CURTIS SAMUEL A BILL

[pennstate10]

  On 3/15/2024 at 3:44 AM, NewEra said:

How do?  Because the refs allowed Jawaan Taylor to hold Bosa the entire game?  Grats

The TD vs the Steelers playoff game was certainly explosives.  Kincaid is certainly explosive when he catches and turns it upfield in one fluid motion.  I think we have different opinions of what explosive is. 

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Fortunately we don’t need opinions when we have actual data to address the explosiveness question. 
 

in terms of YAC per reception. 
 

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-te.php

 

Kincaid is solidly average. 

[BADOLBILZ]

  On 3/15/2024 at 1:40 AM, Coach Tuesday said:

While I am fine with the signing, for this kind of money they could’ve landed D Hop last offseason.  I would really like to get past the era where Beane is still learning hard lessons.  I mean at least he adapts, but damn.

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Yeah not getting DHop was just idiotic.   Hopkins was extraordinary AGAIN in 2023 despite a totally unstable QB situation.

 

 I like Samuel and the nice thing is that he likely has that 600 yard kinda "floor" but might also have the upside to be a poor man's Diggs replacement in 2025 if they decide to cut bait from Stefon.    It just would have been so much simpler to have a full size outside WR like Hopkins.   I understand there was some risk with Hopkins but his skillset was pretty unique and man..............could that offense have been explosive.

[Aussie Joe]

Matt Harmons reaction when he heard the news.. he loves him..

 

 

[GASabresIUFan]

Shakir vs Samuel in 2023

 

Shakir 39/45, 611 yds, 2 TDs, 15.7 yds/r, Catch % 86.7, 17 catches of 20+, 282 yds YAC, 7.2 yds yac/r, 0 drops  (The 7.2 tds yac/r was 3rd in the NFL for receivers with 20 or more receptions.)

 

Samuel 62/91, 613 yds, 4 TDs, 9.9 yds/r, Catch % 68.1, 11 catches of 20+, 260 yds YAC, 4.2 yds yac/r, 2 drops

[ngbills]

  On 3/15/2024 at 1:17 AM, SoonerBillsFan said:

Then you are saying Diggs shouldn't be outside. Same size and faster than Diggs.

 

Sorry the narrative doesn't hold water. 

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Well his career thus far supports it. He has thrived as a slot not an outside guy. 

[ngbills]

  On 3/15/2024 at 3:03 AM, Florida Bills Fanatic said:

There is absolutely no comparison between Samuel and Crowder.  Samuel is a faster, bigger, stronger player.  He is a big play threat because of his ability to run after the catch.  Crowder was never a big play threat.  Samuel played a lot in the slot in Washington because Dotson and McLaurin don't.  He also played with very bad QB's.

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Have you looked up Samuel’s longest reception each year? His avg reception. Big play threat? Really? 

[Buffalo_Stampede]

  On 3/15/2024 at 5:50 AM, GASabresIUFan said:

Shakir vs Samuel in 2023

 

Shakir 39/45, 611 yds, 2 TDs, 15.7 yds/r, Catch % 86.7, 17 catches of 20+, 282 yds YAC, 7.2 yds yac/r, 0 drops  (The 7.2 tds yac/r was 3rd in the NFL for receivers with 20 or more receptions.)

 

Samuel 62/91, 613 yds, 4 TDs, 9.9 yds/r, Catch % 68.1, 11 catches of 20+, 260 yds YAC, 4.2 yds yac/r, 2 drops

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Different talents. Shakir definitely has an ability to make plays though. He’s also a great fit for what Joe Brady wants to do.

[papazoid]

  On 3/15/2024 at 5:20 AM, BADOLBILZ said:

 

 

Yeah not getting DHop was just idiotic.   Hopkins was extraordinary AGAIN in 2023 despite a totally unstable QB situation.

 

 I like Samuel and the nice thing is that he likely has that 600 yard kinda "floor" but might also have the upside to be a poor man's Diggs replacement in 2025 if they decide to cut bait from Stefon.    It just would have been so much simpler to have a full size outside WR like Hopkins.   I understand there was some risk with Hopkins but his skillset was pretty unique and man..............could that offense have been explosive.

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i love me some Dhop......i helped get to hundreds of pages...

 

Dhop signed with TEN for 2 yr / $26 mil / AAV $13 / 2024 cap of $18.3 / runs 4.57 / elite hands / 31 yo

 

Samuel signed with BUF for 3 yr / $24-30 ? / AAV $8-10 / 2024 cap of $8.0 ? / runs 4.31 / swiss army knife like deebo / 27 yo

 

younger, cheaper, faster

 

[NoHuddleKelly12]

Is it fair to say that Samuel gives us another Emmanuel Sanders, only this one is younger and more versatile? 

[No_Matter_What]

  On 3/14/2024 at 11:22 PM, Big Turk said:

 

Dude is a speed demon...4.31 40 time...fills the John Brown role for us we have sorely missed 

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People keep saying this but I don't see it. John Brown has career YPC 14.9 and had similar number while in Buffalo. Samuel has 10.7 and it was even less last two years.

