Gonzo Final Mock

[gonzo1105]

Last year I was lucky enough to be one of the few people who had Kincaid ever in our spot and was a huge fan. Only one trade allowed and thats the QB trade. No other trades allowed.  I would have had this out earlier but I create a 7 Round Mock Draft every year that I was finishing to see the latest pick I get right.  In case anyone is curious the latest pick I've ever gotten correct in a 7 round mock draft is pick # 155 with Darrell Luter Jr. going to the 49ers.

 

 

1. Chicago Bears- Caleb Williams QB USC

- This is a no brainer and a lock to happen. No further explanation needed.

2. Washington Commanders- Jayden Daniels QB LSU

- This is also trending in a 95% way. He has gone head and shoulders above the other candidates at this pick and is expected here.

3. New England Patriots- Drake Maye QB UNC

-Whether its the Patriots or the Vikings/Giants, Drake Maye is very likely to be the 3rd overall pick. I'm not as big a fan of Maye as a lot of people but his untapped potential is undeniable

4. Arizona Cardinals- Marvin Harrison WR Ohio State

- I've held fast that Harrison is the # 1 WR in this draft and he's too good a prospect for the Cardinals to pass up here.

5. Minnesota Vikings(from LAC)- J.J. McCarthy QB Michigan

- The Vikings are the team to move up in the draft and grab McCarthy at the 5th overall selection. The Vikings do not want to go into the season with Sam Darnold as their QB so they trade up and grab McCarthy here as their pick.

6. New York Giants- Malik Nabers WR LSU

-Nabers is a great consolation prize for the Giants who need someone on the offensive side of the ball to be a dynamic playmaker now that Barkley has shipped out. I think its too little too late for the Daboll/Schoen regime as they never were able to get their QB and it will sink them

7. Tennessee Titans- Joe Alt OT Notre Dame

- Status quo here as Joe Alt has been picked here since pretty much the combine. I think it would be awesome if the Titans go in a different direction though to literally throw everyone off.

8. Atlanta Falcons- Byron Murphy DT Texas

- I can't believe that Murphy is considered a top 10 prospect as I just don't see it but here we are and Morris  is going to want his prospects as a defensive coach and its clear they want to add to the defensive line in some manner.

9. Chicago Bears- Rome Odunze WR Washington

- I think this is a prime trade out spot for the Bears so I expect Odunze to be the selection in the 9 spot by either the Bears or the trading up team. Will that team be our beloved Buffalo Bills.

10. New York Jets- Brock Bowers TE Georgia

- I stick with Bowers here but I have the gut feeling this is going to be an offensive lineman. There are a ton of guys available at Tackle and the Jets need one despite having two old bookends. I could go either way here.

11. Los Angeles Chargers(from Min)-J.C. Latham OT Alabama

- Seems like the Chargers are locked in here on Latham if they are going offensive line. I wouldn't pass up on Nabers but it seems this regime is set on working from the inside out which I can't fully blame them for doing.

12. Denver Broncos- Dallas Turner DE Alabama

- I suspect the Broncos will try to trade down here to get some capital for next year but if they can't they decide to take Dallas Turner who has the most upside of all the Defensive Ends in the draft.

13. Las Vegas Raiders- Taliese Fuaga OT Oregon State

- I had been on the Penix train but decide to go safe here and pick Fuaga who is a hell of a pick for the Raiders who can play multiple positions

14. New Orleans Saints- Olu Fashanu OT Penn State

- The Saints need offensive lineman and Fashanu drops slightly into pick #14. He can slot in at either tackle spot and the Saints are thrilled to have him.

15. Indianapolis Colts- Quinyon Mitchell CB Toledo

- I still think there is a strong possibility that this can be a weapon whether its Brock Bowers or trading up for Rome Odunze. If they decide to stay at this pick Mitchell is the go to # 1 CB in the draft and the Colts would be happy to swipe him.

16. Seattle Seahawks- Troy Fautanu OT/OG Washington

- This pick just makes way too much sense and I fully expect someone to trade ahead of them to get Fautanu because its been out there forever that he is their guy.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars- Terrion Arnold CB Alabama

- The Jaguars have been trending here for a CB for the last couple of weeks it seems over WR and Arnold is arguably the 2nd best CB in the draft so they pluck Arnold who still has a lot of upside.

18. Cincinnati Bengals- Amarius Mims OT Georgia

- Speaking of upside, Mims is probably the top RT in the draft when it comes to upside. He's only made 8 starts at Georgia but he can be a monster if he reaches his full ability. The Bengals have done a lot of work on him.

