AFC playoff race

[strive_for_five_guy]

55 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

Lose to Lions and hope KC beats Steelers. Win 3 out of last 4 games we are 14-3. KC goes 16-1. 

You’re saying if we win 3 out of last 4,

we will be 14-3?

[Dr.Sack]

3 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

You’re saying if we win 3 out of last 4,

we will be 14-3?

No 14-3. Gotta beat Detroit to have any chance at 2 seed. 

[SCBills]

2 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

No 14-3. Gotta beat Detroit to have any chance at 2 seed. 

Steelers finish with Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs and Bengals. 

Do you mean 1 seed?  Because that’s accurate as the Chiefs could lose two games.. they won’t, but they will probably go down to the wire in all of them. 
 

Edited December 9 by SCBills

[strive_for_five_guy]

Just now, Dr.Sack said:

No 14-3. Gotta beat Detroit to have any chance at 2 seed. 

K well you said we lose to Detroit and win 3 of last 4, we’ll be 14-3.  We’d be 13-4 in that case.

[Dr.Sack]

Just now, SCBills said:

Steelers finished with Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs and Bengals. 

Steelers are 10-3, and can easily win 3/4. 

Just now, strive_for_five_guy said:

K well you said we lose to Detroit and win 3 of last 4, we’ll be 14-3.  We’d be 13-4 in that case.

Meant to say gotta win coz we blew our loss vs Rams. Now gotta go 4-0.

[SCBills]

6 minutes ago, Dr.Sack said:

Steelers are 10-3, and can easily win 3/4. 

Which would mean we just need to sweep the Pats and beat the Jets. 
 

EDIT: Just read that if we both win out, Steelers are 2

 

Edited December 9 by SCBills

[Dr.Sack]

Just now, SCBills said:

Which would mean we just need to sweep the Pats and beat the Jets. 

Don’t forget the Steelers also hold tiebreaker based on SOV once they beat those 3 teams. 

[Billsfanatic8989]

Keep in mind Houston has the tiebreaker on us. So if they go undefeated and we lose twice...we are the 5th seed.

Edited December 9 by Billsfanatic8989

[SCBills]

1 minute ago, Dr.Sack said:

Don’t forget the Steelers also hold tiebreaker based on SOV once they beat those 3 teams. 

True, would it make a difference who their loss is to?  If we both go 3/4. 

[Dr.Sack]

2 minutes ago, SCBills said:

True, would it make a difference who their loss is to?  If we both go 3/4. 

Maybe maybe not. Let’s assume conference record is a wash. It’s a coins toss even if we both are 13-4. I think our AFC record is better and losing to Lions gives us an edge. I think we edge them out if we go 3-1 with the lone loss being against the Lions. 

[SCBills]

1 minute ago, Dr.Sack said:

Maybe maybe not. Let’s assume conference record is a wash. It’s a coins toss even if we both are 13-4. I think our AFC record is better and losing to Lions gives us an edge. I think we edge them out if we go 3-1 with the lone loss being against the Lions. 

We’d have two AFC/two NFC losses. 
 

If they lose to an AFC team as their sole loss, they’d be 3 AFC/1 NFC. 

[djp14150]

8 hours ago, SCBills said:

Which would mean we just need to sweep the Pats and beat the Jets. 
 

EDIT: Just read that if we both win out, Steelers are 2

 

 

tiebreaker's with Steelers…

 

both 10-3 and 7-2 in conference 

next week both play their final non conference game , remaking within conference.

 

if they win out then they are still tied

if bills lose to lions and Steelers W thrn buffalo would get first tiebreaker by WWE and Steelers L one.

it thrn goes to 

common games

   Bills/ Steelers 

 IND  W L 

BAL  L. W?

Jets W? W

KC   W ?

? Is a game to play

Bills beat Jets and Steelers L one of KC/ BAL, bills has tiebreaker 

 

If both win out  out they are tied at 4-1

 

next tiebreaker is strength of schedule…below is full schedule, not who they have played to date.  It’s the same as Ws if teams play same number of games 

 

buf/ pit winning out alone does not decide this tiebreaker. 

