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Posted
34 minutes ago, Gregg said:

 

Over the Bills in OP. That is hard to believe. 

 

28 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:


Yea, no way 49ers will be favored over us in OP.  


If we can beat the 49ers, we’ll be at 10-2, and the Chiefs will likely be 11-1 by then.  BUT, I agree their closing stretch of games should be much tougher than ours.  We might even have wiggle room to lose one (ie Lions, although would love to beat them too), and still catch the Chiefs.  In terms of the 1 seed, I’m thinking it will take 14 wins though, given where the Chiefs, Bills and even Steelers all sit today.

 

28 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

That sounds like some kind of offseason futures bet for this game and not what the actual odds will be..  I don’t think the niners will be the favorite when the odds go up a week in advance.  And if somehow that is legit that’s the worst line of the year 🤣


I did some googling and I think I found what you’re talkin about and those odds say last updated 8/29

https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/49ers-vs-bills/

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl-game/49ers-bills-score-odds-december-1-2024/227378

 

Posted

KC has 4 very lose-able games with LA, Houston, Pittsburgh & Denver.  We still need to get thru SF, Rams and Detroit. I see the Chiefs losing 2 of those 4 and we will squeak out wins against SF & LA.  The tiebreaker will give us the 1 seed.  At 14-3, Josh barring a nightmare game should be the 1st Bills qb to win the MVP.

Posted
15 minutes ago, boyst said:


If you’re able to place a bet today with the Bills getting points against the 49ers in OP, let me know where that is.  My guess is those lines are from way earlier this season (maybe preseason) and not actually available anymore.  For instance, when I go on DraftKings, the game isn’t even up to be bet on right now.  When the game officially opens at this point in the season, the Bills are going to be favored. 

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Posted
44 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

Bills are going to run the table.

 

there is no way they are losing to Detroit. Once McD schemes up against the lions, the entire league will have the blueprint on the Lions too. I would be dreading that game if I were the Lions.

 

You are seriously underrating the Lions.

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  • Agree 1
Posted

Chiefs
Dec 15 at Cleveland
Dec 21 Home to Houston
Dec 25 at Pittsburgh Christmas Day

 

3 games in 10 days and no bye week left.  Recipe for injuries and at least one off game

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Posted
25 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

I think the Bills will lose 2 more games. Just can’t see the Chiefs relinquishing that #1 seed. The Bills will probably be the 2 seed, possibly 3. 

13 - 4 as a #3 seed?  That would be wild.  I think they beat the 49’ers. Rams could be trap game. They will be underdogs at Detroit. If they need the last three games I think that they get them

Posted
25 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

The bills had a weird scheduling anomaly where two of their three tough road games came back to back early in the season and nearly all their road divisional games were early.  I don’t think the length of the hypothetical win streak on paper makes it any less likely to come true in this case because of that.  The schedule was kind of set up for a long win streak assuming we beat the chiefs 


The definitely was set up for a nice win streak like the Bills have had, assuming they had their **** together and held up their end of the bargain each game.  They still could have lost a couple in there, with games like Jets and Miami finishing as one possession games.  I do agree that even though they’ve won 6 in a row, in theory that’s water under the bridge and they just need to take each one at a time.  Just beat SF in the next game and go from there.  Keep winning and maybe they can earn the 1 seed too.

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Posted (edited)
10 minutes ago, Coach Tuesday said:

 

You are seriously underrating the Lions.

I'm looking forward to Dec 15. I think it's great that we get to play them in season, win or lose. Gives McD some valuable experience on how best deal with their O. Its important because there is a decent chance that we will be seeing them again early next year. They have great skill position players and Goff is on his game.

Edited by starrymessenger
  • Agree 1
Posted (edited)
32 minutes ago, boyst said:

Yes follow those links like you’re gonna bet and it won’t let you because the timeframe ended.  I think this was some preseason futures bet on individual games that probably expired before the season started.  It’s too early for actual opening lines.  I think it was Vegas insider I went through and that line says last updated 8/25 

 

if they posted lines this early and then Brock purdy got injured or something with a bunch of bets already placed things would get messed up lol 

Edited by Generic_Bills_Fan
  • Agree 1
Posted

Bills now look like they will have at most two more losses maybe Detroit and one somewhere along the way.

So means Chiefs gotta trip up 3 times…is it possible yeh it is but Russell Wilson and Bo Knix are going to have to play at a very high level to match Mahomes in clutch situations that’s a pretty tall order. 

1 minute ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Yes follow those links like you’re gonna bet and it won’t let you because the timeframe ended.  I think this was some preseason futures bet on individual games that probably expired before the season started.  It’s too early for actual opening lines.  I think it was Vegas insider I went through and that line says last updated 8/25 

I agree no way with Bosa possibly hurt can people see Brock Purdy walking into Orchard Park against a Bills team with two weeks to prepare for them and Vegas thinking they win. It’s possible but very unlikely.

