NFL Trade Chart - For those interested

[Virgil]

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp

 

For those interested in trading up, here's some scenarios.  This is not to say that I want to Bills to make any of these moves.  Just putting information out there.

 

Bills Picks - Value

#28 - 660

#60 - 300

#128 - 44

#133 - 39.5

2025 #1 - 300

2025 #2 132

2025 #2 (Diggs) - 150?

 

These are the values of different tiers in the top 20 for this draft:

5 - 1700

10 - 1300

15 - 1050

20 - 850

 

So, for those who want a top 4 receiver, which are projected to go in the top 10-15, you'd be looking at:

Top 10 - 1300 Value - #28, #60, #133, 2025 #1 

Top 15 - 1050 Value - #28, #60 or next year's 1st, and #2 next year from Diggs trade

 

For me, that's way to rich for my blood in such a deep draft class.  But, I also wouldn't be surprised if one of them fell beyond 10.

[Sestak4ever]

Thanks for the info Virgil.👍

[strive_for_five_guy]

No doubt in my mind Beane plans to use draft capital from next year’s draft, in order to move up in either the 1st or 2nd round this year and draft the WR he wants.  Question is who does he really like and how much is he willing to spend.

[Process]

I would do this if that's all that it will take

 

 

[Allen2Moulds]

We have to hope that it's a buyers draft. Those teams that miss out on QB this year, might be willing to sell a little cheaper, in order to load up for 2025.

[Virgil]

Just now, strive_for_five_guy said:

No doubt in my mind Beane plans to use draft capital from next year’s draft, in order to move up in either the 1st or 2nd round this year and draft the WR he wants.  Question is who does he really like and how much is he willing to spend.

 

Top 15 - 1050 Value - #28, 2025 1st, and #2 next year from Diggs trade

 

If there were any move I'd be willing to make, it would be this one.  I think we all know what holes this team will have for the next few years as the age purge is already happening.  I want to keep my picks this year, because we could get that Top 4 WR, and still get a starting G/C, and DL/S with our top picks.  Next year, we wouldn't have our first, but the value is here this year.  We wouldn't miss the 2nd from the Diggs trade.  So I view it as getting a top 4 receiver at the cost of our 1st next year.  I'm good with that

1 minute ago, Process said:

I would do this if that's all that it will take

 

 

 

#12 - 1200

Bills - #1 2024 - 660 + Bills 2025 #1 300 = 960

 

That math doesn't math at all

[Beck Water]

12 minutes ago, Virgil said:

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp

 

For those interested in trading up, here's some scenarios.  This is not to say that I want to Bills to make any of these moves.  Just putting information out there.

 

Bills Picks - Value

#28 - 660

#60 - 300

#128 - 44

#133 - 39.5

2025 #1 - 300

2025 #2 132

2025 #2 (Diggs) - 150?

 

These are the values of different tiers in the top 20 for this draft:

5 - 1700

10 - 1300

15 - 1050

20 - 850

 

So, for those who want a top 4 receiver, which are projected to go in the top 10-15, you'd be looking at:

Top 10 - 1300 Value - #28, #60, #133, 2025 #1 

Top 15 - 1050 Value - #28, #60 or next year's 1st, and #2 next year from Diggs trade

 

For me, that's way to rich for my blood in such a deep draft class.  But, I also wouldn't be surprised if one of them fell beyond 10.

 

Thank you!  I really appreciate you putting this up there.

[K D]

The top 3 WR's will go in the top 10. We aren't going up that high without seriously negatively impacting this team for years, worse than $30 mil dead cap or Von Miller's contract 

[RyanC883]

14 minutes ago, Virgil said:

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp

 

For those interested in trading up, here's some scenarios.  This is not to say that I want to Bills to make any of these moves.  Just putting information out there.

 

Bills Picks - Value

#28 - 660

#60 - 300

#128 - 44

#133 - 39.5

2025 #1 - 300

2025 #2 132

2025 #2 (Diggs) - 150?

 

These are the values of different tiers in the top 20 for this draft:

5 - 1700

10 - 1300

15 - 1050

20 - 850

 

So, for those who want a top 4 receiver, which are projected to go in the top 10-15, you'd be looking at:

Top 10 - 1300 Value - #28, #60, #133, 2025 #1 

Top 15 - 1050 Value - #28, #60 or next year's 1st, and #2 next year from Diggs trade

 

For me, that's way to rich for my blood in such a deep draft class.  But, I also wouldn't be surprised if one of them fell beyond 10.

 

this is awesome, thanks.  I agree trading into top 10 is too much.  Top 15/20 may be the sweet spot to hit on a guy like Thomas.  

[gonzo1105]

I am probably more on the train for Brian Thomas in the top 15 than I am going up to say 9 which I think is the likeliest spot. I do think there is a good possibility that Rome Odunze could slip and I would love to get him.

 

If the Bears want to do it, I think you have to add in this years draft picks since they dont have many.  A lot of people suggest the Rich Hill Model now.

 

Bears pick:

9 (Worth 387 points)

2025 4th Rounder(Worth 15 points)

 

Total: 402 Points

 

 

Bills trade:

28(209 points)

2025 1st Rounder(120 points)

2024 4th Rounder(19 points)

2024 5th Rounder(13 Points)

2025 3rd Rounder (50 points)

 

Total: 411 points

 

This would give the Bills the opportunity to draft Rome Odunze at 9

 

This would leave the Bills in the 2024 draft with: 9, 60, 4th rounder, 2 5th rounders, 2 6th rounders, and a 7th rounder....this leaves the Bills with 8 draft picks

 

Next Year: 2nd(Vikings), 2nd (Bills) 4th, 4th(Davis Comp pick), 4th(Bears Trade) 5th, 5th (Floyd Comp pick), 6, 6(Basham Trade)......this leaves the Bills with 9 draft picks next year.

