Success Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:36 PM, Einstein said: I’ll die on this hill: Allen did not play poorly. It only looked bad because of a mixture of horrible offensive line play, numerous drops, no-one getting separation, and missed blocks by Kincaid. there isn’t a quarterback in NFL history that would’ve looked good with that team. We put out there on Sunday. Expand I'm right there on that hill w/ you. The line had their worst day of the year. He had no time. Receivers were NOT getting open. And they had very key drops. We're so used to Allen being Superman - and he still kind of was. He ran the ball great, and his throws looked fine to me. Kincaid should have had 2 big ones for 1st downs - right on the hands. The long Hollins throw could have been better, but it was catchable if he read it right. The long pass to Cook was perfect and he just missed getting his elbow in. 1 Quote
Sweats Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:57 PM, Einstein said: Do some research. You will see that what I wrote is founded in actual cognitive studies. Expand Maybe you're right, maybe you're wrong......i'm just saying I have no words here, other than i just puked a bit in my mouth........again. Quote
Einstein Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:01 PM, Success said: I'm right there on that hill w/ you. The line had their worst day of the year. He had no time. Receivers were NOT getting open. And they had very key drops. We're so used to Allen being Superman - and he still kind of was. He ran the ball great, and his throws looked fine to me. Kincaid should have had 2 big ones for 1st downs - right on the hands. The long Hollins throw could have been better, but it was catchable if he read it right. The long pass to Cook was perfect and he just missed getting his elbow in. Expand Great post. Welcome to the hill. Population is small, but those who are correct are often in the minority. 1 2 1 Quote
MJS Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:36 PM, Einstein said: I’ll die on this hill: Allen did not play poorly. It only looked bad because of a mixture of horrible offensive line play, numerous drops, no-one getting separation, and missed blocks by Kincaid. there isn’t a quarterback in NFL history that would’ve looked good with that team. We put out there on Sunday. Expand Why is everyone trying to die on hills about these things? Just stay alive, brother. 2 Quote
machine gun kelly Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 4:58 PM, Royale with Cheese said: We absolutely need to start taking more shots downfield, especially with Kincaid. He is able to beat linebackers down the seam and we aren't doing it enough. Expand Royale, if you remember Samuel in Carolina was a downfield threat. Now, go get us Adams or at least Cooper amd we’ll have separation so Josh will stop getting hammered. The line can’t hold on forever, and Josh needs someone to throw to on a regular basis. No one is getting separation which makes our offense anemic. Quote
Jauronimo Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 Bailing from relatively clean pockets, poor ball placement, and going deep to Mack Hollins when all you need is a first down are hallmarks of good QB play. 1 2 Quote
pigpen65 Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:58 PM, MJS said: That's all speculation. It's not like Allen hasn't played bad before. He doesn't have a concussion every time he plays badly. Expand That he slammed his head on the ground and didn't move right after two weeks in a row isn't speculation. It definitely happened. Quote
Royale with Cheese Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:02 PM, Einstein said: Great post. Welcome to the hill. Population is small, but those who are correct are often in the minority. Expand You know those who are correct are often in the majority too. 1 Quote
Jauronimo Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:11 PM, pigpen65 said: That he slammed his head on the ground and didn't move right after two weeks in a row isn't speculation. It definitely happened. Expand He was kicking his feet up and down. That is movement. Quote
TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 4:47 PM, BuffaloBill said: A combination of factors at play: 1) Mostly lack of production & execution from key skill players 2) Bills inability to threaten down the field 3) Brady does not have the scheme to beat the defensive tendencies emerging 4) Offensive line was not good These are not simply opinions - the film shows the issues. Expand Watching this video makes me realize more than anything else that our "offensive weapons" create no separation. Even go back to the jags game where allen was making perfect throw after perfect throw, his QBR was a top 20 game of all time. It was honestly all him, the receivers weren't creating separation he was just playing perfect. I cant believe Beane and McDermott thought they did enough this off season for allen. 1 1 Quote
Mango Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:58 PM, MJS said: That's all speculation. It's not like Allen hasn't played bad before. He doesn't have a concussion every time he plays badly. Expand This is an internet football fan forum. Nearly 100% of every post is pure speculation and opinion. That is literally the entire point. 1 Quote
MJS Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:30 PM, Mango said: This is an internet football fan forum. Nearly 100% of every post is pure speculation and opinion. That is literally the entire point. Expand He asked why I didn't agree with him. That is the reason why. Anyone is free to speculate, but it doesn't mean I have to agree. 1 Quote
JohnNord Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 4:47 PM, BuffaloBill said: A combination of factors at play: 1) Mostly lack of production & execution from key skill players 2) Bills inability to threaten down the field 3) Brady does not have the scheme to beat the defensive tendencies emerging 4) Offensive line was not good These are not simply opinions - the film shows the issues. Expand This was a solid breakdown. I think Josh, play calling and the line play can get better. Shakir will help and Coleman should slowly improve. The big concern for me is the lack of talent at WR. If they don’t trade for someone, I guess the best option is to find a way to get the ball to Kincaid and Samuel…maybe even Knox 1 Quote
Augie Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 That was about as much fun to watch as I expected…… The little voice in my head asked why I would want to subject myself to that again. I should have listened. 1 Quote
