AFC playoff race

[Dillenger4]

6 minutes ago, bills6969 said:

I wouldn’t count out Pit.  That D is tough. Hopefully Balt and Pitt kick the crap out of each other in Wild Card round.

I hear ya - but they looked mediocre yesterday. Their O is not a powerhouse and Russ can turn the ball over. But yes, they are a tough team for sure!

[Brand J]

Baltimore has put up historic numbers offensively this year. Anyone saying they’re fine with playing them in the playoffs and seeing King Henry again, careful what you wish for. 

[Mikie2times]

10 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Of course we worked our way up to perennial-ish 2 seed right when they took away the 2 seed bye lol 

I feel like by that same logic the broncos or chargers defense can have a good game and shut us down and their offense can do enough against our playoff defense to beat us too though.

 

this bengals thing feels like another slightly overreacting to past trauma situation lol theyll score more points than the others but losing to them seems like it’s as likely to losing to the broncos or chargers to me 

Rookie QB or a Greg Roman offense that we have owned vs a Bengals QB who is 17 for 17 on opening drives vs us with 3 TD. 

 

Gee.....

 

55 minutes ago, Kelly to Allen said:

 

Buffalo would destroy the eagles in the super bowl. We would be celebrating at halftime 

The Bengals defense might be the worst in the NFL. Playoff Lamar is a disaster. 

 

Let things play out. Herbert could get on a heater and before you know it it's chargers at buffalo in the AFC championship 

If you can't beat the worst defensive team in the NFL in the Bengals we were never beating Baltimore or KC ...

 

 

Well, the Rams defense is 27th. 

[Kelly to Allen]

1 minute ago, Mikie2times said:

Rookie QB or a Greg Roman offense that we have owned vs a Bengals QB who is 17 for 17 on opening drives vs us with 3 TD. 

 

Gee.....

 

Well, the Rams defense is 27th. 

 

The rams would get destroyed too

[djp14150]

With results from  today….

 

buffalo is at 11-3 while PIT/BAL are 10-5. A win sunday does not clinch anything here.

 

If BUF W tomorrow and they both L on Xmas then Bills clinch #2 and KC clinch #1 besting PIT. BUF would be 12-3 and they both are 10-6. If Bills clinch #2 starters should be resting for the final game of the season while against the jets they might play into the 3rd Q

 

Bills tied with Pit at 12-5 , PIT would have the conf record tiebreaker. BAL at 12-5 has H2H tiebreaker.

 

bills need either W 2 games or W one and PIT/BAL both lose 1.

 

in term of north division…

 

right now PIT is ahead, If next week both W, the PIT will have the better common games record because they went 2-1 vs BAL going 3-0 in non common games.  both L next week then  they would have the same common games record of 2-1 so then conf record would be PIT advantage  right now it’s 7-3 vs 6-4…both lose its 7-4 and 6-5 

 

non common PIT ( jets, colts, ATL ) bal (bills, Texans, bucs). PIT L to Indy so they are 2-1 while bal plays HOU next week and went 2-0

 

to W the div BAL needs to finish ahead of PIT in standings are PIT does a WL and BAL does a LW thus giving BAL a better div record in a tiebreaker.

 

IF PIT W and BAL L on Xmas, PIT clinches div

IF  both W one game they are certain 2nd  place team would be the 5th seed

both BAL & PT beat DEN/ LAC so thry have the tiebreaker on seeding if they end up tied.

 

I?f both PIT and BAL L on xmas and DEN and LAC win on Saturday on NFLN thry you will likely see all 4 plays at 425 with all all the WC seedlings up for grabs with all at 10-6

 

 

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

2 minutes ago, djp14150 said:

With results from  today….

 

buffalo is at 11-3 while PIT/BAL are 10-5. A win sunday does not clinch anything here.

 

If BUF W tomorrow and they both L on Xmas then Bills clinch #2 and KC clinch #1 besting PIT. BUF would be 12-3 and they both are 10-6. If Bills clinch #2 starters should be resting for the final game of the season while against the jets they might play into the 3rd Q

 

Bills tied with Pit at 12-5 , PIT would have the conf record tiebreaker. BAL at 12-5 has H2H tiebreaker.

 

bills need either W 2 games or W one and PIT/BAL both lose 1.