19. Los Angeles Rams- Laiatu Latu DE UCLA

- Word is that he was cleared by most doctors for his neck injury and the Rams strike me as the perfect blend of need, value, and GM/Coach who are willing to take that chance on a player with some medical issues.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers- Graham Barton OC Duke

- I think there is little doubt that this is going to be an offensive lineman. Rumor is they are trying to trade up to get their offensive lineman of choice so Barton isn't locked in by any stretch but he is a versatile offensive lineman who can slot in at Center for the Steelers.

21. Miami Dolphins- Jared Verse DE Florida State

- I can't believe that Verse falls this far but it makes a lot of sense for the Dolphins to add a young non injured pass rusher. Xavier Worthy has been my choice up to this point but you have to think that they would come to their senses and take a position of need more than taking a speedy 3rd WR. We shall see.

22. Philadelphia Eagles- Tyler Guyton OT Oklahoma

- Everyone in their mother was mocking a CB to the Eagles and it could still very well happen but they have been linked to Guyton and the Eagles love drafting big bodies especially with Lane Johnson being 34 years of age.

23. Los Angeles Chargers(from Min)-Brian Thomas Jr. LSU

- The Chargers two biggest needs were OL and WR. They drop down and take Latham and I believe they will turn around at pick # 23 and choose either Brian Thomas or Xavier Worthy with this selection. I choose to go with Thomas Jr.

24. Dallas Cowboys- Xavier Worthy WR Texas

- The Cowboys can either go Offensive line or WR  and I would probably choose offensive line just because of depth but it wouldn't surprise me at all if they add the speedster in Worthy to add to that WR corps.

25. Green Bay Packers- Cooper DeJean CB/S Iowa

- DeJean makes a lot of sense from two perspectives. They need a CB and a Safety so if DeJean fails at CB they can easily slot him in as the other Safety opposite of McKinney.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Jackson Powers Johnson OC Oregon

- This will either come down to Chop Robinson or an offensive lineman. I just think that the Bucs offensive line is in such shambles outside of Wirfs and need some reinforcements up front. This is another example of going OL

27. Arizona Cardinals- Chop Robinson DE Penn State

- Right after the Bucs pass, the Cardinals go up and nab another big need guy in Chop Robinson. I can def see the Cardinals moving up from 27 to get Verse or Latu due to having so many draft picks and there is a drop off from those guys to Robinson.

28. Buffalo Bills- Ladd McConkey WR Georgia

- I honestly think that if BTJ and Worthy are off the board that the Bills will trade down here. That is not an option in this mock draft so I slot in Ladd McConkey into this slot. I have been on the McConkey train for multiple months and now is the time to put my money where my mouth is much like I did last year with Kincaid.

29. Detroit Lions- Zach Frazier OG West Virginia

- Frazier just strikes me as a the type of player Dan Campbell and the Lions would love. Tough gritty player who can replace Frank Ragnow at Center in a couple of years while slotting in at Guard in the meantime.

30. Baltimore Ravens- Jordan Morgan OT Arizona

- The Ravens need offensive lineman and Morgan has been moving up the ranks. He can play either Left or Right Tackle and the Ravens are happy to select him.

31. San Francisco 49ers- Nate Wiggins CB Clemson

- Rumors are they either going with McConkey or Wiggins and with McConkey off the board the 49ers take Wiggins and finally take a 1st round CB.

32. Kansas City Chiefs- Kool-Aid McKinstry CB Alabama

- The Chiefs can either go Tackle, WR, or CB here but I feel McKinstry provides too much value to pass up on for now.

Edited April 26 by gonzo1105

[Brandon]

I'm also of the belief that it'll be Ladd McConkey if they keep the 28th pick.  I see him as the best overall fit for the type of player they seem to value at WR. 

 

I'm a little uncertain of the R2 pick.  I could see it as WR again,  DL or DB.  I do think most of the 4th-7ths will be defense.  In general,  though,  I expect a quality approach to the offense,  quantity on defense. 

[Aussie Joe]

Just to clarify l…“Had Kincaid in our spot “…

 

So does his mean you had him as the Bills pick or the original spot without the trade up?

[bills6969]

I like Ladd as well.  His floor is Cole Beasley in his prime, his ceiling is Diggs

[gonzo1105]

Just now, Aussie Joe said:

Just to clarify l…“Had Kincaid in our spot “…

 

So does his mean you had him as the Bills pick or the original spot without the trade up?

