ToGoGo Posted April 4 Posted April 4 1 hour ago, strive_for_five_guy said: Right, but the pick is a year down the road, rather than in this year’s draft. The value of a 1st round pick in next year’s draft is worth less today, versus 1st round pick in this year’s draft. Give me $100 today, and I’ll give you the $100 back in 10 years w no interest. Sound like a good deal? It’s $100 in 1 year, not 10. And the drop from 1st round to 2nd round is a lot more than 5th round to 6th round for example. I’m just saying if I was GM, I wouldn’t like that value reasoning. Quote
Success Posted April 4 Posted April 4 4 hours ago, Tipster19 said: Thanks for posting this! Since the Diggs’ trade I’ve pondering Beane’s rationale and of course a trade up in the draft is almost a guarantee. Under that assumption Came up with some possibilities, 3 as a matter of fact. When Beane gave up his 1st rd pick for Diggs it almost killed him. He was itching so bad during that draft. I remember him stopping just short of saying that he would never give up a 1st rder again unless it was in an extreme circumstance. Well, here we are! What I believe what Beane might be thinking is he can trade next year’s 1st rd pick this year because he has 2 2nd rd picks next year that he can pair up and get back into the 1st rd again. Just food for thought. Scenario #1. Using the above chart Beane goes COMPLETELY all in and makes a trade with the Bears at #9. The Bears only have 4 picks in the entire draft so I could see them moving back to acquire more picks. This serves twofold, it gets them one of the top 3 WRs in the draft and it also leapfrogs the Jets at #10 who very well could be taking one of the top WRs themselves. My guess would be it’s for Rome Odunze. Scenario #2. Once again Beane makes another leapfrog move and trades up with the Saints at #14 just before the Colts at #15. In this scenario it’s for LSU WR Brian Thomas Jr. Based on LSU WRs in the past (Chase & Jefferson) being so pro ready I believe that this is our best option for Diggs’ replacement. Git ‘er done Beanie! Scenario #3. The Bills just stand pat at #28 and draft Georgia WR Ladd McConkey. Under this scenario I would think that the Bills would also make a trade for a veteran like Brandon Aiyuk. I won’t venture what the compensation would be but the Bills but I would imagine that Buffalo will have enough resources left to get a trade like this done. Personally I like Scenario #2 the best and that’s what I’m hoping for. Great breakdown of the options. My preference would be the 1st - with no #1 on this team, I'd really love to get one of the top 3 guys. Would you (or anyone) think there is a chance we might trade w/ the Giants & try to get Nabers? Quote
billykay Posted April 4 Posted April 4 23 hours ago, KDIGGZ said: The top 3 WR's will go in the top 10. We aren't going up that high without seriously negatively impacting this team for years, worse than $30 mil dead cap or Von Miller's contract Think NYG. They are the new Carolina Panthers. Quote
strive_for_five_guy Posted April 4 Posted April 4 2 hours ago, ToGoGo said: It’s $100 in 1 year, not 10. And the drop from 1st round to 2nd round is a lot more than 5th round to 6th round for example. I’m just saying if I was GM, I wouldn’t like that value reasoning. I’m sure each GM has a way more complicated value reasoning system that our rule of thumbs are giving credit for, or at least they should. Quote
Matt_In_NH Posted April 4 Posted April 4 On 4/3/2024 at 1:21 PM, strive_for_five_guy said: No doubt in my mind Beane plans to use draft capital from next year’s draft, in order to move up in either the 1st or 2nd round this year and draft the WR he wants. Question is who does he really like and how much is he willing to spend. If next years 1 is worth the same as this years pick at the end of two you wont get up too far to justify it to me. Quote
strive_for_five_guy Posted April 4 Posted April 4 1 hour ago, Matt_In_NH said: If next years 1 is worth the same as this years pick at the end of two you wont get up too far to justify it to me. To me it will come down to whether a WR that Beane really likes slips to within range. So like one of Top 3 slips outside of Top 10, or Thomas Jr is there within striking range and Beane really likes him. Otherwise, Beane would need to really love one of the other WRs to move up from 28 at all. And if he’s got like 2-3 guys graded late 1st or 2nd round, he could either trade up/down into middle of 2nd. Quote
26TrapDraw Posted April 4 Posted April 4 As I sit and think about our draft plan now that Stef is gone. Wonder if there’s a trade partner that takes our swapped pick next years 2 for Stef and Dawson Knox for a TE needy team. After Brock Bowers, there won’t be an elite tight end . Just throwing crap against the wall. Thoughts? Quote
Tipster19 Posted April 5 Posted April 5 10 hours ago, Success said: Great breakdown of the options. My preference would be the 1st - with no #1 on this team, I'd really love to get one of the top 3 guys. Would you (or anyone) think there is a chance we might trade w/ the Giants & try to get Nabers? I wouldn’t put nothing past Beane but it does take two to tango and with that being said I don’t know if the Bills have enough resources to move up that far for the Giants to be willing to move all the way back to #28. I’d be against it but I would think that one of our players like a Greg Rosseau would have to be a part of the compensation. Quote
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