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Posted
2 hours ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

Yeah, I tend to agree. The more I look at it, I feel like Harrison, Nabers, and Odunze are all coming off the board before Pick 10. The odds that only 1 other WR is taken in the next 20 picks or so seems like a Pipe Dream.

 

I do think Beane does move up this year a little higher than usual. But even then, I see it being more like 5-8 picks instead of the normal 2-3. Will it be enough to land the 5th WR on the board? Here's hoping.

 

 

Ah, okay. Yeah, a guy with only 1 year of production and being a bit older of a prospect would turn people off. I agree, I still like what I saw. 

 

I don't know, I'm out on Worthy. I really think we need a big body amongst our core and he just doesn't fit the bill to me. He's at my minimum for height and way below what I'm looking for in a frame. And his college usage doesn't fit the bill for me either. 

 

To me, it would easily be Mitchell if it's a Texas WR. 3" taller and 20+ pounds more in mass.

 

 

Angry Season 3 GIF by SuccessionHBO

 

 

Nabers isn't happening. While I expect a Trade Up, we won't give up what it would cost to get that high. And the likelihood that someone would want to drop 20+ picks is slim to none even if we were inclined to give that much up.

 

A move up for Thomas represents the absolute most that we would do. And if the first 3 are gone by Pick 8, like I expect, and Thomas is the next WR to come off the board - even that seems unlikely to me. Save for an unexpected fall and/or someone like Franklin hopping him. WR5 is where we're realistically looking.


I almost fell over laughing when I saw the table flipping gif ahahahahahaha thanks for the laugh mate🤣 

 

Worthy is one of the most explosive players in the draft and that is what Beane and Sean specifically mentioned they needed, so I could see them considering him.

 

Mitchell is underrated though I feel like. Big plays in big games. Seems to have the game to become a legit WR1 

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Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, Dr. Who said:

Are you ruling Mitchell out of consideration at #28 because of lack of speed? I still think he is going to be good.

 

5 hours ago, DCOrange said:

I just don’t view Mitchell as a first rounder. To me he’s a consideration if he makes it to our 2nd round pick or maybe a slight trade up from there. 

 

5 hours ago, Dr. Who said:

Yes, that is my sense of it, but most of the folks whose opinion I trust appear to disagree with me.

 

He reportedly runs a 4.38: https://www.stadiumrant.com/post/the-best-is-yet-to-come-for-adonai-mitchell

 

If he really runs a 4.38 at 6'4" with the things he did at Texas - that's going to be make him a very attractive prospect. Especially if he tests well elsewhere. Beane is big on tools and traits. More on that below...

 

4 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

Worthy is one of the most explosive players in the draft and that is what Beane and Sean specifically mentioned they needed, so I could see them considering him.

 

Mitchell is underrated though I feel like. Big plays in big games. Seems to have the game to become a legit WR1 

 

I think you can still get an explosive playmaker with speed without giving up size.

 

You have to keep in mind Beane's MO when drafting in the 1st Round. He always goes for players with a combination of athletic ability and prototypical size for whatever hole he's filling.

 

He'll take a guy who is viewed as more of a developmental project (like Allen, Edmunds, Rousseau, Elam) who has impressive physical traits and tools that he sees translating at the next level with coaching up over some sick College highlights 6 days a week and twice on Sunday's.

 

If we're spending a 1st Round Pick on a WR - they're going to want a playmaker, but also one that has prototypical size for an Outside guy. And even more importantly, they're specifically looking for a guy who will always be on the Outside opposite Diggs.

 

Worthy is a guy who is weighs 170 lbs., isn't short but isn't particularly tall either, and only played 60% of his snaps on the Outside last season. He may be a playmaker, but he doesn't check any other box. And Beane prefers to check them all in early round picks who will be starters.

 

This is why I'm looking at Brian Thomas Jr, Troy Franklin, Keon Coleman, Adonai Mitchell, and Xavier Legette as more likely. They check way more boxes.

 

Maybe he surprises me and takes Worthy. But knowing what Beane is looking for and how he generally operates, I just don't see it.

Edited by BillsFanForever19
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Posted
2 hours ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

 

 

He reportedly runs a 4.38: https://www.stadiumrant.com/post/the-best-is-yet-to-come-for-adonai-mitchell

 

If he really runs a 4.38 at 6'4" with the things he did at Texas - that's going to be make him a very attractive prospect. Especially if he tests well elsewhere. Beane is big on tools and traits. More on that below...

