AFC Championship Game Week Thread - Bills at Chiefs

[DaVinci]

[stevestojan]

13 minutes ago, Langeston said:

I’ve done this the past few seasons as well…. 

Just placed it at $500. Balls weren’t big enough to go for a grand. But $450 will pay the therapy bill for a few weeks if the worst happens. 

[sven233]

1 hour ago, Bigvinny said:

 

 

I like Brady a lot.  I think he has a nice scheme overall.  There are a couple things I can pick at, but overall, he has been great for Allen and the offense. 

 

That said, I pray that if he has 2 downs tomorrow to get 2 yards to ice the game, he just runs the Snow Plow Tush Push twice.  I mean, he may get it on the first try even.  But last week, he really over-thought things and it made the finish of that game a lot more stressful.  And perhaps my biggest qualm of all with him is the lack of play action we run.  Here we are trying to win games by dominating up front with the run game (and we are having more success than not doing it) but we seldom ever see play action shots down the field.  It's so frustrating at times, especially when we have Josh Allen who, statistically and visually, is one of the best ever at converting on play action.  Why he only calls a couple of them a game is beyond me, especially when they are successful just about every single time we run them.  So please, Joe......  call more play action, especially on early downs!

 

Other than that, keep up the great work, Joe.  I hope you call the best game of your career to this point tomorrow night!  GO BILLS!

Edited yesterday at 12:43 AM by sven233

[zow2]

36 minutes ago, stevestojan said:

I’m thinking of betting a grand on the Chiefs money line. 
 

Fellow degenerates will understand the reasoning.
 

For those that don’t: I’d HAPPILY pay a thousand dollars for the bills to make a SB. So if I lose, so what. But if the chiefs win, at least I get like $950. 
 

That’s my mental space right now. It’s a dark and scary place. 

 

Yes, the emotional hedge bet.  I do it all the time.  A grand is too rich for my blood but i’ll pay a few hundred for a Bills win. No problem. and if they lose i need to be rewarded for my pain. 

[stevewin]

51 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

The 13 seconds game is on nfl network right now if you’re a psychopath 

 

Hey Oliver just sacked mahomes 

I watched the 1st Q - it's crazy to see Frazier, Hughes, McKenzie, Basham, Beasley, a young Edmunds 😛 etc etc etc and know its only 4 yrs ago - seems like a lifetime ago

[sven233]

39 minutes ago, stevestojan said:

I’m thinking of betting a grand on the Chiefs money line. 
 

Fellow degenerates will understand the reasoning.
 

For those that don’t: I’d HAPPILY pay a thousand dollars for the bills to make a SB. So if I lose, so what. But if the chiefs win, at least I get like $950. 
 

That’s my mental space right now. It’s a dark and scary place. 

 

I've been doing the same thing all season.  I won't be going that high because I placed a futures bet on the Chiefs to win the Super Bowl a while back after one of their fluke wins with the refs help.  Can't remember the exact game, but I watched it and by the time it was over, I was so sure they were winning the Super Bowl because of how insane some of the calls were.  I figured that if the refs made it as obvious as they were, that I may as well get paid while watching this sham play out.

 

But I will absolutely be placing another bet on the Chiefs moneyline tomorrow because I have seen nothing to convince me any different that the league isn't going to do everything they can to make sure the Swifties get to another Super Bowl.  If the Bills stun the world and get the win, great.....I'll happily part with my money.  But, if the Chiefs win by something screwy, at least I am getting paid to take that screwing.  

[Simon]

1 hour ago, njbuff said:

I’ll believe it when I see it when it comes to the Bills DL dominating a game.

 

Yeah, I can see where it might be tough to recall the last time that happened since it's now been almost a whole week(!) since they were the best unit on the field and completely dominated the Ravens OLine. 

[Warriorspikes51]

Can someone please scream in Oliver’s face before the game that he’s too small and not good enough….so he turns into Aaron Donald for a few hours. Thanks! 

 

 

I’m calling it:  

 

Rasul is due.  Tipped ball house call!  
 

KC has all their breaks come to an abrupt end.

