AFC Championship Game Week Thread - Bills at Chiefs

[DaBillsFanSince1973]

 

[Carptom1]

4 minutes ago, Brand J said:

Yeah just working that math in my mind, if they wanted more money on KC the line would move in the Bills favor. Can’t explain the one point difference then, a starting safety missing the game wouldn’t move it.

They are getting too much money on KC and need to even it out. You can’t trust the information that comes out regarding where the money goes. Most of the uniformed public will be on the Chiefs. Those 10-20 bets add up.

[Kgun5]

5 minutes ago, Carptom1 said:

They are getting too much money on KC and need to even it out. You can’t trust the information that comes out regarding where the money goes. Most of the uniformed public will be on the Chiefs. Those 10-20 bets add up.

Fanduel still has it at -1.5.

[Success]

Belichick was talking about homefield advantage the other night.  While it exists, he was saying that there were times in the Pats playoffs runs where he felt that they had the advantage on the road, because there was a little more pressure on the home team.

 

It was an interesting perspective. He thought that it might be a small plus for the Bills on Sunday.

[Cheektowaga Chad]

18 minutes ago, Brand J said:

I heard 70-75% of the money coming in is on the Bills, so wouldn’t the line move KC’s way to entice more bettors to throw money on KC? 

I've heard the same

 

Which means this would be considered reverse line movement, which is generally bad news for the bills fans/bills bettors 

[mannc]

20 minutes ago, Cray51 said:

There is absolutely a huge drop off between VenDemark and Brown.  You are going from a top 5 RT that can be left on an island to a serviceable platoon tackle that the other team WILL try to exploit.

 

Brown also gets to the second level in the run game at an incredible level.  VanDemark can’t do that 

How did VanDemark play vs the Chiefs?  Did they “exploit” him?  

[Carptom1]

13 minutes ago, Kgun5 said:

Fanduel still has it at -1.5.

DK is 1.5 currently… it was 2.5 this morning. That would tell me bigger money is probably coming in on the Bills driving it down. It will probably move a bit more but not much.

Edited Saturday at 07:44 PM by Carptom1

[klos63]

1 hour ago, Kelly to Allen said:

What about Thurman's playoff game vs the browns 

 

13 catches for like 150 yds 

That was great too. I still think the Chiefs game was better

[jcamm1966]

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1AEATvvMF4/

[gonzo1105]

31 minutes ago, Carptom1 said:

They are getting too much money on KC and need to even it out. You can’t trust the information that comes out regarding where the money goes. Most of the uniformed public will be on the Chiefs. Those 10-20 bets add up.

 

I always say this but home field advantage is overrated now. With coaches communications until 14 seconds, silent counts, play calls with kills involved, crowds can make a difference for sure but not nearly as much in the past.

[mannc]

31 minutes ago, Success said:

Belichick was talking about homefield advantage the other night.  While it exists, he was saying that there were times in the Pats playoffs runs where he felt that they had the advantage on the road, because there was a little more pressure on the home team.

 

It was an interesting perspective. He thought that it might be a small plus for the Bills on Sunday.

Interesting…I felt home field was huge for the Bills vs the Ravens last week.

[Dan Darragh]

6 hours ago, Neo said:

 

 

My iPad screen saver. 

It's my favorite football pic since this one of Bart Starr's TD in the Ice Bowl (which was hanging in my bedroom for years afterwards).

Edited Saturday at 08:10 PM by Dan Darragh

[Scott7975]

 

[Dan]

I know it’s a little late, and Babich doesn’t really have time to read my post and correct his game plan… so I guess I just have to hope he’s thinking similarly.   
 

As I see it, they had a great plan last week.  They schemed and focused on stopping Henry, while containing Lamar so he couldn’t just take off and beat them with his legs.  Add in a couple early scores and they forced Lamar to win the game passing. (Which he did a good job of and got close)

 

This week, I see Kelce as the key player that drives their offense.  So I really hope they have a plan to focus on Kelce and not let him sit all alone in a zone coverage with no one around him.   Then they have to contain Mahomes so he can’t run for first downs.  Essentially, don’t give up the easy first down tosses to Kelce or to Pat scrambling untouched.  
 

They still have to contend with the running backs, Worthy, etc.  But every time Mahomes gets in trouble he looks #1 for Kelce and an easy catch.  Or #2 to scramble for the first.  Contain those two players and I think they contain their offense.    Thats easier said than done!  But that’s why they make millions and I don’t.  
 

Go Bills!

[Coach Tuesday]

Just now, Dan said:

This week, I see Kelce as the key player that drives their offense.  So I really hope they have a plan to focus on Kelce and not let him sit all alone in a zone coverage with no one around him.   Then they have to contain Mahomes so he can’t run for first downs.  Essentially, don’t give up the easy first down tosses to Kelce or to Pat scrambling untouched.  

I do suspect this has occurred to Babich on his own…

[co_springs_billsfan]

3 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

He's not wearing a red noncontact jersey!!!

[Dan Darragh]

1 minute ago, Dan said:

I see Kelce as the key player that drives their offense.  So I really hope they have a plan to focus on Kelce and not let him sit all alone in a zone coverage with no one around him.   Then they have to contain Mahomes so he can’t run for first downs.  Essentially, don’t give up the easy first down tosses to Kelce or to Pat scrambling untouched.  

You really shouldn't be giving these gems away for free.

[transplantbillsfan]

Practice Squad elevations?

[Cray51]

36 minutes ago, mannc said:

How did VanDemark play vs the Chiefs?  Did they “exploit” him?  

He and Torrence allowed 6 pressures and Allen faced pressure on an above average rate (42%)

 

I’m not saying VanDemark stinks, I’m just saying Brown is that much better

[Chandler#81]

 

59 minutes ago, DaBillsFanSince1973 said:

 

 

come back with the Lamar Hunt trophy, guys!