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Posted (edited)

The Bills have lost the last 2 to the Jags but they’ve not been at home for either.

 

The Jags are 9-17 on the road since Trevor Lawrence was drafted and 0-4 in their last 4. The Bills have one of, if not the best, home records during that stretch.

 

Bills win outright 27-12.

 

 

Edited by Beast
  • Like (+1) 1
Posted (edited)
12 hours ago, The Helmet of said:

My best bet would be SF -6.5 against the MASH unit LA Rams… 

 

Devil's advocate, this often seems like a tight divisional game and Niners have no McCaffrey, no Deebo, and no Kittle.

 

11 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

He's facing a Minnesota defense that I think is pretty good 

 

Funny how the fortunes of Tua and his tormentor, former Dolphins HC Brian Flores have turned since Tua publicly slammed him.

 

Tua's career is on a drip while Flores is getting accolades for his work in Minny.

 

Edited by Sierra Foothills
Posted
5 minutes ago, Sierra Foothills said:

 

Devil's advocate, this is oftenseems like a tight divisional game and Niners have ni McCaffrey, no Deebo, and no Kittle.

 

 

Funny how the fortunes of Tua and his tormentor, former Dolphins HC Brian Flores have turned since Tua publicly slammed him.

 

Tua's career is on a drip while Flores is getting accolades for his work in Minny.

 

In fairness, that is and always was fragile AND Flores wasn't a good HC 

Posted

I don’t gamble (I have enough vices and don’t need an expensive new one), but if I did i wouldn’t touch an NFL game until October. How can you explain the Cowboys getting hammered by the Saints or the Vikings beating the 9ers based upon preseason expectations? How do the Browns look as bad as they did in week one and then go and win on the road against a pretty talented Jacksonville team? I would need at least four games to have an informed opinion. 

Posted
20 minutes ago, Mister Defense said:

Curious what people think is the best betting site for NFL games?

 

Interested in betting on several individual games this week and choosing 3-6 games in  some parlays.

 

When I checked sites it was hard to find info on a parlay like that, only in 'same game" parlays which I have no interest in right now.

 

Or would I get better odds etcetera by just doing this at a local casino this morning?

 

Seems like some good bets/lines  today:  Hawks -4.5 over fish, Tampa -6.5 over the Broncos, New Orleans -3 over the Eagles,  and maybe Vegas -5 over the Panthers, though Dalton may give the Panthers something more today.  (Like Titans over the Packers, but not with Love at QB.)

 

 


BetMGM usually offers 33%-50% odds boosts on Parlays, up to $50 maximum stake.  So if you’re going to do a 3-6 game parlay, that might be the site to do it on.

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Posted
3 minutes ago, Low Positive said:

I don’t gamble (I have enough vices and don’t need an expensive new one), but if I did i wouldn’t touch an NFL game until October. How can you explain the Cowboys getting hammered by the Saints or the Vikings beating the 9ers based upon preseason expectations? How do the Browns look as bad as they did in week one and then go and win on the road against a pretty talented Jacksonville team? I would need at least four games to have an informed opinion. 

Actually do my best work early before the books wrap their heads around what's what 

  • Agree 1
Posted
3 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

LAC PIT under 35.5

NYG CLE under 38.5

TB -6.5

 

Notes:

1) these o/u are getting squeezed tighter, but still like it

2) absolutely hate both offenses in this game but the defenses look solid, should be ezpz 

3) Bo Nix on the road? See Tampa winning by double digits.

 

Who do you have on your ticket 

Looks good, I still think it can click for Nix and they turn it around with Payton as a great offensive mind,  might tail but do alternate lines. 

 

I'm extremely high on Arizona at +3.5 , think they’re the real deal 

6 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:


BetMGM usually offers 33%-50% odds boosts on Parlays, up to $50 maximum stake.  So if you’re going to do a 3-6 game parlay, that might be the site to do it on.

pretty much every sportsbooks gives great parlay boosts, I recently switched to Fanatics because there fantasy, you get a percentage back on every bet, win or lose, it adds up if you're betting alot, I'm banned on mgm, they own borgota and got permanently banned on there for no reason,  strictly playing poker, still miss them😪

Posted
46 minutes ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

I'd run screaming from that bills line TBH 

 

They're ripe for the upset against a team they've had little success against 

100% correct. 
 

If you have to bet on the Bills go ML, but that’s just a bad bet through and through.

 

I love the 9ers -6.5, under 38.5 giants Browns, and Packers +3.

Posted
2 hours ago, The Helmet of said:

Haven’t seen LAC D, so don’t know what to expect from them. But given no Herbert…and PIT history of low productivity on O… I’d take the under.

 

Wouldn’t touch NYG / Cleveland… it could be a wild one…

 

Bo Nix has proven absolutely nothing so far. Easy to bet on TB.

 

My best bet would be SF -6.5 against the MASH unit LA Rams… 

Sf doesn't have Kittle, CMC or Deebo

 

Scared of that game

 

I went with 

Pitt/tenn under 

TB -6.5

Over Houston/minn

Cleveland -6

Indy -1

Posted

Thanks a lot for the help.

 

Set up an account on FanDuel, 'made' my bets.

 

But it won't let me place them as is says they cannot verify my location.  And all their links to download the geo ocation thing just took me back to the same page.

 

Tried to then to do it on my phone, and surprising--same problem.

 

Have never had that happen in all transactions+ I have done online, so off to the casino I think.

Posted
26 minutes ago, TBBills Fan said:

Sf doesn't have Kittle, CMC or Deebo

 

Scared of that game

 

I went with 

Pitt/tenn under 

TB -6.5

Over Houston/minn

Cleveland -6

Indy -1

Indy makes me sick just can't touch them

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

Indy makes me sick just can't touch them

 

 

But seems unlikely Chicago and Williams beat them at home.  He looks like he needs to sit and watch and learn for a while before starting--like most qbs.  Or the Bears may ruin yet another QB.  And surprised the Hawks are only favored by that many points over the qb less fins--and at home. 

 

And the Eagles may be as dysfunctional this year as they were last year.  We will see.

 

Bellicheck will likely be getting a call well before the season ends by one of three NFC East teams.

 

 

 

 

Edited by Mister Defense
  • Like (+1) 1
Posted
12 minutes ago, Mister Defense said:

 

 

But seems unlikely Chicago and Williams beat them at home.  He looks like he needs to sit and watch and learn for a while before starting--like most qbs.  Or the Bears may ruin yet another QB.  And surprised the Hawks are only favored by that many points over the qb less fins--and at home. 

 

And the Eagles may be as dysfunctional this year as they were last year.  We will see.

 

Bellicheck will likely be getting a call well before the season ends by one of three NFC East teams, it seems. 

 

 


indy d lost Buckner. They have no pass rush which has been the bears online issue. They faced a great titans d line and Houston d line. He might actually have time to throw this week. Bears d will kill Richardson 

  • Shocked 1
Posted
1 hour ago, Pine Barrens Mafia said:

18 legs? What was the payout 


$5 for $95.  All double digit spreads, picking moneyline. I’ll hit it one of these weeks. 

Posted
18 minutes ago, WotAGuy said:


$5 for $95.  All double digit spreads, picking moneyline. I’ll hit it one of these weeks. 

I know it's small money and just for fun but in general I would strongly advise you avoid 18 leg parlays that pay 18-1

  • Haha (+1) 2
Posted
4 minutes ago, Process said:

I know it's small money and just for fun but in general I would strongly advise you avoid 18 leg parlays that pay 18-1


What do you recommend?  

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