Looking at Race for the #1 Seed

[Warriorspikes51]

It may be a bit early to discuss, but we are basically at the season midpoint. 

 

KC  7-0

BUF  6-2

I expect the AFC North teams to take each other out

KC Schedule

Unless the Bucs or Broncos win at Arrowhead, KC will be 9-0 coming to Orchard Park.

The only other challenging games on their schedule are PIT and HOU.

KC has a floor of 13 wins IMO.  Very likely they get to 14  

 

 

 

Personally, I don't see a very good chance of the #1 Seed.

 

BAL having 3 losses already & HOU losing last night certainly helps though. 
 

If we can win the next 2 games and beat KC to have the H2H Tiebreaker, we could have a legit shot at it 

Edited November 1, 2024 by Warriorspikes51

[SCBills]

Running the table gets us the 1 seed. 
 

Anything less and I wouldn’t count on it.

 

I can see the Chiefs losing to us and another random game somewhere.  (Maybe) two other games and we could catch them dropping one more game.

 

They don’t hit regular season 2-3 game skids like we do, which is why they have a great shot at the 1 seed year in/year out. 

[JGMcD2]

The Chiefs, Lions, Rams and 49ers all in a row for us is going to be tough.

 

I think we're 8-2 going into the KC game and have a great chance of beating them, I just think we drop 1-2 games later and the Chiefs won't drop more than 1 game. 

[Big Turk]

4 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

It may be a bit early to discuss, but we are basically at the season midpoint. 

 

KC  7-0

BUF  6-2

I expect the AFC North teams to take each other out

KC Schedule

Unless the Bucs or Broncos win at Arrowhead, KC will be 9-0 coming to Orchard Park.

The only other challenging games on their schedule are PIT and HOU.

KC has a floor of 13 wins IMO.  Very likely they get to 14  

 

 

 

Personally, I don't see a very good chance of the #1 Seed.

 

BAL having 3 losses already & HOU losing last night certainly helps though. 
 

If we can win the next 2 games and beat KC to have the H2H Tiebreaker, we could have a legit shot at it 

 

Houston can literally lose to anyone until Collins is back...Stroud is getting mauled and the offense can't move the ball. Essentially they have turned into a run and play defense to win team reminiscent of the Steelers last year.

Edited November 1, 2024 by Big Turk

[BillsFan130]

Ya chiefs schedule is so soft. Even if we do beat them, I see KC getting to 15 wins, or 14 at the absolute worst

[Process]

Even if we beat KC I don't think we can lose more than one game to have a chance. We may even need to win out. 

 

One seed is likely not realistic but I do think we finish ahead of Bal and Hou.

 

Others team's refusal to beat KC is annoying. 

[Sojourner]

Would like to think there’s 3 if not 4 losses on there for the Chiefs. Hopefully more. 
 

The plausible 4 would be Bucs, Steelers, Texans or Bills. 

They may end up dropping more of their run of good fortune and teams crapping the bed stops: Browns & Chargers are always possible. Raiders will surely play them well again as you would hope one of the Broncos’ games. 
 

Our guys have just got to focus on ours and worry about nothing else. Like @JGMcD2 mentioned, that 4 game stretch for us will be the deciding period if we have a shot at the 1 seed. 
 

🤞

 

[Lost]

How have the Steelers played no divisional games yet?

[GunnerBill]

The Bills would have to win 8 of 9 - with KC one of the wins to have a chance IMO. The Chiefs finish 14-3 at worst IMO. 

[90sBills]

I see it working out this way…

 

KC #1

Bills #2

Balt #3

Hou #4

Pitt #5

LAC #6

Den #7

 

This will most likely how things will shake out. Bills will have a great shot at reaching the superbowl. 

[Brand J]

Chiefs have looked like an average team most of the year, but they’ve still got Ws against the Ravens, Bengals, and 49ers that add to their 7-0 record. I don’t see them losing more than 2 games the rest of the way, no matter how flawed or injured they are. As long as Mahomes and Chris Jones remain healthy, 15-2 is their floor.