 

I think this is a very plausible scenario for Rome if he falls.

 

 

[BeastMaster]

The draft value chart is simply a guideline for those that don't know

 

Teams have done deals that were significantly less and significantly more on the chart, so ultimately it doesn't mean a whole lot

[Process]

I remember being shocked when this happened. I haven't looked at chart values but it feels like one of the most lopsided draft pick trades I can remember. 

 

Hopefully we can pull off a similar move. .

 

The Vikings traded the 12th overall pick of the 2022 NFL Draft within the division on Thursday night.

Minnesota sent the selection to the Detroit Lions, along with the 46th overall pick in the second round, in exchange for the 32nd, 34th and 66th overall selections this year.

[MJS]

10 minutes ago, Process said:

I would do this if that's all that it will take

 

That's just false. It will take more than that.

[Sweats]

I think they have their eye on a couple of guys and are ready to pull the trigger to make it happen.

[Process]

Just now, MJS said:

That's just false. It will take more than that.

I agree. But see my post above yours. All it takes is one stupid team. 

[Virgil]

3 minutes ago, BeastMaster said:

The draft value chart is simply a guideline for those that don't know

 

Teams have done deals that were significantly less and significantly more on the chart, so ultimately it doesn't mean a whole lot

 

It really depends on the picks and talent in the draft.  Teams typically overpay to get into the top 5, or back into the 1st round.  It also depends on how deep the draft is for the team trading back.  

To me, this is a really strange draft.  There is a lot of receiver depth and four 1st round QB's.  However, there's only about 12-15 players with first round grades.  Many positions have their top player not even rated about a 3rd round pick.  

So, for QB's and Receivers, I expect the top guys to get overpaid for.  After that, I could see the trade chart being pretty accurate within 10% total value.

5 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:

I am probably more on the train for Brian Thomas in the top 15 than I am going up to say 9 which I think is the likeliest spot. I do think there is a good possibility that Rome Odunze could slip and I would love to get him.

 

If the Bears want to do it, I think you have to add in this years draft picks since they dont have many.  A lot of people suggest the Rich Hill Model now.

 

Bears pick:

9 (Worth 387 points)

2025 4th Rounder(Worth 15 points)

 

Total: 402 Points

 

 

Bills trade:

28(209 points)

2025 1st Rounder(120 points)

2024 4th Rounder(19 points)

2024 5th Rounder(13 Points)

2025 3rd Rounder (50 points)

 

Total: 411 points

 

This would give the Bills the opportunity to draft Rome Odunze at 9

 

This would leave the Bills in the 2024 draft with: 9, 60, 4th rounder, 2 5th rounders, 2 6th rounders, and a 7th rounder....this leaves the Bills with 8 draft picks

 

Next Year: 2nd(Vikings), 2nd (Bills) 4th, 4th(Davis Comp pick), 4th(Bears Trade) 5th, 5th (Floyd Comp pick), 6, 6(Basham Trade)......this leaves the Bills with 9 draft picks next year.

 

I think this is a very plausible scenario for Rome if he falls.

 

 

 

Brian Thomas is the guy I would want.  However, teams don't like to trade back in the 1st for less than 1-3 round picks.  I think the Bears would want a 2nd instead or that 3/4/5 picks

[MJS]

2 minutes ago, Process said:

I agree. But see my post above yours. All it takes is one stupid team. 

That's not nearly as lopsided as you think. That's 1640 for the Vikings and 1410 for the Lions according to the value calculator I used. There are a few calculators out there.

[BuffaloBillyG]

22 minutes ago, Virgil said:

https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp

 

For those interested in trading up, here's some scenarios.  This is not to say that I want to Bills to make any of these moves.  Just putting information out there.

 

Bills Picks - Value

#28 - 660

#60 - 300

#128 - 44

#133 - 39.5

2025 #1 - 300

2025 #2 132

2025 #2 (Diggs) - 150?

 

These are the values of different tiers in the top 20 for this draft:

5 - 1700

10 - 1300

15 - 1050

20 - 850

 

So, for those who want a top 4 receiver, which are projected to go in the top 10-15, you'd be looking at:

Top 10 - 1300 Value - #28, #60, #133, 2025 #1 

Top 15 - 1050 Value - #28, #60 or next year's 1st, and #2 next year from Diggs trade

 

For me, that's way to rich for my blood in such a deep draft class.  But, I also wouldn't be surprised if one of them fell beyond 10.

This Diggs trade doesn't change a thing for me. I still would like to see them trade out of round 1. Pick up an extra day 2 pick this year and some MORE picks next year and get that WR in round 2. The class is deep enough.

[MJS]

9 minutes ago, BeastMaster said:

The draft value chart is simply a guideline for those that don't know

 

Teams have done deals that were significantly less and significantly more on the chart, so ultimately it doesn't mean a whole lot

I don't really agree. Every team uses the charts. They deviate some, but they use the charts as a baseline. I think they do mean a lot, but they don't mean everything. Some teams become desperate. Some teams value draft picks more than others. But the charts are always relevant.

[gonzo1105]

Denver would also make a good trade partner. Rebuilding team who could either take a QB at 28 or use the 20251st for a QB they want in next years draft.