SCBills Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 Looking at raw EV Data… there’s only one question beginning to emerge.. Does the strong EV showing thus far for Republicans detract from their election week/day of voting or is this evidence of the new R+1 national map and increased R efforts to turn out low propensity voters? PA remains a mixed bag. EV returned ballot numbers that can give hope to both sides. 2
RiotAct Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 12:58 PM, SCBills said: Looking at raw EV Data… there’s only one question beginning to emerge.. Does the strong EV showing thus far for Republicans detract from their election week/day of voting or is this evidence of the new R+1 national map and increased R efforts to turn out low propensity voters? PA remains a mixed bag. EV returned ballot numbers that can give hope to both sides. Expand is this a scenario where the urban areas just haven’t reported yet, or are being extremely slow to report? I guess what I’m saying is, temper your expectations, bigly…
SCBills Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 (edited) On 10/24/2024 at 1:38 PM, RiotAct said: is this a scenario where the urban areas just haven’t reported yet, or are being extremely slow to report? I guess what I’m saying is, temper your expectations, bigly… Expand No, it’s not. Clark County is reporting in Nevada, and Jon Ralston is as good at this as it gets. NC/GA are updated every night. The above 3 look bad for Harris. PA is the mixed bag. Dems up by about 360k raw ballot returns in EV so far (not great for D’s, but not awful either - given EV in other battleground states, I’d think Dems will at least be relieved to see these numbers here)… but that growth is slowing and R’s are over performing in early vote compared to previous years + a huge increase in voter registration. Edited October 24, 2024 by SCBills 3
JDHillFan Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 12:36 PM, Backintheday544 said: Registered voters. Monmouth Expand I remember when this was one of your favorites to link to: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ 2
Backintheday544 Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 5:26 PM, Biden is Mentally Fit said: I remember when this was one of your favorites to link to: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/ Expand wow yea coin toss.
JDHillFan Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 5:58 PM, Backintheday544 said: wow yea coin toss. Expand Exactly. Imagine someone here thinking it’ll be an early night for Harris to give her victory speech. Idiotic don’t you think?
SCBills Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 Clark County drop overnight decreased the R EV lead in Nevada by about 4k votes.
Roundybout Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 (edited) Harris seems to be holding up fine in rural PA and with whites, as well as in the suburbs. Edited October 24, 2024 by Roundybout
JDHillFan Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 7:05 PM, Roundybout said: Harris seems to be holding up fine in rural PA and with whites, as well as in the suburbs. Expand So between the first tweet you posted and your comment at the end are whites good or bad?
Roundybout Posted October 24, 2024 Posted October 24, 2024 On 10/24/2024 at 7:11 PM, Biden is Mentally Fit said: So between the first tweet you posted and your comment at the end are whites good or bad? Expand The first was simply an amusing observation.
K D Posted October 25, 2024 Posted October 25, 2024 On 10/25/2024 at 3:39 AM, SCBills said: Expand Lol some of the comments are suggesting that the R's are voting for Kamala so Republicans not really in the lead. Riiiight lol that's some next level coping 😂 1
K D Posted October 25, 2024 Posted October 25, 2024 On 10/25/2024 at 11:19 AM, BillsFanNC said: Expand Dems need to get those fake ballot printers working overtime! Or are they just going to fudge the numbers directly through the Dominion box that is hooked to the internet? If we overwhelm them it will be too big to rig!!
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