NFC playoff picture

[Gregg]

I know we focus on the AFC because of the Bills but the NFC has some exciting races for the division and home field.

 

Right now, its.

 

1. Lions 13-2

2.Eagles 12-3

3.Rams 9-6

4.Falcons 8-7

5. Vikings 13-2

6.Packers 11-4

7.Commanders 10-5

 

Seattle at 9-7 and Bucs at 8-7 in the hunt.

 

The Lions and Vikings play week 18. That is for the division and most likely the #1 seed unless Philly can steal it. The Rams and Seahawks play week 18 probably for the division. The loser is probably out as the 3 wild cards will be Green Bay, loser of the Vikings/Lions game, and the Commanders. The loser of the Vikings-Lions will have to go on the road and play the Falcons-Bucs division winner which has been a garbage division this year. Some exciting races in the NFC especially the Lions and Vikings.

[stuvian]

Interestingly none of the division champions are confirmed 

[Governor]

Rams are going deep.

[bills6969]

It’s crazy that a team with only 3 losses is going to end up as the 5 seed. That has to be some kind of record.

[Dr.Sack]

I think the Vikings get beat this week in a classic trap game before their week 18 showdown with Detroit. As long as Detroit wins this week they will have the 1 seed. Philly will be the 2. LA Rams 3, and Tampa or Atlanta in the usual NFC South garbage division for the 4. The 5-7 in the NFC are all teams that can win on the road. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pack, Commanders and Vikings win their WC matchup.

[co_springs_billsfan]

8 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

I think the Vikings get beat this week in a classic trap game before their week 18 showdown with Detroit. As long as Detroit wins this week they will have the 1 seed. Philly will be the 2. LA Rams 3, and Tampa or Atlanta in the usual NFC South garbage division for the 4. The 5-7 in the NFC are all teams that can win on the road. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pack, Commanders and Vikings win their WC matchup.

Disagree just on the Commies.  I think (like Denver, and to a slightly lesser extent the Chargers) they've ridden an easy schedule to a decent record.  Certainly taking care of business against teams with losing records is commendable but I don't see them as upper echelon yet.  Their only quality win against the Eagles was without Jalen Hurts playing most of the game.

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

12 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

I think the Vikings get beat this week in a classic trap game before their week 18 showdown with Detroit. As long as Detroit wins this week they will have the 1 seed. Philly will be the 2. LA Rams 3, and Tampa or Atlanta in the usual NFC South garbage division for the 4. The 5-7 in the NFC are all teams that can win on the road. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pack, Commanders and Vikings win their WC matchup.

The Packers may win because they’re a really good team but trap game?  Against an 11-4 division rival?  I think the Vikings are more disciplined than overlooking this one.

[chongli]

On 12/27/2024 at 2:52 PM, Governor said:

Rams are going deep.

 

That's what she said.

 

On 12/27/2024 at 2:56 PM, bills6969 said:

It’s crazy that a team with only 3 losses is going to end up as the 5 seed. That has to be some kind of record.

 

In 1999 (the year of the Music City Miracle), Tennessee finished 13-3 but was second in the division to Jacksonville, who was 14-2:

 

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/1999/index.htm

Edited December 31, 2024 by chongli

[4merper4mer]

8 hours ago, Gregg said:

I know we focus on the AFC because of the Bills but the NFC has some exciting races for the division and home field.

 

Right now, its.

 

1. Lions 13-2

2.Eagles 12-3

3.Rams 9-6

4.Falcons 8-7

5. Vikings 13-2

6.Packers 11-4

7.Commanders 10-5

 

Seattle at 9-7 and Bucs at 8-7 in the hunt.

 

The Lions and Vikings play week 18. That is for the division and most likely the #1 seed unless Philly can steal it. The Rams and Seahawks play week 18 probably for the division. The loser is probably out as the 3 wild cards will be Green Bay, loser of the Vikings/Lions game, and the Commanders. The loser of the Vikings-Lions will have to go on the road and play the Falcons-Bucs division winner which has been a garbage division this year. Some exciting races in the NFC especially the Lions and Vikings.

If the Rams beat the Cardinals, which they will, that division is over.  The Vikes need to beat the Packers or the Lions need to lose to the 49ers for that game to have meaning.

[chongli]

49 minutes ago, bills6969 said:

It’s crazy that a team with only 3 losses is going to end up as the 5 seed. That has to be some kind of record.

 

It is also crazy Buffalo will finish 14-3 most likely and not get the top seed. Since Allen, these were the number one seeds in the AFC:

 

2023 BAL 13-4

2022 KC 14-3

2021 TEN 12-5 (tied with KC 12-5)

2020 KC 14-2

2019 BAL 14-2

2018 KC 12-4

Edited December 27, 2024 by chongli

[chongli]

22 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said:

The Vikes need to beat the Packers

 

You know who the NFL is rooting for so they have a good Game 272.