Einstein Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:12 PM, Royale with Cheese said: You know those who are correct are often in the majority too. Expand Suppose it depends on your definition of “often”. If often is “sometimes”, then yes. But logically, for the majority to be right, they must have a large number of people with the right opinion within it. And by virtue of it being the majority, this means that most people are intelligent enough to be on the “right” side. I think I can even model this mathematically… Let X be a variable representing correctness (or in my opinion, being on the “Allen played well” side of the equation). Well, X follows a normal distribution with mean μ and variance σ^2. The probability density of X would be f(x) = (1 / (σ * sqrt(2π))) * exp(-(x - μ)^2 / (2σ^2)). To find the probability that an opinion falls within a majority range defined as [μ - kσ, μ + kσ], we can calculate P(μ - kσ ≤ X ≤ μ + kσ) = integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of f(x) dx. We can also define C(x) as inversely related to the density function, meaning C(x) is proportional to 1 / f(x). Long story short, the probability that the majority would be wrong can be approximated (with my model anyway) by Rate of error = 1 - integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of (1 / f(x)) dx. This model would imply that majority skews toward the wrong side of the correctness scale. The problem is that the inverse relation of C(x) is problematic and there are assumptions here. But I think you get where i’m coming from anyway. Quote
Woodman199 Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 I am of the opinion that Allen hurt his hand earlier in the year and ever since then has taken a lot of big hits with his inability to scramble and toss the ball like he would if healthy. The back to back games with hard hits to the head is very concerning to me. Quote
QB Bills Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:57 PM, Einstein said: Suppose it depends on your definition of “often”. If often is “sometimes”, then yes. But logically, for the majority to be right, they must have a large number of people with the right opinion within it. And by virtue of it being the majority, this means that most people are intelligent enough to be on the “right” side. I think I can even model this mathematically… Let X be a variable representing correctness (or in my opinion, being on the “Allen played well” side of the equation). Well, X follows a normal distribution with mean μ and variance σ^2. The probability density of X would be f(x) = (1 / (σ * sqrt(2π))) * exp(-(x - μ)^2 / (2σ^2)). To find the probability that an opinion falls within a majority range defined as [μ - kσ, μ + kσ], we can calculate P(μ - kσ ≤ X ≤ μ + kσ) = integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of f(x) dx. We can also define C(x) as inversely related to the density function, meaning C(x) is proportional to 1 / f(x). Long story short, the probability that the majority would be wrong can be approximated (with my model anyway) by Rate of error = 1 - integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of (1 / f(x)) dx. This model would imply that majority skews toward the wrong side of the correctness scale. The problem is that the inverse relation of C(x) is problematic and there are assumptions here. But I think you get where i’m coming from anyway. Expand You're trying too hard here pal. Allen was not good on Sunday. It's okay to say it. Joe Brady did him no favours though, that much is certain. 2 Quote
SoonerBillsFan Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 5:07 PM, pigpen65 said: I thought Allen looked like he got knocked out on the trick play vs Baltimore, but they said he wasn't so, you would think they would know. The Houston game was the worst game he's played as a pro, IMO. I commented in the Houston game thread in the first half he just seemed completely confused by everything. Definitely not himself. 100% positive he got knocked out vs Houston. I don't give a ***** what anybody says, we have a Tua situation on our hands. He's not being protected by whoever put him right back into that game. And looking back I don't know if he even should have been playing in the Houston game. He definitely shouldn't be playing right now. Expand You are right but fans hang on "because he said he is ok" as gospel. "But the Bills staff..." that is what the independent neuro team is for. I agree with the one article calling for an independent MRI and evaluation. I want the kid for years, Screw a few games this year. Quote
Royale with Cheese Posted October 8, 2024 Posted October 8, 2024 On 10/8/2024 at 6:57 PM, Einstein said: Suppose it depends on your definition of “often”. If often is “sometimes”, then yes. But logically, for the majority to be right, they must have a large number of people with the right opinion within it. And by virtue of it being the majority, this means that most people are intelligent enough to be on the “right” side. I think I can even model this mathematically… Let X be a variable representing correctness (or in my opinion, being on the “Allen played well” side of the equation). Well, X follows a normal distribution with mean μ and variance σ^2. The probability density of X would be f(x) = (1 / (σ * sqrt(2π))) * exp(-(x - μ)^2 / (2σ^2)). To find the probability that an opinion falls within a majority range defined as [μ - kσ, μ + kσ], we can calculate P(μ - kσ ≤ X ≤ μ + kσ) = integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of f(x) dx. We can also define C(x) as inversely related to the density function, meaning C(x) is proportional to 1 / f(x). Long story short, the probability that the majority would be wrong can be approximated (with my model anyway) by Rate of error = 1 - integral from (μ - kσ) to (μ + kσ) of (1 / f(x)) dx. This model would imply that majority skews toward the wrong side of the correctness scale. The problem is that the inverse relation of C(x) is problematic and there are assumptions here. But I think you get where i’m coming from anyway. Expand This is an example of why people don't actually believe you're a "genius". Talk about an example of trying too hard. On 10/8/2024 at 7:02 PM, QB Bills said: You're trying too hard here pal. Allen was not good on Sunday. It's okay to say it. Joe Brady did him no favours though, that much is certain. Expand Yep. He's entertaining at least. Quote
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.