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Posted
8 minutes ago, st pete gogolak said:

13 - 4 as a #3 seed?  That would be wild.  I think they beat the 49’ers. Rams could be trap game. They will be underdogs at Detroit. If they need the last three games I think that they get them

It would be wild , but possible. More likely the 2 but Pittsburgh has a shot. I think they will beat the Niners, but will lose to Detroit. Possibly to the Rams. They’ll win the remaining AFC games if they need them for positioning. 

Posted
5 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Yes follow those links like you’re gonna bet and it won’t let you because the timeframe ended.  I think this was some preseason futures bet on individual games that probably expired before the season started.  It’s too early for actual opening lines.  I think it was Vegas insider I went through and that line says last updated 8/25 

 

if they posted lines this early and then Brock purdy got injured or something with a bunch of bets already placed things would get messed up lol 


Right, no way 49ers would be favored at 5-5 with us coming off a bye, when we were just favored against the 9-0 Chiefs by 2 points and won by 9.  If anyone can place a bet with the Bills getting points against SF, let me know what book is that dumb.

7 minutes ago, starrymessenger said:

I'm looking forward to Dec 15. I think it's great that we get to play them in season, win or lose. Gives McD some valuable experience on how best deal with their O. Its important because there is a decent chance that we will be seeing them again early next year. They have great skill position players and Goff is on his game.


Reminds me of when we played the NYG late in the 1990 season.

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Posted
1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Yea I was gonna say this lions hype is out of control.  Barring any major injuries I think the bills defense has the guys now to make Jared Goff look similar to what the Texans did to him. Lions are always gonna be a qb away imo.  Someone in their playoff run is gonna be able to turn back the clock on Goff and make him look like late stage rams Goff 

 

Lions run game is going to be a problem. They will pound the ball until the Bills prove they can stop it.

  • Agree 1
Posted

As we have seen, anything can happen. Right now the 3 hottest teams in the NFL are the Lions, Bills and Eagles. The Chargers are starting to turn heads, and the Steelers will not go away with that top drawer defense they have. The Chiefs have shown that they can always find a way to pull out a close game in the 4th quarter.

 

Going strictly by odds, etc. it would appear that the Bills will be favored in 5 of their remaining 6 games as they will likely be 2-4 point underdogs in their game against the Lions but favored in the other 5.

 

The 49ers have struggled at times this season as their record indicates, but I still expect that to be a tough game. Hopefully the Bills will be refreshed (with possibly some healthy reinforcements) and ready for business after the bye. They can't afford to come out flat after the extended rest and get down early to a team with CMC! The Rams are finally healthy, and their offense is now multi-faceted. We've already talked about how well the Lions have been playing. The funny thing is that their weakest game in the past few weeks (against Houston) may also be their most impressive, as they got down big early in that game (thanks to 5 INTs by Goff) and found a way to come back and pull out a win. Bottom line is that all 3 of those NFC games will be tough.

 

It is tempting to pencil in all 3 of the final games as a "W", but they are all against division rivals who would love nothing better than to play the role of spoiler. Yes, the Bills SHOULD win all 3 of those games -- but they can't afford to lose any focus or intensity. They did exactly that in 3 of the 4 games in which they faced the Jets/Patriots last season and finished 2-2 against them.

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Posted

All kinds of scenarios left.  Any "predictions" are mere guesses.

 

Bills have a bye week to get healthier.  

Then they play the SF49ers at home.

As Josh says, need to go 1-0 in that game.

Posted

1 seed is certainly obtainable.  
 

After seeing our O vs the KC defense (minus Keon, Kincaid and Brown), I think the Steelers are a better team than KC atm tbh.  That’s one L.  @ Denver and vs LAC are two other potential losses.  

Posted

i'd be shocked but super happy if we win out, 12 game win streak knocking off the top in each conference?  that's story book stuff.  i'd love it tho.

 

i do think we drop 1 or two more, since im assuming detroit is one of them, then it will be 1 or 2 NFC losses, KC is much more likely to lose 2 of their remaining games, and pitts has some hard ones, ravens too (both play the iggles, who might end up winning us the one seed!).

 

there is a chance we drop 2 nfc  games (tbh, i think 1 more loss is very likely, two is harder to see since we always play great off of bye weeks and it's at home and sf isn't that great, and the rams have all kinds of flaws and i don't think they can even slow our O down), and i think we might either have the 1 locked or the 2 locked and no shot at the one in the last week and we turn that into our mini (hopefully extra) bye.

 

if we beat detroit, even if we drop another single game, my confidence will be sky high, but particularly if we lose to them i will be sneaky rooting for the ravens to face a steelers/kc gauntlet before having a chance to play us.  if they beat steelers, kc, and us on the road they deserve the chip, i don't think they can do that.

Posted
45 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:


Right, no way 49ers would be favored at 5-5 with us coming off a bye, when we were just favored against the 9-0 Chiefs by 2 points and won by 9.  If anyone can place a bet with the Bills getting points against SF, let me know what book is that dumb.


Reminds me of when we played the NYG late in the 1990 season.

I’m guessing you mean it helped the Giants a helluva lot more than it helped us.

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