DrDawkinstein Posted 8 hours ago Posted 8 hours ago I'm adding the sacks and TFLs because we already have Josh and an offense that can score 30+ every game. 1 Quote
GASabresIUFan Posted 8 hours ago Posted 8 hours ago 3 hours ago, YattaOkasan said: Seems intuitive that TDs would be more correlated with winning. Should note that in 2020 and 2024 (our two best Josh seasons) we had 56 and 62 TDs and only 38 and 39 sacks. 2021, 2022, 2023 all had more sacks and less TDs. So more TDs all day please. We’ve lost in the playoffs because of bad defense the last two years. It seems to me that upgrading the defense is much more important. 1 Quote
26TrapDraw Posted 7 hours ago Posted 7 hours ago it's a hundred percent obvious what the Bills need to do this offseason to the defense. I'm sure Beane knows it. Not sure how much he does but the piece of wood holding open the superbowl window is starting to Creak. Let's Go Brandon! Quote
Chicken Boo Posted 7 hours ago Posted 7 hours ago 1,000 yards and 10TDs. On top of Josh and Cook's production, that's a winner. Quote
nedboy7 Posted 7 hours ago Posted 7 hours ago Wow. So just 5 more sacks from groot and we win it all. Quote
YattaOkasan Posted 3 hours ago Posted 3 hours ago (edited) 7 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said: Well my main point was that those 10 TD's for example are going to be scored by this offense no matter what. Doesn't mattter if its a top 5 WR getting them or if its spread around other guys, or its Allen or Cook running them in, etc. We score those TD's already, you are more just changing whose stat sheet records them, not generating an additional 10 TD's we were not previously already scoring. But on defense, adding more negative plays such as sacks, TFL's and also pressures (which wasn't initially included but comes with sacks and TFL's increasing) will reduce opponents scoring, increase the effectiveness of the rest of the defense as QB's tend to make more mistakes under more pressure or the threat of pressure. And by default that also gives our offense more scoring opportunities by getting off the filed on 3rd down more times rather than allowing extended drives, especially given our defense was amongst the bottom of the league in 3rd conversions and first downs allowed. So the defensive guy in this scenario does more for this team...both defensively and offensively by giving the offense more TOP through getting off the field more, and with more TOP they have more opportunities to score. And IMHO the debate really isn't even close in this case as to which player benefits the teams overall success more. Maybe that’s where this is getting weird. I read as 10 TDs on top of what we did. Your post seemingly says those 10 TDS would come from someone else. So if it’s effectively of no benefit then (cause they came from someone else) then yeah that stat line is of course worse. I think 10 more TDs (on top of what we had) would have been more impactful than 13 more sacks on top of what we had. You also mention pressures but that’s not in the OP. It just says stat line doesn’t say player who could. I read it different than you is all and it was still close. yes if you say those 10 TDs would come from other players (thus not increasing points scored which is my whole thesis) and 13 sacks also brings pressures all on top of what everyone else did then that’s obviously better. But if it’s what would be more impactful the bills scoring 10 more TDS and getting 1k more yards or getting 13 more sacks and 10 TFL (very low) I’m taking points and significantly more yardage. if this is another should we address offense or defense thread then I agree with you and address defense. But it was posed a bit differently. I would rather a 13 sack guy than a 1k and 10TD guy. Edited 3 hours ago by YattaOkasan Quote
Alphadawg7 Posted 2 hours ago Posted 2 hours ago 39 minutes ago, YattaOkasan said: Maybe that’s where this is getting weird. I read as 10 TDs on top of what we did. Your post seemingly says those 10 TDS would come from someone else. So if it’s effectively of no benefit then (cause they came from someone else) then yeah that stat line is of course worse. I think 10 more TDs (on top of what we had) would have been more impactful than 13 more sacks on top of what we had. You also mention pressures but that’s not in the OP. It just says stat line doesn’t say player who could. I read it different than you is all and it was still close. yes if you say those 10 TDs would come from other players (thus not increasing points scored which is my whole thesis) and 13 sacks also brings pressures all on top of what everyone else did then that’s obviously better. But if it’s what would be more impactful the bills scoring 10 more TDS and getting 1k more yards or getting 13 more sacks and 10 TFL (very low) I’m taking points and significantly more yardage. if this is another should we address offense or defense thread then I agree with you and address defense. But it was posed a bit differently. I would rather a 13 sack guy than a 1k and 10TD guy. I was being realistic about the stat lines more than just adding magic numbers in if that makes sense. We have scored more points over the last 5 years than any team in league and in 2024 we were 16th in nfl history in PPG even though Allen sat week 17, and several weeks we took the 4th quarter off or even most the 2nd half in quite a few games as we were blowing them out. So just adding a new WR first off means they are taking the snaps and production away from someone else. So it’s not just 10 more TDS, they are replacing production that was already in this offense and spread around and instead getting enough targets to do it themselves. To add 10 more TDs overall to this offense that was already one of the greatest in terms of points in history is no small feat. Especially when that would mean we again had a lot of blow out wins where we took the foot off the gas late in games if we are scoring that many points again. The offense only gets so many opportunities. Bengals with both Chase and Higgins don’t score as much as we do. Neither do the Eagles, the SB champs who have Saquan and two stud WRs. So that was where I was coming from, the realism of what those stats would mean. And adding more pressures, sacks, and TFLs would lead to more 3rd down stops and points to get the ball back in Allen’s hands more, which also helps the offense. All good, just explaining how I interpreted the poll Quote
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