How often top UFA WRs get open vs single man coverage

[Buffalo_Stampede]

 

[FireChans]

Honest question, did our WR’s struggle against man coverage that much this year? So much so that it was a more primary way of defending us?
 

To my eye, I didn’t see more than normal amounts of man coverage in 2023. 
 

I would also be interested in knowing where Diggs, Kincaid and Shakir ranked in a list like this, but obviously they aren’t UFAS. It’s unsurprising Gabe was low.

[JerseyBills]

7 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

 

Curtis Samuel would be great in this O

[SoonerBillsFan]

Gabe at #79 is bad.  I wonder if he will update his video to add that stat?

[BBFL]

Those top 6 guys are all great additions. Best bet is Mooney in terms of value. 
 

Evans will get a sizable deal as he’s still as stud. 
Samuel has talent and has proven so, someone might splash the cash. 
Ridley did great in a prove it year after his suspension, will cash in; probably a return to JAC. 

Pittman and Bourne are interesting and probably sign long term deals somewhere. 
 

Mooney? Who knows. He might skate by in FA and settle or someone might give him the deal he wants. Think he’s the most budget friendly guy we could acquire out of that top group. 
 

Maybe Josh Reynolds but does he have that consistent speed or verticality on the outside that we lack? No. 
 

Tyler Boyd? Too pricey. 
 

The rest no thank you unless you bring Chark in on a vet minimum. 

[BuffaloRebound]

I wonder where Diggs falls on that list? 

[BBFL]

2 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

I wonder where Diggs falls on that list? 

Would be interested further to see the first 9 weeks versus the last of the season and P/O’s…

[Warriorspikes51]

Samuel had his best season under Joe Brady .....wait for it.....here they come

those dreaded words....

IN CAROLINA

NOOOOOOOOOOO 🤣

[Buffalo_Stampede]

19 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

I wonder where Diggs falls on that list? 

He use to be near the top. He fell.

 

Diggs went from 7th open score to 21st. This is WR/TE. Not too bad of a drop, but a significant drop.

 

Diggs went from 4th overall to 67th. 😬

 

https://espnanalytics.com/rtm/

[Sweats]

I'm still shaking my head that Davis is ahead of Higgins.

 

#likewtfconfused

[The Jokeman]

20 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

Samuel had his best season under Joe Brady .....wait for it.....here they come

those dreaded words....

IN CAROLINA

NOOOOOOOOOOO 🤣

[Goin Breakdown]

5 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

He use to be near the top. He fell.

 

Diggs went from 7th open score to 21st. This is WR/TE. Not too bad of a drop, but a significant drop.

 

Diggs went from 4th overall to 67th. 😬

 

https://espnanalytics.com/rtm/

Dang. He had to have been hurt. We all saw it. The drop off was there, but that's a big difference overall. 

[Nephilim17]

I'm surprised to see, according to one site, Samuel's projected numbers so low:

 

Projected Contract: 2 years, $15.0 million, $7.5 APY, $9.0M GTD

 

I have no idea if it's accurate but it just may be affordable by the Bills if it's backloaded.

 

https://atozsports.com/washington/curtis-samuel-contract-projection-free-agency/#gid=ci02d5421cf000278d&pid=usatsi_22129331

[WhitewalkerInPhilly]

8 minutes ago, Sweats said:

I'm still shaking my head that Davis is ahead of Higgins.

 

#likewtfconfused

same

3 minutes ago, Nephilim17 said:

I'm surprised to see, according to one site, Samuel's projected numbers so low:

 

Projected Contract: 2 years, $15.0 million, $7.5 APY, $9.0M GTD

 

I have no idea if it's accurate but it just may be affordable by the Bills if it's backloaded.

 

https://atozsports.com/washington/curtis-samuel-contract-projection-free-agency/#gid=ci02d5421cf000278d&pid=usatsi_22129331

Spotrac has it at $11.5 M AAV, but again that's not impossible to swing if backloaded to 2026

[The Firebaugh Kid]

Samuel is my #1 target, this further supports my steadfast belief that he's a massive upgrade to #13. 

[LABILLBACKER]

46 minutes ago, BBFL said:

Those top 6 guys are all great additions. Best bet is Mooney in terms of value. 
 

Evans will get a sizable deal as he’s still as stud. 
Samuel has talent and has proven so, someone might splash the cash. 
Ridley did great in a prove it year after his suspension, will cash in; probably a return to JAC. 

Pittman and Bourne are interesting and probably sign long term deals somewhere. 
 

Mooney? Who knows. He might skate by in FA and settle or someone might give him the deal he wants. Think he’s the most budget friendly guy we could acquire out of that top group. 
 

Maybe Josh Reynolds but does he have that consistent speed or verticality on the outside that we lack? No. 
 

Tyler Boyd? Too pricey. 
 

The rest no thank you unless you bring Chark in on a vet minimum. 

I think Mooney makes the most sense on a reasonable deal under 10M/ yr. He's had garbage qb-ing over his time in Chicago.  Josh would explode his numbers. But 10M or more forget it. Just draft guys.

[ddaryl]

33 minutes ago, The Jokeman said:

I always found it funny that the sister could transform into any animal form, but the brother could only change into different forms of water.

[Buffalo_Stampede]

36 minutes ago, Sweats said:

I'm still shaking my head that Davis is ahead of Higgins.

 

#likewtfconfused

Higgins isn’t the type that gets a ton of separation. He’s open even when covered.

[HappyDays]

1 hour ago, FireChans said:

To my eye, I didn’t see more than normal amounts of man coverage in 2023. 

 

We faced the most man coverage out of every offense in the league. I don't have the tweet handy but Cover 1 posted it a couple weeks back. It was like 35% of the time or something like that. Against man-heavy teams like the Chiefs it was a real problem.

[DJB]

Were those 72 times Gabe was “open” when the DB fell down or nobody bothered to cover him at all? 🧐