AFC Championship Game Week Thread - Bills at Chiefs

[KingBoots8]

https://nypost.com/2025/01/24/sports/patrick-mahomes-receives-devastating-family-news-prior-to-afc-championship-game/?sr_share=facebook&utm_campaign=nypost&utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAAR25QWfQCT8P6OIRj_RwWKTNgrGDf5s2WX-CrAyq1Jxx7N9_MdndE9HOQXw_aem_BMK5ebw7ImrfnpKDJJHPkg
 

 

…well, Mahomes may be more motivated given his Grandfather is in hospice care. I can’t stand him or (especially) his family, but this is beyond football. I hope we win an he can spend as much time with his family as possible, and I’ll leave it at that.

Edited Friday at 08:28 PM by KingBoots8

[Big Turk]

Eli Ankou is a real one...no wonder why his teammates and the Bills love him so much...

 

 

[Motorin']

 

 

[mjt328]

41 minutes ago, Billsfanatic8989 said:

Everyone is basing the Bills winning on what KC has not done offensively this year. But I still wouldn't be surprised if they go up and down the field on the D. Score maybe 38 points. Whenever they've had to put the foot on the gas peddle, they have.

 

The Chiefs have played 18 games this season.  That's a pretty good sample size.  They scored exactly 30 points twice.  Never went over.  Once required them going to overtime, and the other was against the Panthers (who at that time were legitimately being argued as the worst team in the entire NFL).  So we aren't talking about a team that lacked consistency on offense.  We are talking about a team that was mediocre or struggled all season long in putting the ball into the endzone.

 

For comparison, the Bills scored 30 or more points in 13 of their 19 games.  That includes their regular season matchup against the Chiefs and the Wild Card Game against a Broncos defense which most considered to be the best in the AFC playoffs.  If the Bills had needed 30 to beat the Ravens, I'm pretty confident they could have gotten it... either with that 4th down goal line conversion, or with a 2-minute drive at the end of regulation.

 

Anything can happen on Sunday.  I'm of course nervous and anxious.  But we also have every reason to be confident.  To put it simply... this version of the Bills is better than this version of the Chiefs.  To beat us, their offense will likely need their best game of the entire season.  While at the same time, their defense will need to hold us to one of our worst games of the entire season.  

 

 

 

 

[oldmanfan]

19 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

Eli Ankou is a real one...no wonder why his teammates and the Bills love him so much...

 

 

My daughter’s getting married the same day!

[Big Turk]

9 minutes ago, oldmanfan said:

My daughter’s getting married the same day!

 

Tell her it's not too late to back out! 

 

[Motorin']

14 minutes ago, mjt328 said:

 

The Chiefs have played 18 games this season.  That's a pretty good sample size.  They scored exactly 30 points twice.  Never went over.  Once required them going to overtime, and the other was against the Panthers (who at that time were legitimately being argued as the worst team in the entire NFL).  So we aren't talking about a team that lacked consistency on offense.  We are talking about a team that was mediocre or struggled all season long in putting the ball into the endzone.

 

For comparison, the Bills scored 30 or more points in 13 of their 19 games.  That includes their regular season matchup against the Chiefs and the Wild Card Game against a Broncos defense which most considered to be the best in the AFC playoffs.  If the Bills had needed 30 to beat the Ravens, I'm pretty confident they could have gotten it... either with that 4th down goal line conversion, or with a 2-minute drive at the end of regulation.

 

Anything can happen on Sunday.  I'm of course nervous and anxious.  But we also have every reason to be confident.  To put it simply... this version of the Bills is better than this version of the Chiefs.  To beat us, their offense will likely need their best game of the entire season.  While at the same time, their defense will need to hold us to one of our worst games of the entire season.  

 

 

 

 

 

Something else to consider along these lines. The Bills were 2nd in the NFL in Red Zone efficient at 68%. The Chiefs offense was 24th at 52%. 

 

 

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

16 minutes ago, oldmanfan said:

My daughter’s getting married the same day!

wait, your daughter’s marrying Eli Ankou!? 

[oldmanfan]

1 minute ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

wait, your daughter’s marrying Eli Ankou!? 

No, but a good guy just the same!

[kkim0904]

53 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:

 

They also opened Baylon Spector practice window.

 

 

I freaking love Dawkins man. This dude is amazing.

 

 

Spector still on this active roster scares hell out of me before the Chiefs game.

[Einstein]

2 hours ago, Buffalo716 said:

You think we might have to score 40 to win when the Chiefs hasn't scored 31 all year 

 

Yes.