[Process]

Eagles are my pick to lose to the bills in the Superbowl. They are loaded with talent. Getting Dejean and Mitchell in the draft, where they got them, was just stupid.

[djp14150]

Ive been updating this in the AFC thread ( excludes ties)

 

Philly magic number is 1 for the division title 

 

Falcons can only win the division with a WW ( magic number 2) or a W and TB L, they swept H2H so TB has to finish ahead of them

 

Lions magic number is 2 so they clinch with a W and Vikings L any other results then they play for the title in week 18 

 

Seahawks won. hope Rams lose to AZ. then SEA at Rams week 18 is winner gets division. If the Rams win on Sunday, Seattle needs to beat the rams but then  it goes to strength of schedule and strength of victory tiebreakers

 

TB can get WC with WW and WAS LL. They have H2H W over WAS ( week 1) and a better conference record if another team ties.

 

WAS clinch WC with a W.

 

 

 

 

Edited December 28, 2024 by djp14150

[djp14150]

SEA and Rams tiebreakers if Rams beat AZ…

 

split H2H

same div record

same common game record

same conference record

 

then it goes to 

strength of victory

strength of schedule  

after that is gets into points scoring 

 

Strength of schedule…..

Same as opponents wins of all games were played 

 

thus comes down to non common games

Rams—- LV,  NO, PHL —3+5+12=20 ( best they can do is 25)

SEA—- DEN, ATL, NYG—9+8+2=19 ( best they can do is 24)

 

Rams can clinch this based on results after week 17 games

 

 

 

strength of victory…

wins is equivalent if there are no canceled games 

 

Rams—-AZ, SF,SF,SEA, NE, jets, buf, MIN, NO , LV

SEA—-AZ, AZ, SF, rams, NE, jets, MIA, CHI, ATL, den 

canceling out common games

 

Rams—-SF, BUF, MIN, NO, LV=6+12+13+5+3=39

SEA—-AZ, MIA, CHI, ATL, DEN=7+7+4+8+9=35.

 

no plays LV this week guaranteeing 1 W for rams 

max SEA can do is 43. Rams have at least 40.

 

3.5 W is the magic number of rams teams W or SES team L. This can be clinched after week 17

 

a tie counts as half win.

 

 

With denver L it’s no down to 2.5 to clinch

 

 

 

 

 

Edited December 29, 2024 by djp14150

[chongli]

To add to djp14150's post above:

 

 

[ProcessImproverMan]

16 hours ago, co_springs_billsfan said:

Disagree just on the Commies.  I think (like Denver, and to a slightly lesser extent the Chargers) they've ridden an easy schedule to a decent record.  Certainly taking care of business against teams with losing records is commendable but I don't see them as upper echelon yet.  Their only quality win against the Eagles was without Jalen Hurts playing most of the game.

With the way Daniels is playing and how guys like McLaurin are having much better years thanks to it....it would not surprise me if they knocked someone out in the playoffs and made a run. Daniels when he has been on has really been on. Best touch on deep balls I've seen from rookies in years and he has that 4th quarter comeback magic. 

 

They definitely overachieved and that's a credit to Daniels. What a difference a QB makes. Honestly they are like the Bills with Allen in my opinion except we have a bit more talent. Both teams carried by great QBs

[billsfan89]

17 hours ago, Governor said:

Rams are going deep.

I like the Rams as a dark horse. Eagles/Lions are the two juggernauts and the Vikings/Packers/Commanders are all boasting solid records but the Rams should they secure their division are in a position where I can see them going on a run. 
 

I also like Tampa Bay for a dark horse as well should they win their division mainly because they still have that “championship DNA” like the Rams but also Baker is a tough QB and the Bucs have a solid overall amount of talent when healthy 

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

playoffstaus.com

 

lists 226 possible ways that Seattle can be eliminated.  Look under 

'Seahawks Elimination Options'.

🤷🏽‍♂️

[djp14150]

6 hours ago, chongli said:

To add to djp14150's post above:

 

 

 

this tweet  overcomplicate it.

 

I mad a correction in my post

 

 

Edited December 28, 2024 by djp14150

[djp14150]

1/5 DET

2/1/5/6 PHL

3/4/ out Rams

4/3/ out ATL

5/1/2/6 MIN

6/5 GB

7/2/out WAS

Out /7/3/4 TB

out/3/4 SEA

 

PHL has common games tiebreaker tiebreaker edge on MIN if tied with same record 

if Min LL and GB WW then GB ahead of NIN 

if PHL LL and WAS WW ten WAS  W div

ATL WW they clinch div or a W and TB L. They can’t get WC

TB WW and ATL L they win division

TB WW and WAS LL then TB W WC 

 

TB/ATL have tiebreak on Rams for 3/4 seeding if tied

if SEA W div they beat ATL but lose to TB in seeding