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Posted
On 2/29/2024 at 9:35 AM, GASabresIUFan said:

Group 1 (25) - Players certain or almost certain to return

Offense (11)

QB - Allen

RB - Cook

WR - Diggs, Shakir

TE - Knox, Kincaid

OL - Brown, Dawkins, Torrence, McGovern, and Van Demark

 

Defense (12)

DL - Rousseau, Miller, Oliver, Jonathan

LB - Milano, Benard, Williams, Spector

CB - Benford, Douglas, Elam, Johnson

 

Specialist (2) - Bass (PK), Ferguson (LS)

 

Group 2 (5) - Players under contract likely to return, but could also end up as cap casualties if K's not restructured

OL - Morse, Bates,

S - Poyer

P - Martin

 

Group 3 (5) - Returning Developmental players

WR- Shorter

OL - Anderson, Doyle

DL - Ankou, Cline

 

Group 4 (6) - Potential (likely?) cap casualties

RB - Hines   Hines to be released (3/3/2024)

FB - Gilliam

WR - Harty

CB - Neal, White

S - Hamlin

 

Group 5 (13) - Futures/Reserve players

QB - Buechele

WR - Isabella, Hamler, Shavers, Thompson

RB - Evans

TE - McKitty, Davidson

OL - Gouriage, Jarvis

CB - Ingram, Brown

S - Williamson

 

Assuming all of the players in groups 1-3 return, that's 35 of 53 roster spots already spoken for. Admittedly the group 3 players could all end up on the practice squad.  Except for Hamlin, all the Group 4 players may return, but it will be at lower cap figures than they currently possess.  Hamlin's cap figure is low (1.05 with a 40k dead cap) it's just a question of whether he can earn a job on the 53-man roster.  Right now I don't see any of the Group 5 players making the team, but that's what camp is for.

 

Group 6 (10) - FAs who could be re-signed (or who people here may want re-signed).  (I only have an interest in Jones, Epenesa, Ty Johnson and Edwards)

DT - Jones, Joseph

Edge - Epenesa, Floyd

RB - Johnson

S - Rapp

OL - Edwards

TE - Morris

CB - Lewis

LB -Dodson

 

Group 7 (11) - Other FAs

DL - Phillips, Settle, Ford, Lawson

QB - K Allen

RB - Murray, Harris, Fournette

WR - Sherfield

LB - Matakevich, Klein

 

 

 

 

 

I asked this in the Hines thread but I like the organization of your list way better. Do you believe we’re going to see the rest of Group 4 join Hines fate later this week? Hamlin, White, Neal, Gilliam, and Harty? For example, I read that Hamlin is already at close to league minimum. 

Posted (edited)
23 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

I asked this in the Hines thread but I like the organization of your list way better. Do you believe we’re going to see the rest of Group 4 join Hines fate later this week? Hamlin, White, Neal, Gilliam, and Harty? For example, I read that Hamlin is already at close to league minimum. 

The Hamlin situation is unique.  He is only making $1million (40k dead cap if released).  There is no real cap savings if released, as he would be replaced on the 51 man cap roster by someone making just as much.  However, releasing him now gives him the opportunity to pursue his career elsewhere before free agency begins.  Ultimately it comes down to whether or not Beane and McDermott think that Hamlin can contribute more next season than last and whether they believe a replacement in the draft or from free agency would contribute more.  Hamlin’s advantage is that he knows the defense and if cut, Poyer is the only S on the roster.

 

As to Neal and Gilliam, they are primarily special teams stars who no longer see regular snaps on O or D.  That makes them ripe for being let go, but maybe more likely a pay cut. 
 

The White situation is a mess.  He has a bonus coming due soon.  He also has now had two major injuries in the last few seasons.  I have zero idea what Beane is thinking, but if I had to guess he’ll extend his contract with void years to bring down the cap hit to keep a key person in the organization and allow the White to rehab properly.  Maybe that’s just wishful thinking on my part.  


I’d release Harty, but with Hines now gone, the odds of Harty returning as a depth WR and kick returner just went up.  

 

PS thanks for the compliment.  I am a visual learner and I often create lists like this because it helps me understand where all the puzzle pieces go, especially when you looking at a list on some websites that list some 90 names associated with the team.  

