SCBills Posted October 26 Posted October 26 Clark County mail came in overnight and Republicans INCREASED their lead… 1 1
K D Posted October 26 Posted October 26 30 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: If he's leading the popular vote even in the usually biased Dem heavy sampling polls then it's over for Kommiela 2
Big Blitz Posted October 26 Author Posted October 26 Their days are numbered Legacy media is done 1 1
K D Posted October 26 Posted October 26 15 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: Their days are numbered Legacy media is done I called George Snuffleupagous an angry oompa loompa, can we bring up the polling on that? 1
SCBills Posted October 27 Posted October 27 (edited) California obviously doesn’t matter electorally, but as an indicator on whether Trump can win the popular vote… Clearly Covid plays a part, but this is a massive difference Edited October 27 by SCBills 1
aristocrat Posted October 27 Posted October 27 19 hours ago, Big Blitz said: Their days are numbered Legacy media is done Remember when Georgie was at the Epstein party to celebrate his release from prison for rape? 1
SCBills Posted October 27 Posted October 27 10 minutes ago, Roundybout said: ABC/Ipsos and Morning Consult have been what Democrats are pointing to. Definitely her best polls with those two polling groups.
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted October 27 Posted October 27 11 minutes ago, Roundybout said: Maybe she can run against Biden. Please keep us posted on all the good news coming from Ian Sams - spokesman for future president Harris.
Roundybout Posted October 27 Posted October 27 13 minutes ago, SCBills said: ABC/Ipsos and Morning Consult have been what Democrats are pointing to. Definitely her best polls with those two polling groups. The cross tabs are interesting too There’s another poll by Big Village with Harris up even more but I’m not putting any stock into a C-tier pollster.
SCBills Posted October 27 Posted October 27 Michael Pruser is a great follow on X for raw data. His most recent sun belt updates show R’s still up in NC & NV EV, with GA showing higher than normal rural returns, with DeKalb & Fulton (Atlanta) down a bit from 2020 and 2022 in terms of percentage of EV thus far.
Roundybout Posted October 27 Posted October 27 12 minutes ago, SCBills said: Michael Pruser is a great follow on X for raw data. His most recent sun belt updates show R’s still up in NC & NV EV, with GA showing higher than normal rural returns, with DeKalb & Fulton (Atlanta) down a bit from 2020 and 2022 in terms of percentage of EV thus far. Don’t think Harris pulls out Nevada this year
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted October 27 Posted October 27 7 minutes ago, Roundybout said: Don’t think Harris pulls out Nevada this year Why do you think she will lose a state that hasn’t gone for the republican candidate since 2004? 1
SCBills Posted October 27 Posted October 27 (edited) 33 minutes ago, Roundybout said: Don’t think Harris pulls out Nevada this year Probably inconsequential anyway.. unless something crazy happens in an unexpected state like Virginia, Trump loses Georgia or the apocalyptic NE-2 scenario. Edited October 27 by SCBills
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted October 27 Posted October 27 Ian Sams could not be reached for comment. 2
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted October 28 Posted October 28 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Sharing this as a courtesy to backintheday. He used to love this but he hasn’t shared it in awhile. He might be awol after his unhinged performance in the groping thread he started.
K D Posted October 28 Posted October 28 28 minutes ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Sharing this as a courtesy to backintheday. He used to love this but he hasn’t shared it in awhile. He might be awol after his unhinged performance in the groping thread he started. He would say "so it's a coin flip." And also "ANSWER THE QUESTION!!!!!" 1 1
Biden is Mentally Fit Posted October 28 Posted October 28 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Today’s update especially for the one-time fan backintheday. 54-46 probability for Orange Voldemort. Five weeks ago it was 64-36 for Harris. Any thoughts about that from Harris “fans”?
The Frankish Reich Posted October 28 Posted October 28 1 minute ago, Biden is Mentally Fit said: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Today’s update especially for the one-time fan backintheday. 54-46 probability for Orange Voldemort. Five weeks ago it was 64-36 for Harris. Any thoughts about that from Harris “fans”? I think that's about right. Again, I feel like Nate Silver here, albeit with better hair and less money. The fact that I want Harris to win doesn't influence my reasoned opinion that Trump is a slight favorite. Why would it?
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