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The decision to go for the FG - right or wrong?


Matt_In_NH

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1 minute ago, Slack_in_MA said:

Honestly, even after his earlier PAT misses/doinks, I thought he had a 50/50 shot. Light wind, big leg. And I wonder if it’s like like lining up a long lag putt in golf— the pressure to make it feels less than that brutal four-footer that’s RIGHT ****ING THERE!!


The leg is very strong for distance.

It’s that weird little hook he puts on a lot of balls, that has everyone VERY pissed and concerned.

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HC McDermott had to make a split-second decision on sending Bass in.

He doesn't have the chance to think about things like fans do in the aftermath of things.

 

If Bass would have missed it, McDermott would have lived with it and regrouped to fight another day.

A leader has to make the tough decisions.  I'm glad it worked out for him and the team.

Bravo Sean!

 

 

Edited by ColoradoBills
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In an odd way in the moment I felt the kick was more aggressive because it meant going for the win.   I was concerned they’d play for the first down and run out of time and go to overtime.  
 

By saying “Bass go make it” showed big brass clangers IMO.   
 

Thank goodness it paid off!

 

Go Bills!

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I thought the kick was a waste as no way Bass hits from 61.  I would have done a Hail Mary as time runs out.

 

Of course we don't see Bass in practice. Maybe he hits 60 yarders all the time, knowledge McD knows and we dont

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Despite Bass's much discussed struggles, I thought the FG attempt was the right decision.

 

Hail Mary's have a very low probability of success. When our opponents do Hail Mary's, I figure the odds are roughly 50-50.  When we do a Hail Mary, I figure our chances are about 1 in 10,000.  

 

The odds of a successful Hail Mary or Bass kicking a 61-yarder are both long.  Bass has the leg strength.  Where the ball goes, though, is anyone's guess.  Still, I though the roulette wheel slightly favored the odds on Bass.  

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42 minutes ago, NewEra said:

I was scared 💯 but the only choice was to kick it.   Great decision imo

Agreed.. i don’t think ANYONE had any confidence he would make that kick!   But… they had to try it.   I'm glad they did.   LOL. 
 

Bigger question… say they got 7 or 8 yds on 3rd down.  Would they have still kicked or gone for the 1st down?

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I was the right call. Punt or Hail Mary would be playing not to lose. 
 

im a big PSU football fan. PSU coach played not to lose and ended up with zero points after a first and goal inside the 5 at end of first half. Psu lost the game. 

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The wrong choice was McDaniel not freezing the kicker with 2 timeouts left. It's a 61 yard kick! Make him try it twice! His leg woulda been a limp noodle by his 3rd attempt. 

 

Right choice to kick though. We all know he's got the leg, he's just inconsistent. 

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I’m no coach, but I was thinking throw some intermediate route and hope for a defensive penalty.  OR, Hail Mary and hope for same.  I was not thinking franchise record kick from Bass.

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I thought it was going to be a punt for sure.  When they trotted Bass out I was surprised but not exactly nervous.  The kick leaves 4-5 seconds left which isn’t really enough for anyone else to do anything.

 

surprised, but not shocked

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52 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

I'm a poker player as well and often think in terms of results-oriented (bad) vs process-oriented (good) thinking.  This one was honestly pretty close.  You're basically denying your opponent the roughly 50% of overtime win equity they have if you punt the ball, but introducing a medium-level risk of ruin in the sense that Sanders, a more accurate long kicker, can get one back at you and you lose in regulation which is a disaster.  So it all comes down to exactly how often Bass makes that kick.  I think you go for the kick if you think he's good 40% of the time.

Sanders is 25/40 (62.5%) for 50+.  Bass is 13/20 (65%).

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1 hour ago, ColoradoBills said:

HC McDermott had to make a split-second decision on sending Bass in.

He doesn't have the chance to think about things like fans do in the aftermath of things.

 

If Bass would have missed it, McDermott would have lived with it and regrouped to fight another day.

A leader has to make the tough decisions.  I'm glad it worked out for him and the team.

Bravo Sean!

 

 


yea but he’s employed for like 8 other months a year to develop his decision making tree and become confident in obscure scenarios. I log on a message board in my spare time.

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18 minutes ago, NoSaint said:


yea but he’s employed for like 8 other months a year to develop his decision making tree and become confident in obscure scenarios. I log on a message board in my spare time.

 

Well exactly.  His decisions mean everything and ours nothing.

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