 

 

I think you can still get an explosive playmaker with speed without giving up size.

 

You have to keep in mind Beane's MO when drafting in the 1st Round. He always goes for players with a combination of athletic ability and prototypical size for whatever hole he's filling.

 

He'll take a guy who is viewed as more of a developmental project (like Allen, Edmunds, Rousseau, Elam) who has impressive physical traits and tools that he sees translating at the next level with coaching up over some sick College highlights 6 days a week and twice on Sunday's.

 

If we're spending a 1st Round Pick on a WR - they're going to want a playmaker, but also one that has prototypical size for an Outside guy. And even more importantly, they're specifically looking for a guy who will always be on the Outside opposite Diggs.

 

Worthy is a guy who is weighs 170 lbs., isn't short but isn't particularly tall either, and only played 60% of his snaps on the Outside last season. He may be a playmaker, but he doesn't check any other box. And Beane prefers to check them all in early round picks who will be starters.

 

This is why I'm looking at Brian Thomas Jr, Troy Franklin, Keon Coleman, Adonai Mitchell, and Xavier Legette as more likely. They check way more boxes.

 

Maybe he surprises me and takes Worthy. But knowing what Beane is looking for and how he generally operates, I just don't see it.

 

I agree with you re. the type Beane goes for. I am not sure Mitchell is going to run that fast though. He certainly doesn't look that fast on tape. I see him more as a high 4.4s guy.

 

I love Mitchell's hands. But otherwise I think he is a guy who is good at most things without a single exceptional trait. I am with DC Orange he is kind of a middle of round 2 guy to me.

Posted
45 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I agree with you re. the type Beane goes for. I am not sure Mitchell is going to run that fast though. He certainly doesn't look that fast on tape. I see him more as a high 4.4s guy.

 

I love Mitchell's hands. But otherwise I think he is a guy who is good at most things without a single exceptional trait. I am with DC Orange he is kind of a middle of round 2 guy to me.

AD is going to be a Pro Bowl type player in the NFL he's an absolute smooth operator. He needs work on his route running and other parts of his game no doubt about it but u can say the same thing about nearly every other Wr coming out the draft. He reminds me of a faster version of Tee Higgins and I'll take that any day for the Bills. 

 

This is how I got the Wr ranked so far. This ranking is based on Wrs I project to possibly be available when we pick.

 

#1 Troy Franklin

#2 AD Mitchell

#3 Xaxier Leggette

#4 Xaxier Worthy

#5 Brian Thomas - There's something about Thomas that really bothers me other then him being explosive seems like he's got a bunch of issues with his game . He reminds me of other freak types that haven't done anything in the NFL like DJ Chark and Terrance Marshall. 

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Posted
31 minutes ago, NastyNateSoldiers said:

AD is going to be a Pro Bowl type player in the NFL he's an absolute smooth operator. He needs work on his route running and other parts of his game no doubt about it but u can say the same thing about nearly every other Wr coming out the draft. He reminds me of a faster version of Tee Higgins and I'll take that any day for the Bills. 

 

This is how I got the Wr ranked so far. This ranking is based on Wrs I project to possibly be available when we pick.

 

#1 Troy Franklin

#2 AD Mitchell

#3 Xaxier Leggette

#4 Xaxier Worthy

#5 Brian Thomas - There's something about Thomas that really bothers me other then him being explosive seems like he's got a bunch of issues with his game . He reminds me of other freak types that haven't done anything in the NFL like DJ Chark and Terrance Marshall. 

 

I have those 5:

 

1 Legette

2 Franklin

3 Thomas

4 Mitchell

5 Worthy

 

I agree to an extent on Thomas. I think he is a total one trick pony. But at that trick I think he is unguardable.

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Posted

I'm really warming up to this kid.. He could learn alot from Diggs too but looks like he could be WR1b to Diggs. 

 

If they go WR in rd 1 , I expect a WR1 not a WR2. Maybe not year 1 but certainly year 2, otherwise address other needs

Posted (edited)
9 hours ago, DCOrange said:

I just don’t view Mitchell as a first rounder. To me he’s a consideration if he makes it to our 2nd round pick or maybe a slight trade up from there. 

Interesting.

