AFC Championship Game Week Thread - Bills at Chiefs

[BillnutinHouston]

1 hour ago, Beck Water said:

Is anyone else starting to get a little twitchy about our players talking about "it's a blessing just to be in this position" and yadda yadda?

 

 

Not me.  Never mistake what players or coaches say publicly with what they actually think.

[Thrivefourfive]

Sort of staying away from media this week, national and local. I know these teams, I know the narratives. I’ll probably spent the two weeks leading up to the Super Bowl enjoying a few Chiefs whine. I’ll wait til then though. 
 

Mahomes have any ankle/foot issues at all right now that we can assess? Not the drama crap. I think he’s a sitting duck back there and McDermott should touch the accelerator a little bit on making that pocket hole shrink in on him—if he squirts he gets yards, so the spy(er) will be able to come off a quick hit pass catcher, have an player rotate so the spy can break down Mahomes for a tackle. Just keep him in front, smart angles on the sprints to the sidelines. Sack, give up 6yds on a scramble but try to stop the 15 yard, drive extending bursts. WHERE YOU AT 43!!!!!!!!!!

[Beck Water]

1 hour ago, HamSandwhich said:

Please, for all that is holy, get to Mahomes and get him on the ground...that's all I'm asking. A robust attack from the D line. That's not too much to ask is it? 

 

You don't need to get him on the ground a lot.  In fact, getting him on the ground allows the refs to decide that's UR due to too much body weight or too late hit, and throw laundry.

 

But if you get him off his spot and make him run around without allowing him to escape and run, it can have the same effect.  He becomes inaccurate.
 

46 minutes ago, BillnutinHouston said:

 

Not me.  Never mistake what players or coaches say publicly with what they actually think.

 

Fair point.  I will hope that they are actually thinking they want to rip their opponents to small shreddy pieces and avenge themselves for 2020, 2021, and 2023.

Edited 3 hours ago by Beck Water

[Harold Jackson]

On 1/21/2025 at 9:56 AM, Dukestreetking said:

 

I'm gonna go against the board, and say that your posts--all of which I've read--are legitimately interesting. Actually enjoy reading, tbh.

 

But the bolded above is a non-sequitur, esp in context. Or cleverly professorial, or even monkish, at the very least.

I mean, why be vested in anything (here, the Bills) if one has no "emotional connection".

Anyway, let's not get into a to and fro. Honestly, I don't want that for the group. 

 

Point of personal privilege though...

 

As someone who was/is a clever professor, but who spent 10+ years in the (recent) wars: 

Sometimes, ya gotta absolutely--no sh*t, right goddamn now--pick your side, and start slitting fuc*king throats.

 

 @hondo in seattle and others probably know what I'm talking about.

 

So, I'm gonna stand w my brothers (and muppy) and slit fuc*king KC throats.

 

(But...I'm fine w disagreement, he said sheepishly)

Thank you.

I said it was only Monday when I said that. I've gone back and forth 4 times.

And I said I'd rather have Bills win.

But the NFL has shown through Detroit and Cleveland that there is no empathy. You guys are complaining? Bills have tasted 2nd place 4 times. 

NFL-Willy Wonka has waved candy in baby Detroits face and still said - you get nothing!! Good day sir!! Lol.

Like I said, I've gone back and forth 4 times. I still think if you are a impartial hardcore bettor. You don't take Buffalo to do anything but maybe cover.

 

And for the love  of what ever super natural being.. I don't want to see Washingtons current uniforms in the game! 

 

 

[Buffalo Ballin]

Eliminate Chiefs' run game. Make them one dimensional.

We did it to Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson last Sunday. We can do that to the Chiefs.

 

While Dion Dawkins' shouldn't have said "Former Champs" comment..then again, everyone keeps saying "Patrick Mahomes undefeated against Josh Allen in the playoffs." Everyone in America following the NFL and their mamas are saying that.

 

Which one is THE TRUE JINX?

 

 

 

 

 

Edited 2 hours ago by Buffalo Ballin

[Harold Jackson]

Just now, Buffalo Ballin said:

Eliminate Chiefs' run game. Make them one dimensional.

We did it to Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson last Sunday. We can do that to the Chiefs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exceot that always happens to the Ravens whether it's Chiefs or Bills doing it. Or who ever else in playoffs vs Ravens.

No one will ever say Ravens have a chance for SB again after past Sunday. Not with Lamar.