 

Watch the All-22. The Chiefs had guys open everywhere in that first matchup. Can Mahomes miss them all again? Sure. Will he? I wouldn’t bet on it.

[bills6969]

Long sustained offensive drives is the key. Keep Mahomes on the bench as much as possible.

[NewEra]

4 hours ago, Comebackkid said:

cant remember which game it was i watched him pretty closely....maybe the rams.   he made some plays but he bounced off just every 

tackle.   

🤷🏻‍♂️ I’ve definitely noticed some misses - but he’s high effort and has zero regard for his health 

[Patrick Duffy]

46 minutes ago, Billsfanatic8989 said:

Everyone is basing the Bills winning on what KC has not done offensively this year. But I still wouldn't be surprised if they go up and down the field on the D. Score maybe 38 points. Whenever they've had to put the foot on the gas peddle, they have.

 

Two things concerning the sentence in bold....

 

To the first part of said sentence, I for one would be a little surprised myself....So curious why/what it is considering everything we've seen from KC this particular season would you not at least find it unexpected if surprised might be too strong of a word for you?

 

Second part: What games are you referring to that they've exactly "put the foot on the gas peddle"? Thought many of their games were pretty close along with a few due to "inconsistencies" from the refs.

[Gilberto]

And FFS its "Pedal".... 🤣

[Scott7975]

13 minutes ago, kkim0904 said:

Spector still on this active roster scares hell out of me before the Chiefs game.

 

Technically he isn't on the active roster. He is still on IR. Just that they opened his 21 day practice window because there is no reason not to at this point.

 

 

 

Edited Friday at 09:22 PM by Scott7975

[Buffalo716]

29 minutes ago, Einstein said:

 

Yes.

 

Watch the All-22. The Chiefs had guys open everywhere in that first matchup. Can Mahomes miss them all again? Sure. Will he? I wouldn’t bet on it.

Every team has guys running open at points but it all depends at where 

 

He did not have guys running wide open down the field in two or three seconds 

 

After some broken plays or extended plays he had guys running open  4 5 seconds later.. late developing plays

 

But that's an eternity in the NFL which is why he didn't find them easily.. we have guys running open down field 5 seconds later too.. NFL corners can't cover for 5 or 6 seconds

 

We do not have busted coverage typically two seconds into a play and plays are quick in the NFL.. the Chiefs offense has been pretty anemic I honestly think it's crazy you think they're going to put up 35

 

Mahomes is great but they're not magically shifting a gear

Edited Friday at 09:42 PM by Buffalo716

[VW82]

7 minutes ago, Patrick Duffy said:

why/what it is considering everything we've seen from KC this particular season would you not at least find it unexpected if surprised might be too strong of a word for you?

 

KC has been injured on offense all year and now they're healthy. Pacheco only played in 8 games including playoffs. Brown only played in 3. Hopkins 11. Kelce is a different animal in the playoffs. 

 

Quote

What games are you referring to that they've exactly "put the foot on the gas peddle"? Thought many of their games were pretty close along with a few due to "inconsistencies" from the refs.

 

This QB/coach deserves some benefit of the doubt given what they've achieved to this point even if their offense has only been good enough this year. Discounting the Chiefs after everything they've done to our defense over the years seems way overly confident. 

[JohnNord]

I’ll admit to being nervous as hell on Sunday BUT Joe Buscaglia who usually comes close with his predictions predicted Buffalo to win 31-24 citing several advantages of the rosters.  Yes it means nothing.  There are plenty of other smart people picking Kansas City to win but FWIW he pretty much nailed the other games 

Buffalo 35 Denver 17 (31-7)

Buffalo 29 Ravens 26 (27-25)

 

However, with the way the Chiefs are structured and some of their key weaknesses on the offensive line, along with some exploitable pieces on defense, I believe they can be beeat — even in a matchup they have dominated for years. And the Bills have the right strengths in those key areas to exploit them.

I’m expecting another instant classic of a game, one that will likely come down to one of the last possessions. But in the end, I think Allen and the Bills will do just enough to get to their first Super Bowl in 31 years.

 

Go Bills!!!!! 👏👏👏👏👏

[Ray Stonada]

If you look at the teams this season the Bills offense is better than the Chiefs, but their defense is better than Buffalo’s played for much of the year.

 

However, our defense seems to be ramping up, looking at the Broncos and Ravens games.

 

On the other hand, Mahomes and Kelce are at their best in the biggest games. So is Josh, but we need excellent games out of three or four other players too.

 

We win by two scores if so.