 

We will likely finish as the 2 or 3 seed, which also means we’ll have to go through both BAL and KC to reach the SB.

Edited November 1, 2024 by Brand J

[Warriorspikes51]

7 minutes ago, Lost said:

How have the Steelers played no divisional games yet?

 

It's wild.  6 of 8 divisional games to finish.  Plus KC and PHI

 

[No_Matter_What]

14-3 with a win over Chiefs gets us #1 seed.

 

Anything else won't. Maybe 13-4 with a win over Chiefs if we are really lucky.

 

I think 14-3 is doable but very unlikely.

 

But I don't think it matters that much, we still need to beat Chiefs in PO anyway. I'd love to end up #2 though to have at least Ravens at home.

[mannc]

13 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

It may be a bit early to discuss, but we are basically at the season midpoint. 

 

KC  7-0

BUF  6-2

I expect the AFC North teams to take each other out

KC Schedule

Unless the Bucs or Broncos win at Arrowhead, KC will be 9-0 coming to Orchard Park.

The only other challenging games on their schedule are PIT and HOU.

KC has a floor of 13 wins IMO.  Very likely they get to 14  

 

 

 

Personally, I don't see a very good chance of the #1 Seed.

 

BAL having 3 losses already & HOU losing last night certainly helps though. 
 

If we can win the next 2 games and beat KC to have the H2H Tiebreaker, we could have a legit shot at it 

What do we do if we clinch the division by Thanksgiving and KC is still out of reach?  Do we rest guys for a month?  Play Trubisky for a game or two?  IMO there is very little advantage to second seed vs third or fourth…

[Warriorspikes51]

1 minute ago, No_Matter_What said:

14-3 with a win over Chiefs gets us #1 seed.

 

Anything else won't. Maybe 13-4 with a win over Chiefs if we are really lucky.

 

I think 14-3 is doable but very unlikely.

 

But I don't think it matters that much, we still need to beat Chiefs in PO anyway. I'd love to end up #2 though to have at least Ravens at home.

Hopefully the Ravens get a tough matchup in the Wild Card.   The Steelers perhaps 

Just now, mannc said:

What do we do if we clinch the division by Thanksgiving and KC is still out of reach?  Do we rest guys for a month?  Play Trubisky for a game or two?  IMO there is very little advantage to second seed vs third or fourth…

 

4 seed goes on the road in Divisional.  3 seed very unlikely to be home in Championship.  2 seed would have a chance at being home every game

[JGMcD2]

18 minutes ago, 90sBills said:

I see it working out this way…

 

KC #1

Bills #2

Balt #3

Hou #4

Pitt #5

LAC #6

Den #7

 

This will most likely how things will shake out. Bills will have a great shot at reaching the superbowl. 

We'd be looking at Broncos, Ravens and Chiefs on the way to the Super Bowl.

 

Tough, but they all are. If we could get Houston in the Divisional Round, that would be huge. 

[Bferra13]

18 minutes ago, 90sBills said:

I see it working out this way…

 

KC #1

Bills #2

Balt #3

Hou #4

Pitt #5

LAC #6

Den #7

 

This will most likely how things will shake out. Bills will have a great shot at reaching the superbowl. 

Most likely is pretty strong lol. It's week 9. It's almost assuredly not going to come out that way. Injuries, and everything else can happen. Maybe the top 2 are pretty set, but still they are not. Everything else is just a guess at this point.

[Peace Frog]

IMHO, the KC game is the 2nd toughest one remaining for us, with the #1 being at Detroit. The Lions are legit this year.

[Bills!Win!]

Maybe we get the 2 seed and someone knocks KC out and we get 3 home games 

[RiotAct]

48 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

 

Houston can literally lose to anyone until Collins is back...Stroud is getting mauled and the offense can't move the ball. Essentially they have turned into a run and play defense to win team reminiscent of the Steelers last year.

I think I heard them say last night that he’s expected back next Sunday