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2024 Election Polls - President - Senate - House


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9 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

Agreed.  The people paid to analyze polls who have been doing it for years I trust but....not a whole heckuva lot this time around.

 

The case for a Harris blowout is that in the wake of Dobbs, women are breaking hard for the Dems while independents and some Republicans are just tired of the Trump show, but pollsters are missing the shift because they're basing their models on 2022 or 2020 recall vote. 

 

I don't think it's something you would normally see coming until after the fact. Which is another reason why Selzer's poll is garnering a lot of attention: she doesn't model on recall vote so her methodology could potentially allow her to catch such a shift ahead of time that other pollsters miss.

 

But there are like, hundreds of data points that point us in the direction of this being incredibly close, so that's where I'd put my money if I were betting on the race.

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17 minutes ago, L Ron Burgundy said:

 

Yes, I know facts make you very uncomfortable.  Just go read X a bit, get back into your comfort zone.  They're eating our pets!  Jewish space lasers!  

Hail Mary border bill, Biden age is his strength. 2 weeks to stop the spread, if you don't vote for me you ain't black. I can do this too.

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16 hours ago, ChiGoose said:

Editor Jon Ralston’s 2024 Nevada election predictions

 

Fellow Bills Mafia Member and Nevada elections guru Jon Ralston makes his final predictions:

 

President:

  • Harris - 48.5%
  • Trump - 48.2%

US Senate:

  • Rosen: 50%
  • Brown: 45%

US House Winners:

  • Dina Titus (D)
  • Mark Amoodei (R)
  • Susie Lee (D)
  • Steven Horsford (D)

State Legislature:

  • 25 (D) - 17 (R)

More from Ralston…

 

 

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Curious question…I know everyone favorite pastime here is sharing things from Twitter…but what if Elon was a registered Democrat supporting Kamala?

 

Would Twitter be considered a biased source then?

 

its so dumb watching you all parrot ideas and posts from an echo chamber.

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