 

in term of north division…

 

right now PIT is ahead, If next week both W, the PIT will have the better common games record because they went 2-1 vs BAL going 3-0 in non common games.  both L next week then  they would have the same common games record of 2-1 so then conf record would be PIT advantage  right now it’s 7-3 vs 6-4…both lose its 7-4 and 6-5 

 

non common PIT ( jets, colts, ATL ) bal (bills, Texans, bucs). PIT L to Indy so they are 2-1 while bal plays HOU next week and went 2-0

 

to W the div BAL needs to finish ahead of PIT in standings are PIT does a WL and BAL does a LW thus giving BAL a better div record in a tiebreaker.

 

IF PIT W and BAL L on Xmas, PIT clinches div

IF  both W one game they are certain 2nd  place team would be the 5th seed

both BAL & PT beat DEN/ LAC so thry have the tiebreaker on seeding if they end up tied.

 

I?f both PIT and BAL L on xmas and DEN and LAC win on Saturday on NFLN thry you will likely see all 4 plays at 425 with all all the WC seedlings up for grabs with all at 10-6

 

 

Makes you almost long for the days when all the Bills could do was act as spoilers for the playoff bound teams.

*
I said 'almost'. 😁

[djp14150]

Race for 1st overall pick…..

 

it’s Vegas vs giants, both at 3 wins. Sort is strength of schedule then a coin flip.

 

without game cancelations, strength of schedulr is the same as team wins.

 

both teams played nfc south and afc north so those cancel out.

 

Giants played— division foes, min, sea, Indy 

Raiders played- division foes, Mia, sea, JAX 

 

as of Sunday 1 pm opponent wins…

 

Giants —27+27+12+8+6= 54+26=80

Raiders- 32+32+6+8+3=64+ 17=81

 

lowest W total gets higher pick 

 

so week 18 SEA-RAMS matchup could decide who gets 1st overall

[BigDingus]

3 hours ago, Brand J said:

Baltimore has put up historic numbers offensively this year. Anyone saying they’re fine with playing them in the playoffs and seeing King Henry again, careful what you wish for. 

 

They're the team I least want to see in the playoffs. 

 

I see lots of people claiming "I'm not worried about Lamar, I'm worried about Henry," and hell, I've probably said it too. But I'd be worried about both. 

 

Lamar is playing fantastic this year, as much as I hate to admit it. If they hadn't lost to the Browns & Raiders, Lamar would probably be the MVP frontrunner again. 

 

Dude is playing at a historically great level in efficiency & will likely finish the year with the record for best single season passer rating ever. I still think Josh is better overall, but facing him with King Henry again in the last thing I want.

 

We match up well with a lot of great teams, but our rush D is our weakest link, and Baltimore has paired 2 of the best rushing threats in the league. 

[Gman10]

I don't like the Ravens and Steelers remaining schedule. Seems like they will swap places. Playing the Ravens in round two is no picnic.

Edited Sunday at 11:26 PM by Gman10

[Sojourner]

Speaking of standings, crazy to think the Vikings have a better record than us. And secondly, that they’re not the #2 in the NFC. 

[djp14150]

NFC Playoffs…..

 

Eagles magic number is 1 for clinch division. Eagles last 2 against cowboys and giants. Washington has falcons and cowboys 

 

Detroit and Minnesota tied. Still it comes down to last game of season if both win. If Vikings L and  lions W week 17 Lions clinch.

going into Sunday night TB yet to play dallas is 8-6, atlant us 8-7. Falcon swept season H2H so tie goes to Atlanta 

 

 

West. Seahawks lost, Rams won so rams at 9-6 vs 8-7. Rams host AZ next week. If both L next week it’s up for grabs, if rams W and sea L rams clinch. If rams L and SEA W then it’s up for grabs. If both W then rams would clinch by strength of schedule.

 

three difference in their strength of schedule is non common games —-

SEA played NYG L, ATL W, DEN W  2+8+9=19 — best all 3 can do if all WW is 25.
Rams played PHL L, TB W, LV W. 12+8+3=23 ( TB plays tonight) so 3 W clinch SS.

