Ravens vs Chargers MNF game thread (no Bills talk please)

[Motorin']

2 minutes ago, Big Blitz said:

Let me hand it to this freak show RB that literally just flicked two guys off him in what should have been a 5 yard loss.  

 

You have to tackle him low there, should have wrapped his legs up. Just have to avoid going head first I to this thighs like Taylor Rapp did. 

[buffblue]

It's probably better that the Ravens are going to win. They will be 5th at worst now which means we will avoid them in the WC if we cant secure the bye. Regardless of which 2 of Chargers/Broncos/Dolphins get in, none have the horses to beat the Bills imo

[Buffalo716]

2 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said:

Ya It's bizarre cause they actually have two really good players in Humphrey and Hamilton .  (And a first rounder in Wiggins)
 

I think they will be better down the stretch cause they do have talent , just massively underperforming 

Notre Dame is my favorite college program and I love the Irish 

 

Kyle Hamilton was a beast for the program and it's a really good player 

 

He has developed stones for hands.. he used to make crazy interceptions... Now he drops balls my mom could catch 

 

He has everything but the ability to finish now 

[Doc Brown]

1 minute ago, Johnnycage46 said:

I think if they lose their division but stay out of 7 seed...if we end up with the 2 seed we avoid them all the way to AFCC if we make it.

There's a better chance of them getting the 5th or 6th seed with a win tonight also if the Steelers can hang on to the division.

[LABILLBACKER]

Bosa & Mack are invisible in this defense. 

[JujuFish]

24 minutes ago, boco357 said:

These going for 2 plays are ridiculous. 

Yesterday Chicago did it down 14 and this one.

Kick and make it 8

 

If you're down 14 late, it makes mathematical sense. 2 pointers are successful about 47.5% of the time. 1 pointers 95%.

 

If you score a TD and go for 2:

47.5% of the time, you'll have 8 points. Now a TD+PAT (95%) will win the game.

52.5% of the time, you'll have 6 points. Now a TD+2pt (47.5%) will tie the game.

 

Calculating out:

 

Make XP on first TD:

14 points: (95*.95) 90.25%

13 points: (.95*.05) 4.75%

Miss XP and forced to go for 2 on second TD:

14 points (.05*.475) 2.375%

12 points (.05*.525) 2.625%

 

Tie game: 92.625%

Lost game: 7.275%

 

Make 2PT on first TD and therefore kick PAT for the win:

15 points: (.475*.95) 45.125%

14 points: (.475*.05) 2.375%

 

Miss 2PT and go for 2 on second TD to tie:

14 points: (.525 * .475) 24.9375%

12 points: (.525 * .525) 27.5625%

 

Won game: 45.125%

Tie game: 27.3125%

Lost game: 27.5625%

 

Going for PATs will at best tie the game for you. Going for 2 gives you a greater than 45% chance to outright win and greater than 72% chance to do no worse than kicking PATs. Is a ~45% chance to win worth risking an extra ~20% chance to lose? Yes, yes it is.

Edited 5 hours ago by JujuFish

[Cash]

2 minutes ago, Johnnycage46 said:

Week 18 is in January lol. But yeah, over rated for sure.

I think we play NE in week 18

[Aussie Joe]

Has McConkey started shaving yet? 

[HappyDays]

5 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

He was the same at Oregon with a loaded cast 

 

He's extremely talented but I don't think he has the dog to really want it

 

He has way more talent than Tom Brady.. Tom Brady will never be forgeted because of his grit and toughness and determination to be the best 

 

Herbert is a West Coast hippie vibe

 

He's done nothing wrong tonight though. Made big play after big play. His team just continually lets him down.

[Ethan in Cleveland]

McKonkey looks like a 12 year old

[Buffalo Junction]

1 minute ago, Johnnycage46 said:

I think if they lose their division but stay out of 7 seed...if we end up with the 2 seed we avoid them all the way to AFCC if we make it.

It’s a very different matchup with Taron, Milano, Bernard, Von, Cooper, and a healthy Samuel in the lineup. 

[Doc Brown]

1 minute ago, HappyDays said:

 

He's done nothing wrong tonight though. Made big play after big play. His team just continually lets him down.

I've been hearing that since his rookie year but he's just missing something that I can't put my finger on.

[BillsFan130]

2 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

Notre Dame is my favorite college program and I love the Irish 

 

Kyle Hamilton was a beast for the program and it's a really good player 

 

He has developed stones for hands.. he used to make crazy interceptions... Now he drops balls my mom could catch 

 

He has everything but the ability to finish now 

I'll trust what you're saying is true with the hands, but He was 1st team all pro last year -He is a really good player

[Buffalo716]

Just now, HappyDays said:

 

He's done nothing wrong tonight though. Made big play after big play. His team just continually lets him down.

I'm not talking specifically about tonight 

 

And I did say he's extremely talented... Guys like elway or Allen or even mahomes are willing to take off up the middle for 15 yards and take a massive hit for a big first down 

 

I don't know if Herbert has that in him.. but we all know Josh will give up his career for one super bowl

[mannc]

I’m not really seeing any open Charger receivers

[HappyDays]

They're trying to create a downfield passing offense with Joshua Palmer. That ain't it.

[BRH]

Herbert’s receivers look like Mack Hollins on deep balls.

[mannc]

Wow, these refs suck.

[buffblue]

Wow that did not look like interference

[Buffalo716]

Just now, BillsFan130 said:

I'll trust what you're saying is true with the hands, but He was 1st team all pro last year -He is a really good player

Oh he's a stud 

 

He could have 12 interceptions a year

 

But he finishes with four.. or zero I think right now 

 

Because he's not finishing the interception.. besides that he would be the best safety on our team by a million miles