Edited by GASabresIUFan
Posted
1 hour ago, GASabresIUFan said:

The Hamlin situation is unique.  He is only making $1million (40k dead cap if released).  There is no real cap savings if released, as he would be replaced on the 51 man cap roster by someone making just as much.  However, releasing him now gives him the opportunity to pursue his career elsewhere before free agency begins.  Ultimately it comes down to whether or not Beane and McDermott think that Hamlin can contribute more next season than last and whether they believe a replacement in the draft or from free agency would contribute more.  Hamlin’s advantage is that he knows the defense and if cut, Poyer is the only S on the roster.

 

As to Neal and Gilliam, they are primarily special teams stars who no longer see regular snaps on O or D.  That makes them ripe for being let go, but maybe more likely a pay cut. 
 

The White situation is a mess.  He has a bonus coming due soon.  He also has now had two major injuries in the last few seasons.  I have zero idea what Beane is thinking, but if I had to guess he’ll extend his contract with void years to bring down the cap hit to keep a key person in the organization and allow the White to rehab properly.  Maybe that’s just wishful thinking on my part.  


I’d release Harty, but with Hines now gone, the odds of Harty returning as a depth WR and kick returner just went up.  

 

PS thanks for the compliment.  I am a visual learner and I often create lists like this because it helps me understand where all the puzzle pieces go, especially when you looking at a list on some websites that list some 90 names associated with the team.  

I’m visual learner as well. I can’t see the point in the countless round and round without a contextual list to base the discussion around. I’m guessing that Beane is more in our camp. He can’t possibly be making these decisions on a case by case basis. 

Posted

Bates traded for a 5th. This makes it much more likely that Morse returns as the starting center.  Opens up an opportunity for Anderson or a draft pick as the backup at center.

 

I wanted us to go after Van Pran in the draft.  Maybe this opens that possibility as well. 

Posted
6 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:

Bates traded for a 5th. This makes it much more likely that Morse returns as the starting center.  Opens up an opportunity for Anderson or a draft pick as the backup at center.

 

I wanted us to go after Van Pran in the draft.  Maybe this opens that possibility as well. 

Bills seem to value former OTs that can play OC.  Morse, Bates and Anderson were all college OTs.  Van Prank lacks this trait and has extremely short arms so may not be on Bills radar.   

Posted
10 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:

Bates traded for a 5th. This makes it much more likely that Morse returns as the starting center.  Opens up an opportunity for Anderson or a draft pick as the backup at center.

 

I wanted us to go after Van Pran in the draft.  Maybe this opens that possibility as well. 

So looking at your updated list, what’s the next move? Seems like Beane is in the trimming the roster redundancy mode. But if I’m reading everyone’s posts on the Cap correctly there’s got to be more serious cuts than Hines and Bates. 

Posted
39 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

So looking at your updated list, what’s the next move? Seems like Beane is in the trimming the roster redundancy mode. But if I’m reading everyone’s posts on the Cap correctly there’s got to be more serious cuts than Hines and Bates. 

Now the extensions and restructurings begin in earnest.  Look for changes with Allen, Dawkins, Oliver, Knox, Milano, and Douglas among others. Harty and White are still on the chopping block.  

  • Like (+1) 1
Posted (edited)

Group 2 and group 4 are having a tough couple of days.  Of the 10 players in those groups, 6 have been releases and one traded.  It also looks like Martin is going to be released as well.  I also don't see how Gilliam can survive Beane chopping block given he is the O version of Neal.  

 

Group 1 has been edited to 27 players to reflect the re-signing of Haack and Edwards.

 

 

Edited by GASabresIUFan
Posted

This looks like the roster as of tonight:

 

QB. Josh Allen, Mitch Trubisky, Shane
        Buechele,

RB. James Cook, Reggie Gilliam, Darrynton
       Evans,

WR. Stefon Diggs, Khalil Shakir, Justin
        Shorter, KJ Hamler, Andy Isabella,
        Tyrell Shavers, Bryan Thompson,

TE.  Dawson Knox, Dalton Kincaid, Quintin
        Morris, Tre' McKitty, Zach Davidson.