 

[LEBills]

We now enter the Championship game with much more favorable tends for the Bills than those we had going into the Ravens game.

 

Historical trends:

 

Over the past 5 years, the Chiefs are 15-2 in the playoffs. Teams with a rest advantage going into Championship weekend are 26-16 and 20-7 when at home.

 

Josh Allen is 0-3 as a road dog in the playoffs. The Bills have not won a road playoff game since 1992 (at Miami). Allen has never won consecutive games when he has been a betting underdog in both (0-15 opportunities). 

 

Mahomes is 3-0 in playoff games vs Allen. There has never been a QB who has beaten another QB 4 consecutive times in the playoffs. 4 teams have won 2 consecutive Superbowls and made the next Championship game. Those teams all lost.

 

2024 Trends:

 

The Chiefs have never had more penalties called against them than their opponent in a Mahomes playoff game and only have one game where the had more penalty yardage than their opponent. Mahomes is 6-5 in games Clete Blakeman has reffed. The last game he reffed was a 20-14 home loss against the Raiders - the last non-Bills loss the Chiefs incurred. Road teams have won 11 games officiated by Blakeman in 2024, the most of any official.

 

Chiefs O vs Bills D

 

The Chiefs have not had a turnover in 8 games. In the last 9 games, the Bills have created 11 turnovers. The Bills have not lost the turnover battle at all this season.

 

The Chiefs have only given up 4 sacks of Mahomes since moving Thuney to LT week 15, though three of those came last week. Thuney is not particularly good at LT, but he is not completely whiffing on blocks like past LTs. The Ravens and Broncos were the 2nd and 3rd least sacked teams this year and the Bills produced two sacks each game.

 

Patrick Mahomes stats vs blitz since Week 12: 81.6 QB rating (25th), 56.3% completion rate (32nd), 6.8 yards per attempt (23rd), 63.2 PFF grade (28th).

 

On the year, Kansas City’s offense finished bottom 10 in yards/play, yards/rush, and dead last in explosive play rate.

 

The Chiefs 48.5% 3rd down conversion percentage (2nd best in the NFL) has allowed their offense to continue drives and post the 10th best time of possession. The Bills allowed the 31st worst 3rd down conversion percentage through week 17 of the regular season.

 

Bills O vs Chiefs D

 

Since losing to the Bills, the Chiefs have 25 sacks in 7 games (not including the week 18 backup game). In that same timeframe, the Bills have surrendered 4 sacks total while playing the top two sack producing teams in that span.

 

The Bills average 4.7 yards per carry on the road in 2024.The Chiefs run defense allows 4.5 ypc at home.The Chiefs only allowed 23.6 receiving yards per game to running backs and no touchdowns

 

The Chiefs did allowed the most receiving yards to Tight Ends this season and 11th most touchdowns.

 

They also allow the most receptions and 2nd most yards to slot receivers.

 

This week Andy Reid has stressed getting stops on 3rd down after the Bills converted 9 of 15 (60%) third downs in the regular season match. For 2024, the Bills ranked 7th in 3rd down conversion rate and the Chiefs defense ranked 23rd in 3rd down conversion percentage allowed through 17 weeks of 2024.

 

Tyler Bass is 24-29 on the season and 59-64 PAT. Butker is 21-25 and 29-31 on PAT. Whereas Butker is automatic within 50 and Bass is a bit scattershot. Butker is 2-5 from 50+ and Bass is 4-4. Bills need to do some self scouting to prevent any type of punt or kick blocking.

 

To editorialize a bit: The Chiefs will not beat themselves with turnovers, and playing on the road will be difficult. The Bills offense though is well suited to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. Look for our TEs and Shakir to have a day (unless they move McDuffie inside). And look for us to control the TOP with many 3rd down conversions using Joshs running and a good rushing attack led by our 6OL formations and the RT side of our OL. If we do that, the Chiefs offense is not explosive enough to make up lost TOP. Unlike last week where we needed the Ravens to make a few mistakes, there is a clear path to victory this week if we execute cleanly

[Scott7975]

10 hours ago, MikePJ76 said:

What is this nonsense?  Who called it allenhead. 
 

did someone in an elementary school start this?  Why is this a thing?

 

KC just trying to drum up a bunch of fake disrespect and an oh woe is me nobody believes in us chip on their shoulder. They are using Dawkins comment when he said former champion too. I mean they gotta do something. They been in a coma all year.