The Original spot as with this mock I do not do trades. I made the exception here for the 4th QB as it seems a foregone conclusion but if it doesn’t happen you can count 3 wrong already on it. 

[ngbills]

Please no Ladd. Just don’t see him being good in the nfl. 

[jlgarsh]

2 hours ago, gonzo1105 said:

Last year I was lucky enough to be one of the few people who had Kincaid ever in our spot and was a huge fan. Only one trade allowed and thats the QB trade. No other trades allowed.  I would have had this out earlier but I create a 7 Round Mock Draft every year that I was finishing to see the latest pick I get right.  In case anyone is curious the latest pick I've ever gotten correct in a 7 round mock draft is pick # 155 with Darrell Luter Jr. going to the 49ers.

 

 

1. Chicago Bears- Caleb Williams QB USC

- This is a no brainer and a lock to happen. No further explanation needed.

2. Washington Commanders- Jayden Daniels QB LSU

- This is also trending in a 95% way. He has gone head and shoulders above the other candidates at this pick and is expected here.

3. New England Patriots- Drake Maye QB UNC

-Whether its the Patriots or the Vikings/Giants, Drake Maye is very likely to be the 3rd overall pick. I'm not as big a fan of Maye as a lot of people but his untapped potential is undeniable

4. Arizona Cardinals- Marvin Harrison WR Ohio State

- I've held fast that Harrison is the # 1 WR in this draft and he's too good a prospect for the Cardinals to pass up here.

5. Minnesota Vikings(from LAC)- J.J. McCarthy QB Michigan

- The Vikings are the team to move up in the draft and grab McCarthy at the 5th overall selection. The Vikings do not want to go into the season with Sam Darnold as their QB so they trade up and grab McCarthy here as their pick.

6. New York Giants- Malik Nabers WR LSU

-Nabers is a great consolation prize for the Giants who need someone on the offensive side of the ball to be a dynamic playmaker now that Barkley has shipped out. I think its too little too late for the Daboll/Schoen regime as they never were able to get their QB and it will sink them

7. Tennessee Titans- Joe Alt OT Notre Dame

- Status quo here as Joe Alt has been picked here since pretty much the combine. I think it would be awesome if the Titans go in a different direction though to literally throw everyone off.

8. Atlanta Falcons- Byron Murphy DT Texas

- I can't believe that Murphy is considered a top 10 prospect as I just don't see it but here we are and Morris  is going to want his prospects as a defensive coach and its clear they want to add to the defensive line in some manner.

9. Chicago Bears- Rome Odunze WR Washington

- I think this is a prime trade out spot for the Bears so I expect Odunze to be the selection in the 9 spot by either the Bears or the trading up team. Will that team be our beloved Buffalo Bills.

10. New York Jets- Brock Bowers TE Georgia

- I stick with Bowers here but I have the gut feeling this is going to be an offensive lineman. There are a ton of guys available at Tackle and the Jets need one despite having two old bookends. I could go either way here.

11. Los Angeles Chargers(from Min)-J.C. Latham OT Alabama

- Seems like the Chargers are locked in here on Latham if they are going offensive line. I wouldn't pass up on Nabers but it seems this regime is set on working from the inside out which I can't fully blame them for doing.

12. Denver Broncos- Dallas Turner DE Alabama

- I suspect the Broncos will try to trade down here to get some capital for next year but if they can't they decide to take Dallas Turner who has the most upside of all the Defensive Ends in the draft.

13. Las Vegas Raiders- Taliese Fuaga OT Oregon State

- I had been on the Penix train but decide to go safe here and pick Fuaga who is a hell of a pick for the Raiders who can play multiple positions

14. New Orleans Saints- Olu Fashanu OT Penn State

- The Saints need offensive lineman and Fashanu drops slightly into pick #14. He can slot in at either tackle spot and the Saints are thrilled to have him.

15. Indianapolis Colts- Quinyon Mitchell CB Toledo

- I still think there is a strong possibility that this can be a weapon whether its Brock Bowers or trading up for Rome Odunze. If they decide to stay at this pick Mitchell is the go to # 1 CB in the draft and the Colts would be happy to swipe him.

16. Seattle Seahawks- Troy Fautanu OT/OG Washington

- This pick just makes way too much sense and I fully expect someone to trade ahead of them to get Fautanu because its been out there forever that he is their guy.

17. Jacksonville Jaguars- Terrion Arnold CB Alabama

- The Jaguars have been trending here for a CB for the last couple of weeks it seems over WR and Arnold is arguably the 2nd best CB in the draft so they pluck Arnold who still has a lot of upside.

