Jump to content

Red Shift, Blue Shift: What to Expect for Ballot Counting Timelines


ChiGoose

Recommended Posts

A lot of people have (justifiably) expressed frustration at how long it takes for some states to count their ballots, especially with the rise in voting by mail. While there have been people proposing eliminating mail-in voting or early voting, the real solution is simple: update state laws to allow for faster counting. This is what Florida did after the disaster in 2000 and why it is now regarded as one of the best at counting ballots quickly. We also have several states that conduct all of their voting by mail without issue.

 

To understand what we can expect for which states will take longer, I have bucketed the states based on when they process mail-in ballots (verification, prepping for counting, etc) and when they are actually counted. States that process and count before Election Day will be able to release results quickly, while those that have later timelines may take days if the race is close. (source)

 

Process and Count before Election Day Process before Election Day; Count at start of Election Day Process before Election Day; Count at end of Election Day Process and Count at start of Election Day Process start of Election Day; Count at end of Election Day Up to local officials              Process before Election Day; Count not specified
Arizona Arkansas Alaska Pennsylvania Alabama Connecticut Ohio
Colorado* California* D.C. South Carolina Mississippi   Oregon*
Delaware Georgia Idaho West Virginia New Hampshire   Oklahoma
Florida Indiana Illinois Wisconsin South Dakota    
Hawaii Iowa Maine        
Kansas Kentucky Massachusetts        
Montana Louisiana Minnesota        
Nebraska Maryland Missouri        
Nevada* Michigan New Mexico        
New Jersey Tennessee New York        
Utah* Texas North Carolina        
    North Dakota        
    Rhode Island        
    Vermont        
    Virginia        
    Washington*        
    Wyoming        

 

*State does all votes by mail

Projected 2024 swing state

Edited by ChiGoose
  • Like (+1) 1
  • Thank you (+1) 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

32 minutes ago, wnyguy said:

I think it will take as long as the Dems need to figure out how many votes are needed for them to win.

 

Looks like someone's getting ready to cry fraud again!  I am shocked.

 

Find any proof from last time?  Never mind.  I know the answer.  Feelings.  The usual with y'all.  

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

19 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

Looks like someone's getting ready to cry fraud again!  I am shocked.

 

Find any proof from last time?  Never mind.  I know the answer.  Feelings.  The usual with y'all.  

I just feel that there's no way Kamala could get 80+ million people to vote for her. I mean, I drove around exurban Denver yesterday and I must have seen 100 Trump-Vance signs and just one or two Harris-Walz. Plus have you seen those rally crowds? 

  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, The Frankish Reich said:

I just feel that there's no way Kamala could get 80+ million people to vote for her. I mean, I drove around exurban Denver yesterday and I must have seen 100 Trump-Vance signs and just one or two Harris-Walz. Plus have you seen those rally crowds? 

 

LOL, I don't know why I ever expect anything other than answers just like this from these people.  If they didn't have feelings (brought to them by an orange imbecile) what would they post here?  Would they post at all?

 

We've seen this answer at least 100 times and it keeps getting dumber every single time we see it.  Rather than just owning the truth.  "I believed a pathological liar".

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

LOL, I don't know why I ever expect anything other than answers just like this from these people.  If they didn't have feelings (brought to them by an orange imbecile) what would they post here?  Would they post at all?

 

We've seen this answer at least 100 times and it keeps getting dumber every single time we see it.  Rather than just owning the truth.  "I believed a pathological liar".

I realized that after the last election. I just assumed Trump was dumb enough to think that his extremely unrepresentative sample of the United States electorate - the people who attend his rallies - reflected overall preferences. But surely his better educated supporters knew better, right?

Well, no. No they don't.

The Literary Digest fallacy lives!  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Literary_Digest#:~:text=The magazine gained notoriety when,Democratic incumbent President Franklin D.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Proof of fraud in 2020 is everywhere.

 

Deranged useful idiots parroting their media masters mantra that 2020 was the most secure election in US history while also still believing that 2016 Russia collusion is real tells you everything. 

 

If you are giving these morons the time of day then you're doing it wrong.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Tommy Callahan said:

Crazy how years ago we knew by election night.  Just like the rest of the world still does.  

 

 

The election has never been officially decided by election night, it's just rarely been so close that the media isn't able to make projections (which they can do incorrectly like they did in 2000 when Florida was called for Gore by some outlets before they had to walk it back).

 

We are incredibly polarized now and elections are closer, being decided by tens of thousands of voters across a couple of states. It's not surprising that this, combined with some of those states (*cough* Pennsylvania and Wisconsin *cough*) not updating their laws to allow for quicker counting.

Edited by ChiGoose
  • Eyeroll 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:

 

The election has never been officially decided by election night, it's just rarely been so close that the media isn't able to make projections (which they can get incorrectly like they did in 2000 when Florida was called for Gore by some outlets before they had to walk it back).

 

We are incredibly polarized now and elections are closer, being decided by tens of thousands of voters across a couple of states. It's not surprising that this, combined with some of those states (*cough* Pennsylvania and Wisconsin *cough*) not updating their laws to allow for quicker counting.

nothing you say can convince me that it takes 10-14 days

 

All that does is feeds everybody's anxieties and conspiracies.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Pokebball said:

nothing you say can convince me that it takes 10-14 days

 

All that does is feeds everybody's anxieties and conspiracies.

 

Even in 2020 where we had higher than normal vote by mail due to the pandemic and we had states with outdated laws for counting vote by mail, it took fewer than 4 days for the media to call the election.

 

Not sure where you're getting 10-14 days from.

 

I agree that long counting times feed anxieties and conspiracies, which is why I think states should adopt laws similar to the first two columns my original post for quicker counting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:

 

Even in 2020 where we had higher than normal vote by mail due to the pandemic and we had states with outdated laws for counting vote by mail, it took fewer than 4 days for the media to call the election.

 

Not sure where you're getting 10-14 days from.

 

I agree that long counting times feed anxieties and conspiracies, which is why I think states should adopt laws similar to the first two columns my original post for quicker counting.

I've seen many reports about 10-14 days. Here's one

one county in arizona

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Pokebball said:

I've seen many reports about 10-14 days. Here's one

one county in arizona


So I want to be very clear, there’s a difference between counting all of the ballots (which has never been done on Election Day) and counting enough ballots for the media to be able to call the presidential election on Election Day. 
 

I’d be curious as to what percentage of ballots are outstanding after Election Day as well as what their cutoff is for ballots postmarked by Election Day. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...