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Posted

A simple analysis says this will be close game.


The Bills offense scores about 31 points per game.  The Broncos D gives up about 18.  Average that out and the Bills should score about 25.

 

The Denver offense scores about 25 points per game.  Our D gives up about 22.  Blend those and the Broncos should score about 24.  

 

This simplistic analysis has the Bills winning 25-24.  Or perhaps 28-24 when you consider homefield advantage.  

 

Curiously, ELO ratings (which account for the strength of the opponent) have the Broncos ranked ahead of the Bills.  Yet nfelo does some voodoo math to give the Bills a 72% win probability.  


I personally already predicted a big Bills win.  Call me a homer but I think the Brady-Allen thing is on fire.   

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Posted

We've all been wondering when Bass costs them a game.  I think its Sunday.   

 

Denver 31

Bills 28

 

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Posted

Incredibly late so going big:

 

Bills - 48

Broncs - 17

 

not buying the Donks. Their run game is terrible which is not ideal for a rook in his first playoff game. Javonte Williams took a huge step back this year. They don’t really have a safety blanket TE either. Sutton is criminally underrated (Rod Smith #2) and I won’t blink an eye if Marvin Mims escapes for a long TD but outside of that Dline I’m not impressed

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Posted (edited)

The more physical team, especially on the lines, will win. Nix and Payton are too good of a combo, so the Bill defense needs to disrupt their plans today.

 

If the Bills are going to win it all, the D Line needs to take the next step today, no matter how well the offense plays.  The D line needs to be consistently more productive now and going forward.

 

Short passing game opens up the run and long passing game.  Cooper and Coleman come alive, as the Bills take more steps forward as an offense today.

 

Almost every game in which the other team's defense is put on a pedestal, the Bills' defense is the one that dominates.

 

Bills  35,  broncos 17

 

 

 

Edited by Mister Defense
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Posted
On 1/9/2025 at 8:42 PM, hondo in seattle said:

Bills dismantle Broncos vaunted D.

 

Bills 30

Broncos 21

 

I underrated our defense again, but my offensive prediction was more or less right.  

Posted
On 1/9/2025 at 9:04 AM, Steptide said:

I could possibly see Denver getting out to a 10-3 lead and this message board imploding 😅. Bills seem to always start slow for whatever reason, but as others have said, feeling like 31-17 bills victory, or somewhere in that range 

Excellent prediction.

 

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Posted

Sorry this took so long, but I had a lot of work compiling the scores from this thread and the fugazi thread (no fugazi scores here, the winners came from this thread).

 

Congratulations to all who picked the Bills, well done!  With the final score Broncos 7, Bills 31, the winners are:

 

Gold -  @Drew21PA and @without a drought, 13-31, for a total score of 3 (-3 for the exact Bills score). 

Silver - @LabattBlue, 15-31, for a total score of 5 (-3 for the exact Bills score, tiebreaker for closest to Bills score). 

Bronze - @Philly McButterpants, 5-34, for a total score of 5.

 

See you all next week!

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