Why not go for 2…

[Logic]

2 minutes ago, LABILLBACKER said:

You guys are all assuming McD has the intelligence to activate such a strategy.  That's a big ask?

More importantly, they're assuming the Bills convert three straight 2-point conversions, which is statistically unlikely.

[From Roc to Ky bills fan]

1 hour ago, djp14150 said:

When it was 31-14 and they scored…

 

31-22

38-22

38-30

38-38…tie game

44-45…they win

 

 

my philosophy is if you are down 17 and think other team could score 7, I’d go for 2 after every TD

 

 

 

Going for 2 would take a competent head coach 

[djp14150]

31 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

You set the likelihood of converting 3-4 straight 2 point conversions in the same game...at 80%????😂😂😂

 

 

League wide the success rate is about 30 percent. And that's just on one...not 3 or 4 straight. 

 

Individual probability at 80% 

 

so PPP=0.8*0.8*0.8=0,522=51.2%

20 minutes ago, Logic said:

More importantly, they're assuming the Bills convert three straight 2-point conversions, which is statistically unlikely.

Whats the probability of flipping 3 heads?

 

0.5*0.5*0,5=0.225= 12.5%

 

odds making a 2 are much higher than 50%

[BuffaloBillyG]

1 hour ago, djp14150 said:

Individual probability at 80% 

 

so PPP=0.8*0.8*0.8=0,522=51.2%

Whats the probability of flipping 3 heads?

 

0.5*0.5*0,5=0.225= 12.5%

 

odds making a 2 are much higher than 50%

Individual probability is not 80%. Show me where you get that figure. And as of a few weeks ago, the success rate was 30% this year on 2 point conversions NFL wide. 

 

You are inventing numbers. Inventing a narrative. At this point I'm going to disengage because your whole argument is based on made up facts and bull####.