Bills Open as 2.5 Underdogs

[Dafan]

On 9/24/2024 at 1:02 PM, GolfandBills said:

Henry worries me more than anything.  I feel like if the Bills defense can be exposed it’s on the ground with Lamar and Henry.  I’m expecting a high scoring game which i like our chances in 

Not bothering to look it up, but last time the Bills played Henry...I believe he was something like under 2ypc.

[Toyo321]

12 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

BUFFALO vs EVERYBODY

[90sBills]

3 minutes ago, Toyo321 said:

Brutus always start out strong. 

[GASabresIUFan]

30 minutes ago, JoshAllin said:

Well the line ended up bills and jags -4.5, and everyone saw how that went, so the line makers aren't exactly geniuses

I always thought the line was designed (in theory) to get people to bet evenly between the two teams.  Baltimore is at home with the 2 time MVP and the media had them as a pre-season SB contender.  Had the been 2-1 heading into the game, Balt would likely be a 5 point favorite.    

 

I think if you ask a line maker in private who do you think will win, he/she would say Buffalo by at least a TD.  

[strive_for_five_guy]

37 minutes ago, JoshAllin said:

Well the line ended up bills and jags -4.5, and everyone saw how that went, so the line makers aren't exactly geniuses

With all that late money rolling in on the Jags, the line makers probably cleaned up.  Apparently the betting public has been taking the beating:

https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/41398212/betting-numbers-sportsbooks-piling-wins-incredible-underdog-run
 

The line makers ultimately are trying to have a spread that will encourage 50% of bets on both sides, not necessarily

who they think will win.  So that said, hopefully the Bills prove the betting public wrong again. 

[Joe Ferguson]

Bills by a billion.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

Might have to come out of betting retirement for this one….don’t think the ravens defense is quite what it used to be and if they’re missing some olinemen it’s an uphill battle 

[Bookie Man]

2 hours ago, JoshAllin said:

Well the line ended up bills and jags -4.5, and everyone saw how that went, so the line makers aren't exactly geniuses

Opened at 5.5, which seems like most of the money was coming in on Jax. So in this case, they made out. 

[boyst]

I keep seeing how "experts" pick the Ravens to win. 

 

Experts on Jacksons nuts:

 

 

Seriously, I don't get the prediction that the Ravens are that successful when comparing to the Bills. Unless you take every narrative of the off-season in regard to only the Bills I just can't see it. Both teams are similar: a QB who carries the team, good OL's, a dime bag assortment of WR's, a couple of good TE's, and RBs who are special.

 

On defense you have the legacy of what Baltimore once had vs the Buffalo backup squad.

 

It comes down to offense and who can move the ball down field. Let's say both offenses are firing on all cylinders - then passing becomes critical. Id take Allen over Jackson all day in a shootout.

 

Part of me is ready to say Buffalo by 9.5 or more. We have an underrated defense. That's the difference I see. 

[djp14150]

30 minutes ago, boyst said:

I keep seeing how "experts" pick the Ravens to win. 

 

Experts on Jacksons nuts:

 

Seriously, I don't get the prediction that the Ravens are that successful when comparing to the Bills. Unless you take every narrative of the off-season in regard to only the Bills I just can't see it. Both teams are similar: a QB who carries the team, good OL's, a dime bag assortment of WR's, a couple of good TE's, and RBs who are special.

 

On defense you have the legacy of what Baltimore once had vs the Buffalo backup squad.

 

It comes down to offense and who can move the ball down field. Let's say both offenses are firing on all cylinders - then passing becomes critical. Id take Allen over Jackson all day in a shootout.

 

Part of me is ready to say Buffalo by 9.5 or more. We have an underrated defense. That's the difference I see. 

 

reputation/ expectation. They lost on the road to KC by a fraction of an inch on thr last play.  Thrn they blew a lead against the raiders. They almost blew it again against Dallas.

 

last time they played the Ravens they came back to win 

 

 

[Heitz]

11 hours ago, Toyo321 said:

 

Uhhhh, have you watched a Popeye cartoon to the end? 🤔