 

BUF AE, AS, NW, KC, balt, Det

PIT AN, AW, NE, Jets, Colts, Atl

 

AE 24 AN 30*

AS 20, AW 30 

NW. 27   NE 26 *

NC 32 NC 15 

 

BUF 103 PIT 101*

 

Buffalo right now has the edge 

NC are non common 

* Tonight Cincy-dal still to play

 

Next is strength of victory — now is undecided and depends on other teams games results.

 

8 hours ago, Dr.Sack said:

Don’t forget the Steelers also hold tiebreaker based on SOV once they beat those 3 teams. 

 

the tiebreaker  order sre

 

lH2H

conference record

common games

strength of schedule

strength of victory

 

right now both are 3-1 against NFC and play final NFC game next week

 

common games sre Indy, jets, balt, kc. Buf has jets, they have balt &KC

 

[djp14150]

8 hours ago, Dr.Sack said:

No 14-3. Gotta beat Detroit to have any chance at 2 seed. 

Got yo best Detroit if they want a shot an #1 seed. If they L they need KC to go 1-3.

 

BUF goes LWWW for 13-4. IF PIT beats PHilly next week, thenBUF needs them to L one of final 3 and 2nd is BUF.

[The Jokeman]

8 hours ago, SCBills said:

Steelers finish with Eagles, Ravens, Chiefs and Bengals. 

Do you mean 1 seed?  Because that’s accurate as the Chiefs could lose two games.. they won’t, but they will probably go down to the wire in all of them. 
 

Chiefs are playing with house money right now, the law of averages say they're going to lose one of these games sooner than later. Whether it be in the regular season or the post season. I'm honestly not afraid if we have to play them in the playoffs. 

[Sweats]

I honestly don't give a rat's *** what seed we are.......we're in the post season, we've clinched the AFCEast a 5th straight year and we have Mr. MVP leading the charge.

 

Let the chips fall where they may at this point and deal with it.

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

As we look at the conferences this Tuesday morning, there's only been the Giants eliminated from postseason play.  Granted, Saints, Panthers, Cowboys, and Bears are all at 99% probability of elimination, but they're still clinging to a chance.

https://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/nfcstandings.html

 

The AFC is a much clearer picture:

https://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/afcstandings.html

Six teams eliminated, with the Bengals only having a 1% chance of making the playoffs.

 

 

[Gregg]

On 12/9/2024 at 12:41 AM, Billsfanatic8989 said:

Keep in mind Houston has the tiebreaker on us. So if they go undefeated and we lose twice...we are the 5th seed.

 

at Lions

Pats

Jets

at Pats

 

The only way the Bills lose twice is if that last game against NE is meaningless and they treat it like a preseason game. The Bills should go at least 3-1 if they need to win all their games.

[Ed_Formerly_of_Roch]

On 12/9/2024 at 12:41 AM, Billsfanatic8989 said:

Keep in mind Houston has the tiebreaker on us. So if they go undefeated and we lose twice...we are the 5th seed.

 

No can't be be.  We won the division so no worse than 4th seed and first game at home likely against Balt in that case.  Or Balt could still win division over Pitt as they could lose a few down the stretch as they have a tough remaining schedule.

[CincyBillsFan]

Pitt has a much tougher schedule then Buffalo over their last 4 games and IMO is more likely then the Bills to lose 2 more games.  I predict the Bills finish at 13 - 4 and he Steelers at 12 - 5.

 

 

 

 

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

2 hours ago, CincyBillsFan said:

Pitt has a much tougher schedule then Buffalo over their last 4 games and IMO is more likely then the Bills to lose 2 more games.  I predict the Bills finish at 13 - 4 and he Steelers at 12 - 5.

 

 

 

 

Agreed.  I think we are a lock for the 2 seed, probably even before week 18. I have a feeling the chiefs and bills will both rest their starters for week 18, and it seems like we will get Denver in round 1.