This is why our team is in good hands

[Fleezoid]

5 minutes ago, stuvian said:

this thread sponsored by Allstate 

 

Who has this guy working for them.....

 

[longtimebillsfan]

4 hours ago, Ramza86 said:

 

Would you fire him if he pulled another 13 seconds?

No.  IMHO McDermott is the best coach the Bills have ever had.

 

Yes, that loss really hurt.  But you ignore all the success he has had.

 

Based upon your criteria, every coach in the league that doesn't win it all should be replaced each year.

 

Winning the Super Bowl is so difficult.  You need the talent and a significant amount of good fortune.

 

You and your cohorts that get all fired up to dump McDermott after each loss are in the minority.

 

Here we are, the 2 seed in the AFC, we won the wild card game, we are favored in the division round vs KC and you are still crying about a loss 2 years ago.  Let it go.

 

Many are so tried of hearing you guys beating the fire McClappy drum over and over.

 

I will read your response, but I can not promise I will respond.  This get so tiresome.

 

By the way.  Come up with a new derogatory name for our head coach.  Using McClappy is just being lazy.

 

 

 

 

[PBF81]

Generally speaking I agree with most of that.  I will say however, that the past seasons' success of the Chiefs seems to be leading the charge on any projections for this season.  

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

Well obviously the more of those guys that play the better our chances. If Douglas, Taron and Bernard all play I feel pretty good about the Bills. The more of those 3 that miss the more even I think this game becomes. 

 

Yes, obviously.  But keep in mind, we're not trying to defend HIll and Waddle here either.  The only non-JAG WR on their entire team is Rice, who's a rookie and has already outperformed rookie expectations for any rookie.  Now he faces his first post-season game ever, in as adversarial conditions as he'll ever see in the NFL much less his rookie season.  It's far from unreasonable to suspect that our depth CBs can cover their JAG WRs.  Hyde and Poyer are both fine, which is probably more important in this particular game in talking about matchups.  

 

Kelce's had his worst season in years.  He's at less than half of his TD production over the three seasons prior to this one.  His yards-per-reception are at a career low.  His 1st-Down production is the worst it's been since he took off as a TE.  This Chiefs' passing team is far from the best we've faced on the season.  It shouldn't require an all-star secondary to defend against it.  After Rice there's not a WR worth mentioning, as pointed out at the beginning of the season, and again, he's a rookie facing a game that he's never experienced before.  

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

And the reason for that is the specific match ups in the football game. 

 

Where do I think they favour the Bills:

 

1. I think we should be able to run the ball some on the Chiefs and stay in good down and distance. I think the plan vs the Steelers of a balanced attack is probably the plan here. 

 

If we cannot at minimum match our rushing output from the first game, then it's high time to have a serious conversation about our coaching on the offensive side.  

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

2. I think our outside corners, especially if Douglas is up, should be able to limit the Kansas City receivers and make enough of the catches contested to challenge their questionable separation skills and hands. 

 

Agreed, per above.  

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

3. I think Kincaid and Knox can really threaten their safeties down the seam. Again what we did last week seems to be a template for this game there too.

 

Where do I think they favour the Chiefs:

 

1. Certainly since mid-season when Leonard Floyd cooled off the Bills pass rush has gone as Ed Oliver has gone. He has been critical. And the Chiefs interior OL - GCG - is about the best in the league. Our edge guys have the advantage on their tackles but they gotta show me they cab make it count.

 

This is where McD earns his status and proves to all of his skeptics that he's the one for the job. 

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

2. Their corners against our receivers. Sneed has had some success against Diggs before albeit at home where he might have got away with a holding call or two. But McDuffie inside will have a role against Shakir and potentially even on Kincaid and that is advantage them. If they can take Diggs and Kincaid away and try and make the Bills win with Sherfield, Knox and Shakir that becomes scary.

 

3. Depending on how healthy our second level is - so MLB, WLB, Nickel - I worry about Kelce, Pacheco and CEH there. They are really the guys they can rely on - especially the first two. If you guaranteed me we have Bernard, Dodson and Taron I worry less about this.

 

 

Pacheco did not play in our first game, but if we can limit him, then we should be fine.  He's a dual-threat.  Kelce's on the downward trend and Rice is a rookie, as mentioned.  Pacheco is key against our 15th Total Yards and 28th Yards-per-Carry against rushing D that quite frankly, hasn't faced much top-10 rushing competition, either from a team or a RB perspective.  Philly and Miami are the only two teams among the top-12 rushing teams that we've faced in YPG.  Fins 6th, Eagles 8th.  Neither are in the playoffs at this point.  As well, we've faced only two teams, the same two, ranked among the top-12 in Yards-per-Carry rushing.  