 

Wondering why you feel Coleman is 1st worthy and Mitchell is not?  Strictly the speed?  Watching film, it looks like Mitchell is a much better route runner and knows how to separate.  I’m a little worried that Coleman is more like a Kevin White with better rac, minus the injuries.  
 

edit-  scratch that, I hadn’t read through the entire thread prior to posting this

Edited by NewEra
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Posted
19 minutes ago, JerseyBills said:

I'm really warming up to this kid.. He could learn alot from Diggs too but looks like he could be WR1b to Diggs. 

 

If they go WR in rd 1 , I expect a WR1 not a WR2. Maybe not year 1 but certainly year 2, otherwise address other needs

That says he’s 6’0……  what am I missing here?

Posted
5 hours ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

 

 

 

He reportedly runs a 4.38: https://www.stadiumrant.com/post/the-best-is-yet-to-come-for-adonai-mitchell

 

If he really runs a 4.38 at 6'4" with the things he did at Texas - that's going to be make him a very attractive prospect. Especially if he tests well elsewhere. Beane is big on tools and traits. More on that below...

 

 

I think you can still get an explosive playmaker with speed without giving up size.

 

You have to keep in mind Beane's MO when drafting in the 1st Round. He always goes for players with a combination of athletic ability and prototypical size for whatever hole he's filling.

 

He'll take a guy who is viewed as more of a developmental project (like Allen, Edmunds, Rousseau, Elam) who has impressive physical traits and tools that he sees translating at the next level with coaching up over some sick College highlights 6 days a week and twice on Sunday's.

 

If we're spending a 1st Round Pick on a WR - they're going to want a playmaker, but also one that has prototypical size for an Outside guy. And even more importantly, they're specifically looking for a guy who will always be on the Outside opposite Diggs.

 

Worthy is a guy who is weighs 170 lbs., isn't short but isn't particularly tall either, and only played 60% of his snaps on the Outside last season. He may be a playmaker, but he doesn't check any other box. And Beane prefers to check them all in early round picks who will be starters.

 

This is why I'm looking at Brian Thomas Jr, Troy Franklin, Keon Coleman, Adonai Mitchell, and Xavier Legette as more likely. They check way more boxes.

 

Maybe he surprises me and takes Worthy. But knowing what Beane is looking for and how he generally operates, I just don't see it.

I’m guessing the “reportedly runs a 4.38” comes from this article which pops up on Google if you look up Mitchell’s 40 time. If you click the link though, it’s talking about a different player. https://uga.rivals.com/news/the-daily-recap-adonai-mitchell-is-going-to-be-a-tremendous-player-here-
 

At any rate, we’ll see what he actually runs but I’d bet he’s closer to the 4.5’s than the 4.3’s. Him blowing up at the combine and rising out of our draft range would be fine with me; maybe means a better WR prospect falls to us. 

Posted
1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I have those 5:

 

1 Legette

2 Franklin

3 Thomas

4 Mitchell

5 Worthy

 

I agree to an extent on Thomas. I think he is a total one trick pony. But at that trick I think he is unguardable.

Prospects not necessarily in order after 1st rd

 

Jermaine Burton

Brendan Rice

Roman Wilson

Ladd McConkey

Malik Washington

 

Players I don't see it with that are getting some hype

 

Keon Coleman - Not a natural separator. Yes he makes miracle catches but I believe that's more of a product of not separating. 

 

Javon Baker- This kid has some skills but based on some of the competition I seen him play against he has problems with separation. There's highlights of him running wide open but I think it's more of blown coverage them him blowing past people. Not saying I don't want the Bills to draft him but rather see it starting in 4th round after we take an alpha type in first 2 rounds. Baker is definitely an enigma because he has the look of a #2 or #3 Wr in the NFL just feels like it will take a couple yrs for him to fine tune his game . 

 

Luke McCaffery - I just don't understand why everyone has this kid in there mocks. Again separation skills are less then average body type is not what u want in a Wr. I understand the bloodlines but otherwise don't see it with McCaffery. 

 

 

 

 

 

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Posted
21 hours ago, The Firebaugh Kid said:

Just watching his highlight reel he looks like a complete and total loose cannon, but it’s like an axl rose situation… I’m intrigued. Haha

Someone else mentioned it but he does seem to have a bit of a Steve smith element to his play. He is clearly talented and I like his overall skill set and that showing up against SEC talent. But he might be a loose cannon and disruptive personality so the Bills will have to determine if he can fit into their culture or not. But from a pure talent perspective, he could be a DJ Moore Doug Baldwin type wr. 

