Week 13 - 49ers at Bills Game Week Thread

[Big Turk]

2 minutes ago, Ray Stonada said:

Just outta curiosity, how did you get to this depth of knowledge on Buffalo snow? Pretty cool stuff. 

 

I was a meteorology major for 2 years in school and still keep up with a lot of stuff in terms of reading forecaster's discussions and looking at weather models, etc pretty regularly. Still love it the same way I have since I was a kid who sat and watched The Weather Channel for hours at a time, just hated all the math and physics that went into the classes.

Edited November 27 by Big Turk

[Bills!Win!]

On another note, when do we find out if Matty Biceps is playing? 

[WotAGuy]

6 hours ago, Sierra Foothills said:

 

Aren't you supposed to toss it to the sports anchor now?

 

I thought this was the guy that, after delivering the forecast, they pan out and he’s actually in a dunk tank while the sports anchor throws the ball and dunks him. 

[DaBillsFanSince1973]

 

[TheWeatherMan]

8 hours ago, TheWeatherMan said:

(Revised) Narrow bands of heavy snow i.e. lake effect (or enhanced) is nearly impossible to forecast due its reliance on micro scale effects and the super sensitivity to the slightest changes in environmental conditions.  Forecasting a lake effect snow event is super easy you just need cold air advection over relatively warm water with a long wind fetch (distance over water). Now determining the exact impact area is nearly impossible more than 24 hours out.  A 1 degree shift in the wind direction or a 1 degree change in temperature can be the difference in getting 3 inches vs 3 feet.  The watch is simply saying there will be a lake effect event. Because of the impact that the Great Lakes have on weather systems (usually slowing them down) models tend to struggle with the timing and intensity of lake effect events especially out to 72-96hrs.  Once we’re inside of 12-24 hours forecast fidelity increases significantly.  Lake effect and fog are probably the hardest single point phenomena to forecast.

@Big Turk

[TheWeatherMan]

5 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

Just outta curiosity, how did you get to this depth of knowledge on Buffalo snow? Pretty cool stuff. 

Read the Farmers Almanac while sleeping in a Holiday Inn Express always worked for me.

[yall]

Sal C. was just on WGR and gave a few updates (opinion) on the notable Bills injuries:

 

Milano: They have until 4PM on Saturday to activate him for this game. He expects that barring some setback, he'll be active for the game. Noted they do have an open roster spot that is pretty clearly being held for Milano.

 

Coleman: Hasn't been wearing any sort of brace, missed three games effectively, thinks that after nearly a full month of recovery, optimistic he'll play.

 

Kincaid: One to monitor if he'll practice or not this week. Seemed least optimistic about him.

 

Brown: Should practice this week and probably play. 

 

Obviously the McD report at noon about practicing and availability will provide more clarity later, but figured I'd share Sal's thoughts.

[Coach Tuesday]

Wait this is a weather thread now?

[stlbills13]

Are we talking literal snow or emotional snow or what?

[BearNorth]

To quote "My Cousin Vinny"  "Anyone stuck in the mud in Alabama knows ....." in Buffalo, it's "anyone who has shoveled out a 10' snow pile at the end of the driveway knows..."

[ScottishBills]

44 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:

Wait this is a weather thread now?

Not just a weather thread. It's a weather thread with competing nerds. A weather-off if such a thing exists. This ***** ain't gonna calm down till we find out HOW MANY INCHES WILL IT BE AND HOW COULD ANYINE HAVE KNOWN THAT!!!?!!!!

 

Niche stuff, I love it

[DaBillsFanSince1973]

 

[co_springs_billsfan]

Visiting family in West Virginia from the mountain time zone, I'm pretty annoyed I have to wait an extra 2 hours for updates.  Feels like you're all slacking!

[TBBills Fan]

All this talk about snow is triggering me

 

I gotta call my connect after work

[rusty shackleford]

I hope they tuned up those backpack leave blowers to blow the 7 feet of snow off the hash marks.

[CaseyatBat]

Times have changed. In the past we’d be excited about a snow event with a California team coming in.
 

These days we are talking about when/if they move or reschedule the game

[Triple Reverse]

Cannot wait for Sunday.

[mannc]

3 hours ago, DaBillsFanSince1973 said:

 

The level of ignorance on display here is mind-blowing.  (Not talking about Deebo.)

[SoTier]

8 hours ago, Big Turk said:

 

That's true but ones where the Lake Temp is near record highs in the low 50s in mid November to early December often times are.

 

The winds will be coming from the west and northwest which will put most of the snow well south of Buffalo, and probably south of the stadium as well.  The winds will be coming over the narrower part of Lake Erie, so they aren't going to pick up huge amounts of moisture before coming over land.  The huge snow amounts in the Southtowns (Hamburg, OP) from lake effect snow events occur when the winds come from a southwesterly direction that takes it over almost the entire length of Lake Erie sucking up moisture as it goes.

 

All of WNY will likely get some decent snow.  Some of us will get quite a lot.  Places in the Boston Hills or along the Chautauqua Ridge will probably get the most but it's highly unlikely that even they will get 6 or 7 feet.  It takes a specific set of circumstances to produce such massive snow totals, but not all of them are present for this upcoming weather event.   

[DaBillsFanSince1973]