18. Cincinnati Bengals- Amarius Mims OT Georgia

- Speaking of upside, Mims is probably the top RT in the draft when it comes to upside. He's only made 8 starts at Georgia but he can be a monster if he reaches his full ability. The Bengals have done a lot of work on him.

19. Los Angeles Rams- Laiatu Latu DE UCLA

- Word is that he was cleared by most doctors for his neck injury and the Rams strike me as the perfect blend of need, value, and GM/Coach who are willing to take that chance on a player with some medical issues.

20. Pittsburgh Steelers- Graham Barton OC Duke

- I think there is little doubt that this is going to be an offensive lineman. Rumor is they are trying to trade up to get their offensive lineman of choice so Barton isn't locked in by any stretch but he is a versatile offensive lineman who can slot in at Center for the Steelers.

21. Miami Dolphins- Jared Verse DE Florida State

- I can't believe that Verse falls this far but it makes a lot of sense for the Dolphins to add a young non injured pass rusher. Xavier Worthy has been my choice up to this point but you have to think that they would come to their senses and take a position of need more than taking a speedy 3rd WR. We shall see.

22. Philadelphia Eagles- Tyler Guyton OT Oklahoma

- Everyone in their mother was mocking a CB to the Eagles and it could still very well happen but they have been linked to Guyton and the Eagles love drafting big bodies especially with Lane Johnson being 34 years of age.

23. Los Angeles Chargers(from Min)-Brian Thomas Jr. LSU

- The Chargers two biggest needs were OL and WR. They drop down and take Latham and I believe they will turn around at pick # 23 and choose either Brian Thomas or Xavier Worthy with this selection. I choose to go with Thomas Jr.

24. Dallas Cowboys- Xavier Worthy WR Texas

- The Cowboys can either go Offensive line or WR  and I would probably choose offensive line just because of depth but it wouldn't surprise me at all if they add the speedster in Worthy to add to that WR corps.

25. Green Bay Packers- Cooper DeJean CB/S Iowa

- DeJean makes a lot of sense from two perspectives. They need a CB and a Safety so if DeJean fails at CB they can easily slot him in as the other Safety opposite of McKinney.

26. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Jackson Powers Johnson OC Oregon

- This will either come down to Chop Robinson or an offensive lineman. I just think that the Bucs offensive line is in such shambles outside of Wirfs and need some reinforcements up front. This is another example of going OL

27. Arizona Cardinals- Chop Robinson DE Penn State

- Right after the Bucs pass, the Cardinals go up and nab another big need guy in Chop Robinson. I can def see the Cardinals moving up from 27 to get Verse or Latu due to having so many draft picks and there is a drop off from those guys to Robinson.

28. Buffalo Bills- Ladd McConkey WR Georgia

- I honestly think that if BTJ and Worthy are off the board that the Bills will trade down here. That is not an option in this mock draft so I slot in Ladd McConkey into this slot. I have been on the McConkey train for multiple months and now is the time to put my money where my mouth is much like I did last year with Kincaid.

29. Detroit Lions- Zach Frazier OG West Virginia

- Frazier just strikes me as a the type of player Dan Campbell and the Lions would love. Tough gritty player who can replace Frank Ragnow at Center in a couple of years while slotting in at Guard in the meantime.

30. Baltimore Ravens- Jordan Morgan OT Arizona

- The Ravens need offensive lineman and Morgan has been moving up the ranks. He can play either Left or Right Tackle and the Ravens are happy to select him.

31. San Francisco 49ers- Nate Wiggins CB Clemson

- Rumors are they either going with McConkey or Wiggins and with McConkey off the board the 49ers take Wiggins and finally take a 1st round CB.

32. Kansas City Chiefs- Kool-Aid McKinstry CB Alabama

- The Chiefs can either go Tackle, WR, or CB here but I feel McKinstry provides too much value to pass up on for now.

Well done. You nailed McCarthy to Vikings via trade, just had pick # wrong. Good enough for me

[gonzo1105]

Got 10 out of the 32 first round picks correct. Thats not bad when you don't account for trades.

 

I got the first 6 right.

 

McCarthy was wrong spot but the right team. Brian Thomas was the right spot but wrong team and Xavier Legette I had at pick 33 to Carolina and he went pick # 32 and McConkey is still in play for the Bills at 33 if they choose.

 

Williams

Daniels

Maye

Harrison

McCarthy

Nabers

Odunze

Mims

Thomas Jr (Spot)

Legette (Team)