 

4 turnovers in the 1st half.  Bills go up 28-3

 

March down the field to start the 3rd quarter and score to bury KC

Edited yesterday at 01:05 AM by Warriorspikes51

[Dan]

3 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

Can someone please scream in Oliver’s face before the game that he’s too small and not good enough….so he turns into Aaron Donald for a few hours. Thanks! 

 

 

I’m calling it:  

 

Rasul is due.  Tipped ball house call!  
 

KC has all their breaks come to an abrupt end.

 

4 turnovers in the 1st half.  Bills go up 28-3

 

March down the field to start the 3rd quarter and score to bury KC

Honestly… if that actually happened.  I’d still be nervous!!   ..just thinking  There’s still a quarter and a half!!  We need to stop them!

[Brand J]

7 minutes ago, Simon said:

 

Yeah, I can see where it might be tough to recall the last time that happened since it's now been almost a whole week(!) since they were the best unit on the field and completely dominated the Ravens OLine. 

The DL has never gotten the better of the KC OL in the playoffs. If they wreck shop up front tomorrow and can disrupt Mahomes, it’s over for the Chiefs.

[Simon]

1 minute ago, Brand J said:

The DL has never gotten the better of the KC OL in the playoffs. If they wreck shop up front tomorrow and can disrupt Mahomes, it’s over for the Chiefs.

 

I think there's a whole lot of folks around here that are whistling past the graveyard and either willfully forgetting or completely ignoring Mahomes ability to make chicken salad out of chicken shlt.

[Warriorspikes51]

1 minute ago, Brand J said:

The DL has never gotten the better of the KC OL in the playoffs. If they wreck shop up front tomorrow and can disrupt Mahomes, it’s over for the Chiefs.

IMO it would be a miracle if our DL impacted the game in a significant way.  (Yes please show them this🤣)

 

but yea honestly I don’t see it.  Reallyyyy want to be proven wrong here!!!

[Straight Hucklebuck]

1 hour ago, boyst said:

Listening to Sirius XM NFL. Jim Miller and Pat Korean both picked the Ravens saying the loss in the Bills secondary is too much for them to overcome. They also picked the Commanders, I think or at least really rallied behind Mahomes facing his successor in Jayden Daniels. It was interesting.

 

Both love Allen to a degree but said that the Chiefs defense will be the answer to stop Allen. The Spags has the answers when it matters to stop him and that they don't see the WR's being able to get touchdowns. 

 

Further, they said the Chiefs running game will be the key for the offense. It was remarkable because one would possibly think after the Ravens game our defense can stop the run game.

 

Their takes are usually on point. Even last week they said that Buffalo has the ability to beat Baltimore. That we have done it and if we make the team rely on Jackson to win the game we might be able to rattle him. But, they took the Ravens.

 

There are many reasons I want us to win:

1) I'm a Bills fan

2) I'm tired of the Chiefs fans, they're not the Patriots.

3) the boneheads who say Mahomes is better than Brady for having 3 by a younger age.

4) they're fun to watch vs other teams save for the Commanders

 

Most importantly: I want the Bills to win to hear the narratives of the media after they win. Is it going to be like the Ravens? That they lost only because of a dropped 2PAT? Are the turnovers, the 90+ seconds the Bills would have the ball, and the possibility of OT just going to be ignored?

The coverage about him last week was him not being covered. Him unsticking from coverage to find the open space. Bishop needs to rely on his speed to make up for what his experience won't offer him. 

 

He played exceptionally well. He received praise from his teammates and many int he media. He did not give up any pressures or have any faults, iirc. 

According to the experts noted above the key is the Chiefs run game:

 

24th per game (102.2 ypg)

31st yards per attempt (3.9)

25th percentage of offensive yards (31.74%)

23rd rush play percentage (41.37%)

19th rushing first downs per game (6.2)

15th rushing touchdowns per game (0.9)

19th rushing attempts per game (26.2)

18th rushing touchdown percentage (36.36%)

 

Do these people even think about what they say? 
 

The KC run game is the key to the game, yet Rapp being out is too much to overcome? 
 