 

 

4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

It isn't about stats on what they have or haven't done against other teams or what we have or haven't done against other teams it is about the Xs and Os of how these two teams match up. That is the NFL. I think if we are healthy enough on defense (especially 2nd level) we have the advantage. But if we are banged up there then I definitely see a way the Chiefs score high 20s at least.

 

Perhaps not directly, but obviously stats have a lot to do with it.  The coaching staff is obviously using metrics, aka stats, to formulate their game-plan as we interact here.  

 

At the end of the day however, if we cannot hang at least what we did in KC in terms of rushing on them, here, in Buffalo, then it's time to have a more serious conversation about our coaching, particularly on offense. 

 

Also, Mahomes and the Chiefs are 7-0 when they have 266+ passing yards.  They've crossed the 300 passing yard mark only twice, against the Chargers and Bears, and neither of those two teams has a good defense.  Even banged up, ours is better.  Of those aforementioned teams, only one, Jax, finished with a winning record.  

 

So, at the end of the day, if Mahomes has a big passing D, and we cannot run effectively against them, then we'll be in the shallow end of the talent pool in terms of teams that failed to do so, and again, it will be time to have a more serious discussion re: our coaching.  

 

I'm expecting a 20 point victory by us.  

 

Finally, the thing that I've not seen a lot of mention of, is Davis in addressing your concerns about our passing game vs. their secondary.  Strangely, Davis has been our most consistent performer in the past two seasons' playoffs, obviously not including our last game since he didn't play.  

 

In his four playoff games otherwise, with 26 targets, 18 catches (69% Catch%), for 389 yards, and 6 TDs.  He posted two 100-yard games with 4 and 1 TDs, more than even Diggs.  He was the sole reason alongside Allen as to why we've won our only D-round matchup under McD. 

 

In those same four games, our other WRs collectively had 33 catches for 564 yards and 2 TDs, with a much lower aggregate catch %.  Those 2 TDs came from Sanders in '21 and Beasley last season.  No one currently on the roster as a WR has done much in the playoffs.  We can argue as to why, but that's a fact.  Diggs has had one good game in those four.  Last week our leading WR went 7 for 52, no TDs.  That was Diggs.  

 

I for one am curious as how it goes w/o Davis, but also why that is.  

 

48 hours from now we'll know more.  

 

GO BILLS!!!  

 

 

Edited January 20 by PBF81

[Saxum]

8 hours ago, longtimebillsfan said:

Not that difficult to predict.

 

We have seen that reaction after every loss this season.

 

Unfortunately the illness is not fatal and have them be reincarnated as Browns or Mijami fans.

[Comebackkid]

11 hours ago, KDIGGZ said:

Did Shnowman just take a shot at Britney (Josh's Ex)? They asked about Josh and he said "I don't know what's different but when he leaves his house and comes to work he's happy. Whatever it is, whether it's talking to his parents or talking to his girl, whatever it is, he's different now."

maybe its a shot at Dorsey

[Locomark]

23 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

 

Maybe they will bring in a coach that will practice on bye weeks?  That way the rest of the NFL knows were are serious about winning.

 

I am pretty sure the NFLPA has rules against what you are saying. The in season bye week is there for a reason. For player health. 

[Royale with Cheese]

4 hours ago, Locomark said:

I am pretty sure the NFLPA has rules against what you are saying. The in season bye week is there for a reason. For player health. 

I know.  I am just making fun of posters who were making statements that the Bills weren’t serious about winning because they weren’t practicing on their off week.

[3rdand12]

On 1/19/2024 at 7:51 AM, WhitewalkerInPhilly said:

Unfortunately yes. I know I was at that point midseason.

 

Now...now I look back at a defensive coach who had his top assistant walk away after it was too late to backfill. Who had an OC who was next man up and never developed the feel for situation playcalling that he had in 2020 and 2021. 

 

No matter how it ends, I want to see a year with whoever they run with as OC given a full offseason to install. I want the D to get an assistant at get healthy after a truly impressive spate of injuries. And then if we fall short again, then we have that talk.

I am going to change my thing from 3rdand12 (which is fairly negative)

 To , Post Dorsey

I quit the team

I stopped posting and tried to cancel.
 Now I see some light again.
Bandwagon  me ? maybe 

But i hated Dorsey and felt he ruined the team

 Brady might have made my point ?

 

Love Dion always