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Election Prediction


Irv

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2 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

link?  should be easy.  you have the data at the tip of your fingers, presumably.

 

Why don't you get off your arse and find it yourself?

 

Typical Dem - always expecting others to do their work for them and putting their hands in other people's pockets.

 

Your free ride ends next Tuesday!

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5 minutes ago, SydneyBillsFan said:

 

Why don't you get off your arse and find it yourself?

 

Typical Dem - always expecting others to do their work for them and putting their hands in other people's pockets.

 

Your free ride ends next Tuesday!

It's not possible to prove a negative.  Give it a few seconds of thought....Squirrel!

 

 

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On 10/28/2024 at 1:03 PM, RiotAct said:

Harris by 30 - 40 electoral votes.

 

Yep, this is basically what I’m predicting. More specifically, I have Harris winning 287 to 251 in electoral votes (i.e., all seven swing states minus Georgia and North Carolina). Two basic reasons why:

 

1. I’m expecting a systemic overperformance in the polls very similar to what was observed during the 2022 midterms, fueled by unmarried women’s opposition to Dobbs v. Jackson WHO plus independent voters’ revulsion to January 6 election results denialism.

 

2. Trump’s overreliance on low-propensity voter demographics (mostly male ones). Lots of mainstream political analysts seem to be forgetting that voter preference doesn’t fully equate to voter enthusiasm.

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Just a reminder...if you think you know who will win, feel free to put your $ where your mouth is:

 

RCP Average - Trump 64% Kamala 35%

1. Kalshi - Trump 63% Kamala 37%

2. Draft Kings - Trump -185 Kamala +150

3. Polymarket - Trump 67% Kamala 33%

 

 

You could make a lot of money and buy a portion of the Bills!

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1 hour ago, B-Man said:

 

 

Except that they play the NY Giants on Nov. 3rd.

 

address-number-only-on-the-side-of-the-h

What does @ mean? Oh right at, they play the giants at New York (NJ) so their last home game before the election was last Sunday. 
 

IMG_8796.jpeg

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18 hours ago, Joe Ferguson forever said:

link?  should be easy.  you have the data at the tip of your fingers, presumably.

 

He likely doesn't have one.  The vast majority of his data is not based on fact.  However, I do agree here.  These things DO make it more likely fraud will occur.  That is true.  However, there is no proof of it actually happening on a scale that impacts anything.  So it's still solving a problem that doesn't exist.  Were I wrong they'd be able to prove it.  They cannot.

 

 

3 minutes ago, Orlando Buffalo said:

My prediction is that we won't have a definitive answer on election night in Michigan and Pennsylvania, but most of the ballots that trickle in will be overwhelmingly for Biden with out any chain of custody.

 

Bank on Trump claiming fraud no matter what, he's already prepping to do it.  Win or lose, proof or not.  And it's an absolute travesty that you and yours allowed this to happen.  There were other america first idiots you could have voted in.  Instead you chose a criminal rapist who is unable to tell the truth and is a provable moron.

 

A lot of you will be asked some day by kids or grandkids if you actually voted for Trump.   You will either lie or answer their questions with shame.

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10 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

He likely doesn't have one.  The vast majority of his data is not based on fact.  However, I do agree here.  These things DO make it more likely fraud will occur.  That is true.  However, there is no proof of it actually happening on a scale that impacts anything.  So it's still solving a problem that doesn't exist.  Were I wrong they'd be able to prove it.  They cannot.

 

 

 

Bank on Trump claiming fraud no matter what, he's already prepping to do it.  Win or lose, proof or not.  And it's an absolute travesty that you and yours allowed this to happen.  There were other america first idiots you could have voted in.  Instead you chose a criminal rapist who is unable to tell the truth and is a provable moron.

 

A lot of you will be asked some day by kids or grandkids if you actually voted for Trump.   You will either lie or answer their questions with shame.

You should get professional help. Did the 10 walk out the door? You're down bad.

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24 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

He likely doesn't have one.  The vast majority of his data is not based on fact.  However, I do agree here.  These things DO make it more likely fraud will occur.  That is true.  However, there is no proof of it actually happening on a scale that impacts anything.  So it's still solving a problem that doesn't exist.  Were I wrong they'd be able to prove it.  They cannot.

 

 

 

Bank on Trump claiming fraud no matter what, he's already prepping to do it.  Win or lose, proof or not.  And it's an absolute travesty that you and yours allowed this to happen.  There were other america first idiots you could have voted in.  Instead you chose a criminal rapist who is unable to tell the truth and is a provable moron.

 

A lot of you will be asked some day by kids or grandkids if you actually voted for Trump.   You will either lie or answer their questions with shame.

Your argument that it is simply incompetence is not exactly reassuring. This women has a few jobs but this kind of incompetence should require her to lose her job. If she was crooked what would be different? 

 

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25 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

Bank on Trump claiming fraud no matter what, he's already prepping to do it. 

My only issue is that you phrase this in the future tense.

He is already claiming fraud on a regular basis.

So expect him (again) to declare victory on election night. And if he actually loses, he'll blame fraud again. And if he wins, he'll say it was an even more glorious win than it appears since he won despite massive fraud.

Roy Cohn's rules.

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Just now, AlBUNDY4TDS said:

You should get professional help. Did the 10 walk out the door? You're down bad.

 

Are you stalking me?   Bro I like you but i don't LIKE you, ya know what I mean?  Sounds like you're still holding a grudge because I asked you to explain your positions and you were unable to without other posters chiming in.  So, I am truly sorry that you are stupid.  Better?  I'll try again just in case your answer is no.  I'm sorry you regurgitate right wing talking points without any comprehension of what they mean.  There, that's nicer.  Feel better?  Want me to send you a card?  What's your trailers address?  

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Just now, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

Are you stalking me?   Bro I like you but i don't LIKE you, ya know what I mean?  Sounds like you're still holding a grudge because I asked you to explain your positions and you were unable to without other posters chiming in.  So, I am truly sorry that you are stupid.  Better?  I'll try again just in case your answer is no.  I'm sorry you regurgitate right wing talking points without any comprehension of what they mean.  There, that's nicer.  Feel better?  Want me to send you a card?  What's your trailers address?  

Hey bro are you still bitching about the one and only 1 border bill?  Haha loser.

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