 

if tied it goes to Strength of victory 

 

for WC…

 

5. MIN/DET lovked

6 GB 10-5 ( play Monday 5-4 con record 

7 WAS (10-6) 7-3 conf record 

If GB and WAS tied WAS would get the edge.

ATL/TB/SEA still in the hunt.

 

ATL plays WAS next week conf record 7-3

TB beat WAS, conf rec 6-3 

SEA L to GB, has 4-6 conf record 

SEA W ATL

Rams W TB 
rams L to GB

next week 

 

AZ at rams

SEA at CHI

ATL at WAS

CAR at TB 

GB at MIN

 

GB or WAS W then then they clinch WC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[TFBillsfan]

Who gets the 7th seed if Den, Indy, MIA and  Cinncy all finish with 9 wins? That seems highly possible.

[MikePJ76]

3 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

Who gets the 7th seed if Den, Indy, MIA and  Cinncy all finish with 9 wins? That seems highly possible.

Not sure but that would eliminate Denver and Miami I believe.   I also think The colts get in if they get to 9 along with those other teams.

[djp14150]

AFC playoffs….

 

KC W they earn #1 seed

 

BUF W or PIT& BAL L thry thry clinch at worst #2 

 

Next week BAL at HOU is a non common game. They are 2-0 while PIT is 2-1. If both L next week 

 

The only ways  for balt to W the div is

(1) to have an outright lead or BAL they W one more than PIT

(2) BAL LW and PIT does WL then div record gives BAL the div 

 

HOU had div if HOU WW for 11-6 and north div winner is 11-6 then they get #3 seed by H2H on balt, better conf record on PIT

 

DEN and LAC W one and they clinch playoff spot 

 

MIA, IND, CIN are still alive and need to WW and get help.

 

CIN WW would have W vs DEN but L to LAC

IND L to DEN, W vs MIA 

 

CIN wants to be tied with DEN alone at 9-8 which means Indy and Mia need to L one. That’s the only way they can get in. l to LAC and L Conf record in any ties.

 

IND wants MIA or CIN tied with them and DEN to get in

IND and MIA would have better CR than LAC, CIN, DEN if no H2H.

 

 

 

 

 

 

13 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

Who gets the 7th seed if Den, Indy, MIA and  Cinncy all finish with 9 wins? That seems highly possible.

conference record….MIA and IND would be tied for the best conf rec others are worse record , but then H2H L indy beating mia would give it to IND 

Edited Monday at 01:33 AM by djp14150

[TFBillsfan]

I think Baltimore wins out, with a strong possibility Pitt and Denver lose out. Seems likely, Cinn, MIA and Indy win out. 
 

Bills will need to win one more game to secure the two seed.

[Process]

20 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

Who gets the 7th seed if Den, Indy, MIA and  Cinncy all finish with 9 wins? That seems highly possible.

Colts. They are in a funny spot where they need to win out, Denver lose out, but also need dolphins or Bengals to win out. They need to be in 3+ way tie to get in. 

[wolfpack78]

Having a sinking feeling our path is Bengals - Ravens - Chiefs...  REALLY pulling for Pittsburgh this week

[RiotAct]

10 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

Bills will need to win one more game to secure the two seed.

with a performance lkke tonight’s, it’s a foregone conclusion!!!!!!!!! 🤪🤪🤪

[Donuts and Doritos]

I'm a big Pitt fan the next 2 weeks. Do not want to see the Ravens.

[djp14150]

draft order 
 

1st OA is now in Giants hands with 2 Ws

JAX, LV , NE, CLE , TEN, all at 3 W .
—-TEN/ JAX will be SOS so it comes to non common games JAX( CLE, PHL, LV) TEN ( NE, LAC, WAS). JAX looks to have edge.

CAR, CHI, jets at 4 W

 

First tiebreaker is strength of schedule 

second is coin toss. If 3 are tied they will do something like roll a dice where each of 3 teams have opposite sides

 

ill have to calculate these all 

12 minutes ago, TFBillsfan said:

I think Baltimore wins out, with a strong possibility Pitt and Denver lose out. Seems likely, Cinn, MIA and Indy win out. 
 

Bills will need to win one more game to secure the two seed.

With KC,  BAL and PIT on Xmas— they will know before they take the field against the jeys if thry locked #2.

KC best PI?t and hou beat balt locks buffalo into #2 seed