Are you more optimistic against KC this year than in prior playoff years?

[Charles Romes]

The chiefs have one serious weakness but it’s a big one. They don’t have a left tackle. They tried four LTs this year and they finally put their all pro guard in at LT, and the guard position is being manned by a replacement player. If they had Dion Dawkins at LT they would be 6.5 point favorites in this game and 4 point favorites if they had Ryan VanDemark. 
 

 

[msw2112]

The game could go either way and is likely to be a one-possession game.  The two differences between this season and past seasons are a) the Bills have a very strong running game and b) the Bills defense is largely healthy.  I also think this Bills team is more confident, having beaten the Chiefs in the regular season and having won other big games where they were the underdog (Detroit, Baltimore playoffs).

[SaulGoodman]

1 hour ago, mjt328 said:

The Chiefs are playing in their 7th straight AFC Championship game.

In my opinion, this is the 7th-best team they have fielded in that period of time.

 

 

I'd say this year's roster is definitely better than '22 or '23. Much better receiving corps than either team, and much better defense than '22. 

 

[NickelCity]

It's a tough call. 

 

They're healthier than when we played them before. Beating them twice in a season is hard to do. Last time we played them our run game was getting nowhere and Josh converted I don't know how many 3rd and longs. 

 

We've got to get the run game working, imo.

[Juice_32]

I think we are going to run the ball down their throats and win by 14+. Baltimore is a way better team. KCs luck has run out.

[Buffalo4Life01]

I think we have a great chance to win but I'd like our chances more if Taron is okay.  I'm assuming Rap will not be playing but hoping for good news...

Go Bills!!!!

[technobot]

I am, FWIW. The recent vintage of Bills/Chiefs feel like coinflips, but we're right there. 

 

This iteration of the Bills don't seem to be "in their own heads". Our boys also get a +1 or +2 buff this week with all the early talk immediately following last night's game that the better team, i.e. the Ravens, lost the game and the Bills got lucky, or the game was rigged, or some other BS.

 

Feed your outrage, fellas. Everybody eats!

[May Day 10]

I'm more optimistic.

 

No Tyreek Hill.  Those teams were scary.

 

Bills are healthy and IMO a better team.

 

[TBBills Fan]

Yes

[Royale with Cheese]

2 hours ago, bills6969 said:

Why do people keep saying this is KC team is the worst version? They basically have the same team that won the Super Bowl the past 2 seasons.  They’re 15-2 for a reason.  Mahomes is clutch.  Our D will need to play unbelievable to pull this out.  KC won’t gift us 3 TOs like Balt did.

Because they have the worst point differential of any #1 seed team and didn’t score above 30 all year.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

2 hours ago, Another Fan said:

A 40% chance to me.

 

Im not buying the Ravens game was the easier one.

 

The Bills CAN win it but they’re also going up against the Refs/the powers that be as well if you catch my drift.  

Thinking the chiefs game is harder is more trust your gut type analysis than on field play/advanced metrics/matchup type analysis imo

 

the bills win over the ravens is getting minimized a bit because people just automatically assume playoff Lamar will blow one at some point, the chiefs are getting hyped up cuz the narrative is they’re unbeatable.  That ravens team by pretty much all advanced metrics was an all time great team.  The chiefs are a very good team.. 

 

Chiefs definitely have a really good chance to win not trying to say it’s an easy game by any means but it’s a couple tiers below Baltimore imo.  Doesn’t mean it’ll go the same way though.  Football is way too high variance to pull the ‘well we beat the better team so we’re clearly gonna beat this team too’

Edited 13 hours ago by Generic_Bills_Fan

[H2o]

Outside of the AFCCG a few years ago, these games have been close. I would imagine this one will be no different, as long as the refs don't blatantly decide the game. We have a more balanced offense, Josh is playing free, and the Chiefs offense is not what it has been in previous years. They are atop the mountain until we shove them off of the cliff though. 

[SoonerBillsFan]

13 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

Last year, I was somewhat confident but still nervous.  The previous two meetings I was a nervous wreck and wasn’t too optimistic, I think hopeful is the best word.

 

The game next week, I am really comfortable right now.  It could change closer to game day but for this Ravens game, I immediately was nervous after beating Denver.  Baltimore’s offense was just very scary to me.

 

KC, I feel really good right now.

 

What about you guys?

I say we should win by 20,but we have to fight the refs as well

[Danger Mouse]

I really fancy us to win and will be surprised if we don't. 

 

We're a grown up team now. 

[hondo in seattle]

A lot of commentators are saying the Bills won yesterday even though the Ravens looked like the better team.

 

When we played the Chiefs earlier this season, we looked like the better team.  

 

In all our other playoff matchups with KC, I thought it was an uphill battle against a great roster with an elite coaching staff.  This year, though, I like our chances.  

[Sweats]

30 minutes ago, technobot said:

I am, FWIW. The recent vintage of Bills/Chiefs feel like coinflips, but we're right there. 

 

This iteration of the Bills don't seem to be "in their own heads". Our boys also get a +1 or +2 buff this week with all the early talk immediately following last night's game that the better team, i.e. the Ravens, lost the game and the Bills got lucky, or the game was rigged, or some other BS.

 

Feed your outrage, fellas. Everybody eats!

 

 

 

The overall rivalry including regular and post season is indeed a coin flip, however, for just the post season, it is a complete dismantling and clinic for KC........it would be good to finally change the narrative this year.

[ddaryl]

I am more comfortable looking forward to playing the Cheifs than I was against the Ravens.

But this is Mahommes and the Cheifs so its gonna be a tough one. I expect a much diffferent game plan.

[RyanC883]

more optimistic.  Refs scare me.  It coming down to a final drive and KC having the ball scares me.  Nothing else really.  

[T.E.]

Our current coaching staff will never allow me to feel confident against high-end competition. That entire 2nd half strategy last night was like a blueprint on how to blow a double-digit lead at home in January. By the grace of God, they somehow avoided yet another colossal choke job.

[PoundingDog]

The Ravens is an odd ball offense which is a bad match up for the Bills D. The Chiefs' falls into the mainstream but with the best overall QB in the league running it. The Bills D is built for offenses like the Chiefs - the only exception is unstoppable WRs like Nacua paired with an exceptional QB play where you know the ball is coming but still couldn't stop it (and manifested in the loss to the Rams). The Chiefs have Kelce but I will contend that Nacua type is much more dangerous to the Bills D. All of that is to say the Bills D should have more confidence going against the Chiefs - I'm not saying we'll hold them to below 20 points with normal level of plays; just that the fear of the likes of Ravens or Rams blowing our defensive door wide open for 35+ points is not really there.

 

And the other side of the coin is true is: the Chiefs won't beat themselves like the Ravens and Rams. Josh and Company have to earn everything hard way in the playoff against them. That has been the formula for Spagnuolo's D, not unlike the Bills D philosophy. You have to make play after play to drive the field. Along the way they can have HoF guys like Jones make a play or a timely exotic blitz to derail the drive.