 

I am not an expert but it clearly seems that he won't play John Brown's role unless we use him differently than he was used before.

[Whkfc]

  On 3/15/2024 at 12:36 AM, SoonerBillsFan said:

I want sacks.

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Couldn't agree more this is the NFL dude had 4 sacks all year 2 of them against UMass in a 63-0 win. That is a 5th rd pick not a 1st. A guy with traits or production not both. 1st round guys have both.

[GunnerBill]

  On 3/15/2024 at 1:46 AM, DrMaxPower said:

 

I'd consider a guy with Samuel's speed a vertical threat. That said, I do think it pins us down to a size prospect and eliminates someone like Ladd from likelihood.

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But that isn't really his skillset. Can you send him on some go routes - sure. But being a vertical receiver isn't just about speed. Gabe Davis ran a 4.54 in the 40 but was a vertical receiver. It is as much about getting off press, using leverage, understanding spacings... Samuel's a guy whose skillset is much better suited to catching a 7 yad pass and making it a 17 yard play than someone who is routinely gonna win v boundary corners.

  On 3/14/2024 at 10:34 PM, No_Matter_What said:

I don't watch Commanders like at all but judging from his stats (10 YPC), does he play strictly slot?

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Not strictly. But he has been about 80% a slot receiver in Washington. In Carolina it was more like 65% slot, 35% outside. 

  On 3/15/2024 at 6:55 AM, No_Matter_What said:

People keep saying this but I don't see it. John Brown has career YPC 14.9 and had similar number while in Buffalo. Samuel has 10.7 and it was even less last two years.

 

I am not an expert but it clearly seems that he won't play John Brown's role unless we use him differently than he was used before.

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Yea he is not John Brown. 

[Doc Brown]

  On 3/15/2024 at 6:55 AM, No_Matter_What said:

People keep saying this but I don't see it. John Brown has career YPC 14.9 and had similar number while in Buffalo. Samuel has 10.7 and it was even less last two years.

 

I am not an expert but it clearly seems that he won't play John Brown's role unless we use him differently than he was used before.

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He has the athleticism and physical profile of John Brown and the first seven years of production similar to Cole Beasley's.  He's not like either of those players as far as I can tell.  A poor man's Deebo Samuel?  At least that's the way Brady used him in Carolina.  It'll be interesting to see how he fits into this offense because it has me scratching my head.

[BeastMaster]

People need to watch more of Samuel because he does get behind the defense for big plays on occasion. He's definitely more than a slot guy.

 

I think his ability to make things happen after the catch has led to him being targeted more quickly which in turn has kept his YPC low, but the ability to make plays downfield is there.

[TheWeatherMan]

  On 3/15/2024 at 4:52 AM, pennstate10 said:

Fortunately we don’t need opinions when we have actual data to address the explosiveness question. 
 

in terms of YAC per reception. 
 

https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/advanced-stats-te.php

 

Kincaid is solidly average. 

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My question is, Is this an offensive system problem?  The Bills all around have had poor YAC for years.

[Bookie Man]

Love it. Keep adding weapons. 

[GunnerBill]

  On 3/15/2024 at 9:13 AM, TheWeatherMan said:

My question is, Is this an offensive system problem?  The Bills all around have had poor YAC for years.

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A little bit. We run a lot of comeback concepts on the outside which are no great YAC opportunities and particularly under Dorsey we seemed to want outside leverage for our boundary receivers all the time which meant less opportunity to use the middle of the field.  However, it also a bit a result of Josh not being the best thrower of those swing passes and screens that tend to boost YAC numbers. His precision has never been great on those - he is often high which means a delay in our guys turning up field and allows the defense to rally and tackle. 

 

EDIT : should say we have improved ojr YAC performance a little bit just recently. There were a few years there early in Josh's career where we were bottom 3 or 4.

Edited March 15, 2024 by GunnerBill

[BuffaloBillyG]

  On 3/15/2024 at 3:02 AM, CapeBreton said:

I expect there will be lots of receptions at the LOS for this guy. They had Diggs receiving those throws late in the season and that’s not his game at all. 

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Absolutely. Samuel is an ideal "screen guy". With Brady liking to throw those Im glad they identified that they needed someone with his skillset to run those rather than force it to Diggs. I anticipate those screens being more successful this season with Samuel.

[SoonerBillsFan]

  On 3/15/2024 at 6:15 AM, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Different talents. Shakir definitely has an ability to make plays though. He’s also a great fit for what Joe Brady wants to do.

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If you look at Bradys offense ( not the trash he was stuck with last year) Samuel is a perfect fit. 

  On 3/15/2024 at 9:13 AM, TheWeatherMan said:

My question is, Is this an offensive system problem?  The Bills all around have had poor YAC for years.

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Yes.  Go back and look at film, we need 4-7 yards for a 1st down and all the routes are much deeper with no crossing, mesh, nothing.  It sucked.

[Pine Barrens Mafia]

No wonder I don't know anything about this guy. He's been Washington's THIRD WR?

 

Inadequate.