for when Bosa gets injured or needs a massive raise after his one year rental.

I want an AJ upgrade big time. Need a second DT and second CB , safety project  later

 key words are the bolded.

 allen2moulds is right onto something there

Michael Hoecht.  You might not like it, but there he is.

[3rdand12]

21 hours ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

The odds are in your favor.  Hell they are for many of us.

Michael Hoecht.  You might not like it, but there he is.

I may not even know if I like it till quarter of the season has passed. lol

Isnt he more of a "move" type of pass rusher ? Line him up for the mismatch ??

I am not down on the guy by any means

[Bleeding Bills Blue]

20 hours ago, 3rdand12 said:

I may not even know if I like it till quarter of the season has passed. lol

Isnt he more of a "move" type of pass rusher ? Line him up for the mismatch ??

I am not down on the guy by any means

 

He's like lorenzo alexander imo.  He's played DT, DE, OLB, etc.  He even started at MLB due to injuries at his DT playing weight.  

[Gregg]

Here is a writeup predicting the Bills draft.

 

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/bills-mock-draft-2025-final-7-round-buffalo-pick-predictions/ar-AA1Du3eG?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=2ce21daae1e9444b89c696777e3791e0&ei=15

[3rdand12]

2 hours ago, Bleeding Bills Blue said:

 

He's like lorenzo alexander imo.  He's played DT, DE, OLB, etc.  He even started at MLB due to injuries at his DT playing weight.  

That was the comparison I have made as well 👍

 Hope it proves out !

[LABILLBACKER]

On 4/20/2025 at 7:27 AM, NewEra said:

All depends who’s is available at what pick 

Agree....let the draft come to you. There are mocks where Baron falls to 30.  Picks like Amos, Grant or Harmon would also work. It has to be a starting impactful defensive player.