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Posted
5 minutes ago, NastyNateSoldiers said:

Prospects not necessarily in order after 1st rd

 

Jermaine Burton

Brendan Rice

Roman Wilson

Ladd McConkey

Malik Washington

 

Players I don't see it with that are getting some hype

 

Keon Coleman - Not a natural separator. Yes he makes miracle catches but I believe that's more of a product of not separating. 

 

Javon Baker- This kid has some skills but based on some of the competition I seen him play against he has problems with separation. There's highlights of him running wide open but I think it's more of blown coverage them him blowing past people. Not saying I don't want the Bills to draft him but rather see it starting in 4th round after we take an alpha type in first 2 rounds. Baker is definitely an enigma because he has the look of a #2 or #3 Wr in the NFL just feels like it will take a couple yrs for him to fine tune his game . 

 

Luke McCaffery - I just don't understand why everyone has this kid in there mocks. Again separation skills are less then average body type is not what u want in a Wr. I understand the bloodlines but otherwise don't see it with McCaffery. 

 

 

I like Baker but agree not as a #1. He doesn't have the speed or explosion to win vertically IMO. I do think he is a good route runner though and can be a good intermediate receiver. Of the non-consensus top 10 or 12 guys I habe watched (and that isn't all of them) he is the guy I am most impressed with. Think his understanding of the game and defensive coverages is pretty advanced. 

 

Agree Keon doesn't separate. I am all over the map on him. When he is good he is very, very, good. You watch the Clemson film, the LSU film, the Michigan game from last year and you are like "slam dunk 1st round player, possible top 10." And then you watch the Florida game or the Boston College game or Ohio State from last year and you'd struggle to give him a day 2 grade. I have moved him up and down my board more than any player in this class so far. I am settling on he isn't a 1st round grade but he might be upper second. I have stopped watching him now. I will come back in the last week or so before the draft when I have taken some distance. 

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Posted
1 hour ago, DCOrange said:

I’m guessing the “reportedly runs a 4.38” comes from this article which pops up on Google if you look up Mitchell’s 40 time. If you click the link though, it’s talking about a different player. https://uga.rivals.com/news/the-daily-recap-adonai-mitchell-is-going-to-be-a-tremendous-player-here-
 

At any rate, we’ll see what he actually runs but I’d bet he’s closer to the 4.5’s than the 4.3’s. Him blowing up at the combine and rising out of our draft range would be fine with me; maybe means a better WR prospect falls to us. 

Agreed, he does not appear to be a burner…

Posted
5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I agree with you re. the type Beane goes for. I am not sure Mitchell is going to run that fast though. He certainly doesn't look that fast on tape. I see him more as a high 4.4s guy.

 

I love Mitchell's hands. But otherwise I think he is a guy who is good at most things without a single exceptional trait. I am with DC Orange he is kind of a middle of round 2 guy to me.

According to this analysis, isn't he basically Gabe Davis with better hands and route tree? 

Posted
4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I have those 5:

 

1 Legette

2 Franklin

3 Thomas

4 Mitchell

5 Worthy

 

I agree to an extent on Thomas. I think he is a total one trick pony. But at that trick I think he is unguardable.

Franklin’s strength work at the combine is going to be pretty important.  He looks like just what the Bills need, except he is very light for his height.  
 

I can see Legette’s speed on game tape, but I’m guessing he will run about 4.5 at the combine.  Not sure he has the instant acceleration to kill the 40.  That doesn’t concern me much, though.

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Posted
36 minutes ago, Solomon Grundy said:

According to this analysis, isn't he basically Gabe Davis with better hands and route tree? 

 

I'd say he is a smoother mover than Gabe as well.

18 minutes ago, OldTimer1960 said:

Franklin’s strength work at the combine is going to be pretty important.  He looks like just what the Bills need, except he is very light for his height.  
 

I can see Legette’s speed on game tape, but I’m guessing he will run about 4.5 at the combine.  Not sure he has the instant acceleration to kill the 40.  That doesn’t concern me much, though.

 

I think Legette will run faster than 4.5 but his 20 split will be of interest. Because I agree he is fast but isn't sudden and has to get into his stride to really see the speed.

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