Ravens vs Chargers MNF game thread (no Bills talk please)

[Johnnycage46]

3 minutes ago, JujuFish said:

If you're down 14 late, it makes mathematical sense. 2 pointers are successful about 47.5% of the time. 1 pointers 95%.

 

If you score a TD and go for 2:

47.5% of the time, you'll have 8 points. Now a TD+PAT (95%) will win the game.

52.5% of the time, you'll have 6 points. Now a TD+2pt (47.5%) will tie the game.

 

Calculating out:

 

Make XP on first TD:

14 points: (95*.95) 90.25%

13 points: (.95*.05) 4.75%

Miss XP and forced to go for 2 on second TD:

14 points (.05*.475) 2.375%

12 points (.05*.525) 2.625%

 

Tie game: 92.625%

Lost game: 7.275%

 

Make 2PT on first TD and therefore kick PAT for the win:

15 points: (.475*.95) 45.125%

14 points: (.475*.05) 2.375%

 

Miss 2PT and go for 2 on second TD to tie:

14 points: (.525 * .475) 24.9375%

12 points: (.525 * .525) 27.5625%

 

Won game: 45.125%

Tie game: 27.3125%

Lost game: 27.3125%

 

Going for PATs will at best tie the game for you. Going for 2 gives you a greater than 45% chance to outright win and greater than 72% chance to do no worse than kicking PATs. Is a 45.125% chance to win worth risking an extra 20% chance to lose? Yes, yes it is.

Nerd

[gobills404]

That’s blatant DPI (i hate the ravens)

[frostbitmic]

Looked like PI to me

[mannc]

Didn’t know DPI was reviewable…

[PromoTheRobot]

8 minutes ago, Sierra Foothills said:

Lowell George was an interesting guy. One fun fact was that he was in Frank Zappa's Mothers of Invention. Hard to believe.

 

 

I heard a story that Lowell liked to play a little game where he'd ask for a light from your lighter and then walk off with it to see if you'd say anything.

[zow2]

I didn’t come up with this,  but interesting.

 

The Giants let Saquon leave.
The Titans let King Henry leave.
The Raiders let Josh Jacobs leave.

 

Those 3 teams are a combined 7-26.

Those 3 RBs are a combined 24-9.

 

Maybe (just maybe) elite RBs matter.

[Big Turk]

What's the point of punting with 6 minutes left down 2 TDs?

[BillsFan130]

That wasn't even close to a flag.
 

it's crazy how they had to even have to huddle to overturn that, should never have been called in the 1st place 

[mannc]

Just now, zow2 said:

I didn’t come up with this,  but interesting.

 

The Giants let Saquon leave.
The Titans let King Henry leave.
The Raiders let Josh Jacobs leave.

 

Those 3 teams are a combined 7-26.

Those 3 RBs are a combined 24-9.

 

Maybe (just maybe) elite RBs matter.

Wrong thread 

[Big Turk]

1 minute ago, zow2 said:

I didn’t come up with this,  but interesting.

 

The Giants let Saquon leave.
The Titans let King Henry leave.
The Raiders let Josh Jacobs leave.

 

Those 3 teams are a combined 7-26.

Those 3 RBs are a combined 24-9.

 

Maybe (just maybe) elite RBs matter.

 

All of them went to teams that were already playoff teams from teams that were trash.

 

Think it says when you add really good players to already good teams they become better and when you take really good players off trash teams they become worse.

Edited 5 hours ago by Big Turk

[The Helmet of]

Looked like the receiver initiated contact hoping to draw the foul…  

[LABILLBACKER]

I love how the other refs just talked him out of it. It was blatant PI...this league and it's refs get more ridiculous each week.

[DapperCam]

That whole drive was whack. Just bomb after bomb, when they had time to have a semi-normal scoring drive. I'm sure the Ravens would have been in pseudo-prevent and allowed the Chargers to march down the field and eat some clock. I'm not too sure about this Greg Roman guy.

[Breakout Squad]

That looked like DPI to me. And the studio ref saying there wasn’t enough contact is laughable. He was grabbed. Pass Interference every time. 
 

And I’m rooting for the Chargers 

[Big Blitz]

4 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:

I've been hearing that since his rookie year but he's just missing something that I can't put my finger on.

Yep. 
 

And he just made 2 of the worst throws and decisions of the game.  

[mannc]

Just now, Big Turk said:

What's the point of punting with 6 minutes left down 2 TDs?

Let’s the other team know that you’ve surrendered.  Easier that way.

[Doc Brown]

2 minutes ago, zow2 said:

I didn’t come up with this,  but interesting.

 

The Giants let Saquon leave.
The Titans let King Henry leave.
The Raiders let Josh Jacobs leave.

 

Those 3 teams are a combined 7-26.

Those 3 RBs are a combined 24-9.

 

Maybe (just maybe) elite RBs matter.

Saquon averaged 3.9 ypc last year.  Henry averaged 4.2 ypc last year.  Jacob's averaged 3.5 ypc last year.  It's mostly the o-line's.

Edited 5 hours ago by Doc Brown

[MikePJ76]

25 minutes ago, BRH said:

 

Not just big.  Fast for his size.  If being big was all it took, all RBs would be that size!

r

As it is, he’s one of one.  Is he a technically great runner?  Probably not.  With those gifts, he doesn’t need to be.  But no one else his size can do what he does.

 

The history of the league has a bunch of guys his size who imo were better especially since they played in a different and more physical era of football.

 

Steven Jackson, John Riggins, Franco Harris, Jim Brown, Eric Dickerson, Eddie George, Oj Anderson, Larry Csonka, Antowain Smith etc.    All his size and most outproduced him in a tougher league with shorter seasons and more difficult playing conditions_Environments.

 

I honestly never think of henry among the greats at this point.  If he does this for like 3 to 5 years more I will.  

[TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th]

I hate the fact that players get close to the officials and try to influence them to overturn penalties. There should be some rule about that.

[LABILLBACKER]

1 minute ago, BillsFan130 said:

That wasn't even close to a flag.
 

it's crazy how they had to even have to huddle to overturn that, should never have been called in the 1st place 

Yeah it was...