OT.  Dion Dawkins, Spencer Brown,
        Alec Anderson, Ryan VanDemark,
        Tommy Doyle, Richard Gouriage,

OG. Connor McGovern, David Edwards,
        O'Cyrus Torrence, Kevin Jarvis,

C

DE   Von Miller, Greg Rousseau, Kingsley
        Jonathan, Kameron Cline,

DT.   Ed Oliver, Eli Ankou

LB.   Matt Milano (IR), Dorian Williams,
         Terrel Bernard, Baylon Spector, Tyler
         Matakevich,

CB.   Kaiir Elam, Taron Johnson, Christian
         Benford, Rasul Douglas, Kyron
         Brown, Ja'Marcus Ingram,
     
S.      Damar Hamlin, Taylor Rapp, Kendall
         Williamson,
        
SPC.Tyler Bass, Sam Martin, Reid Ferguson,
         Matt Haack.

Posted
On 2/29/2024 at 11:35 AM, GASabresIUFan said:

Group 1 (29) - Players certain or almost certain to return

Offense (13)

QB - Allen, Trubisky - (signed 3/6)

RB - Cook

WR - Diggs, Shakir

TE - Knox, Kincaid

OL - Brown, Dawkins, Torrence, McGovern, Van Demark, and Edwards (Re-signed 2yrs $6million)

 

Defense (13)

DL - Rousseau, Miller, Oliver, Jonathan

LB - Milano, Benard, Williams, Spector

CB - Benford, Douglas, Elam, Johnson

S - Rapp - reports have him re-signing (3 yrs $14.5)

 

Specialist (3) - Bass (PK), Ferguson (LS), (P) Haack (re-signed on 3/6)

 

Group 2 (4) - Players under contract likely to return, but could also end up as cap casualties if K's not restructured

OL - Morse, Bates (traded to Chicago); Morse release 3/6

S - Poyer - Poyer released 3/6

P - Martin

 

Group 3 (5) - Returning Developmental players

WR- Shorter

OL - Anderson, Doyle

DL - Ankou, Cline

 

Group 4 (6) - Potential (likely?) cap casualties

RB - Hines   Hines to be released (3/3/2024)

FB - Gilliam

WR - Harty - Harty released 3/6

CB - Neal, White - Neal released 3/6, White released with a 6/1 designation

S - Hamlin

 

Group 5 (13) - Futures/Reserve players

QB - Buechele

WR - Isabella, Hamler, Shavers, Thompson

RB - Evans

TE - McKitty, Davidson

OL - Gouriage, Jarvis

CB - Ingram, Brown

S - Williamson

 

Assuming all of the players in groups 1-3 return, that's 35 of 53 roster spots already spoken for. Admittedly the group 3 players could all end up on the practice squad.  Except for Hamlin, all the Group 4 players may return, but it will be at lower cap figures than they currently possess.  Hamlin's cap figure is low (1.05 with a 40k dead cap) it's just a question of whether he can earn a job on the 53-man roster.  Right now I don't see any of the Group 5 players making the team, but that's what camp is for.

 

Group 6 (10) - FAs who could be re-signed (or who people here may want re-sign).  (I only have an interest in Jones, Epenesa, Ty Johnson and Edwards)

DT - Jones, Joseph

Edge - Epenesa, Floyd

RB - Johnson

S - Rapp - reports have him re-signing (3 yrs $14.5)

OL - Edwards - Re-signed (2 years $6 million)

TE - Morris

CB - Lewis

LB -Dodson

 

Group 7 (11) - Other FAs

DL - Phillips, Settle, Ford, Lawson

QB - K Allen

RB - Murray, Harris, Fournette

WR - Sherfield

LB - Matakevich, Klein

 

Group 8 - FA's signed

P - Haack (signed 3/6)

QB - Trubisky (signed 3/6)

 

 

 

Thank you for keeping this updated. 

  • Thank you (+1) 1
Posted (edited)
49 minutes ago, wakingfane said:

Awesome list, especially with concise updates,  thanks!  Gabe Davis missing from Other FAs.

 

37 minutes ago, HurlyBurly51 said:

Dane Jackson in the mix?

Thanks for pointing out whom I was missing them.  Groups updated to reflect both free agents.

Edited by GASabresIUFan
  • Like (+1) 1
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