Unless they were banking on Rapp making 12-tackles tomorrow with 4 TFL as an in the box Safety crashing on every run play?

 

The key is of course to contain the death by 1,000 cuts passing game of the Chiefs by tackling as evidenced by them being 9th in plays per game (63.4), 8th in completions per game (23.3). 
 

Just now, Warriorspikes51 said:

IMO it would be a miracle if our DL impacted the game in a significant way.  (Yes please show them this🤣)

 

but yea honestly I don’t see it.  Reallyyyy want to be proven wrong here!!!

Bernard, Milano and Williams need to cap plays at the 2nd level. 
 

The Rams exposed the worst the defense could look - a power armed QB just cooking the Bills in zone first, and then man. 
 

The difference needs to be that Babich has figured out some aggressiveness is needed. 
 

He said they were going to lock themselves in a room like they did against the Ravens and come up with a gameplan and specifically mentioned Kelce. 

[PromoTheRobot]

Do we have any The Bear fans here? Matty Matheson (aka Neil Fak) is from Fort Erie and owns restaurants around Ontario, along with being a TV star now. (Anyone eat at Rizzo's House of Parm in Ridgeway?)

 

 

 

 

Edited yesterday at 01:19 AM by PromoTheRobot

[stlbills13]

Time is too slow

[zow2]

5 minutes ago, Simon said:

 

I think there's a whole lot of folks around here that are whistling past the graveyard and either willfully forgetting or completely ignoring Mahomes ability to make chicken salad out of chicken shlt.

 

I was listening to Mad Dog Russo the other day on Sirius. He was breaking down and  comparing the Bills and KC position groups, head coach, QB, Kicker, etc. He really couldn’t come up with where the Bills have a decided advantage other than maybe Oline.  So he picked Buffalo and said the main reason is they are due to have something good happen at the end in their 4th game of this playoff series… and KC is due to have something bad happen at the end. That’s it. That was his final reasoning which we all hope for.

[BCAS Baritone]

30 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

Can someone please scream in Oliver’s face before the game that he’s too small and not good enough….so he turns into Aaron Donald for a few hours. Thanks! 

 

 

I’m calling it:  

 

Rasul is due.  Tipped ball house call!  
 

KC has all their breaks come to an abrupt end.

 

4 turnovers in the 1st half.  Bills go up 28-3

 

March down the field to start the 3rd quarter and score to bury KC

35-3.  And this game is OVER!  and it is - for the Oilers.

-Chris Berman

[Pete]

10 minutes ago, zow2 said:

 

I was listening to Mad Dog Russo the other day on Sirius. He was breaking down and  comparing the Bills and KC position groups, head coach, QB, Kicker, etc. He really couldn’t come up with where the Bills have a decided advantage other than maybe Oline.  So he picked Buffalo and said the main reason is they are due to have something good happen at the end in their 4th game of this playoff series… and KC is due to have something bad happen at the end. That’s it. That was his final reasoning which we all hope for.

RBs, LBers, QB, and maybe even WR are better on the Bills

[Boatdrinks]

11 minutes ago, zow2 said:

 

I was listening to Mad Dog Russo the other day on Sirius. He was breaking down and  comparing the Bills and KC position groups, head coach, QB, Kicker, etc. He really couldn’t come up with where the Bills have a decided advantage other than maybe Oline.  So he picked Buffalo and said the main reason is they are due to have something good happen at the end in their 4th game of this playoff series… and KC is due to have something bad happen at the end. That’s it. That was his final reasoning which we all hope for.

I can see that, but I’d bet that when the Bills secure the win it’s directly because of Josh Allen. 

[Warriorspikes51]

Since the AFC Championship began in 1970, home teams have posted a 37-17 record in the title game.

 

In the last 10 years, hosts have gone 7-3 in the AFC Championship. During this span, bettors have seen their fair share of close calls and blowouts as six games were decided by double digits and the other four by six points or less.

 

Records:  Thurman Thomas most rushing yards in an AFC title game 186 vs KC in 1993.

Von Miller most sacks in AFC title game 2.5 in 2015