What is your gut telling you right now?

[SoonerBillsFan]

  On 1/18/2024 at 2:02 PM, teef said:

no idea why, but i feel perfectly fine for this game.  for whatever i was more on edge against pitt.  not that kc can't easily win, but the anxiety just isn't there.

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I'm with you teef. I'm just oddly calm about it.

[DC Greg]

We're going to win. It's our time, our year. I'm usually careful to say that, but I have a good feeling Josh and company get the job done.

[Doc Brown]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:10 PM, Warriorspikes51 said:

KC is 9-0-1 against the spread on the road since 2017

KC has been to 5 straight AFC Championship games

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  On 1/18/2024 at 7:29 PM, Doc Brown said:

They've only played 10 times on the road since 2017?    

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  On 1/18/2024 at 7:31 PM, Warriorspikes51 said:

Against the spread.... 

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They've played at least eight road games a season since 2017.  That's 56 games.  Do you mean as road dogs?

[Draconator]

Calm now. Will be in some angst Sunday at 6:25 pm

[Cvanvol7]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:39 PM, Doc Brown said:

 

 

They've played at least eight road games a season since 2017.  That's 56 games.  Do you mean as road dogs?

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Now I wanna know what he thinks the spread is....... 

[DrBob806]

  On 1/18/2024 at 6:34 PM, Patrick Fitzryan said:

The Bills did not lobby for that rule change. The Chiefs did, however, after losing to NE in overtime in 2018.

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change

 

Splitting hairs really. It was indeed implemented after the 13 seconds game fiasco. 

[DasNootz]

I think the crowd will be absolutely insane to start, like stadium of rabid dogs.  

[Cvanvol7]

Interestingly enough, this is only the 11th time Mahomes has ever been an underdog and the 2nd postseason game he has been an underdog. This is also the Largest spread he has seen as last years Super Bowl finished at Chiefs +1 or +1.5 

[FilthyBeast]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:45 PM, Cvanvol7 said:

Interestingly enough, this is only the 11th time Mahomes has ever been an underdog and the 2nd postseason game he has been an underdog. This is also the Largest spread he has seen as last years Super Bowl finished at Chiefs +1 or +1.5 

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As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there.

[Cvanvol7]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:48 PM, FilthyBeast said:

 

As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there.

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The Bills are also the last team to beat them as Underdogs and the only team to ever be favored in Arrowhead since Mahomes first three games of his career... 

[FilthyBeast]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:52 PM, Cvanvol7 said:

 

 

The Bills are also the last team to beat them as Underdogs and the only team to ever be favored in Arrowhead since Mahomes first three games of his career... 

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I'm well aware of that but I can tell you the Chiefs care about that as much as Allen winning 3 straight regular season games there....it's as meaningless as it gets.

 

This is also why I wish in some ways the Bills would have lost that game earlier this year, obviously wouldn't have won the division but they'd have a much better shot than trying to beat the Chiefs twice in the same season (regular + playoffs) which is something only Joe Burrow can hold claim too.

[Warriorspikes51]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:55 PM, FilthyBeast said:

 

I'm well aware of that but I can tell you the Chiefs care about that as much as Allen winning 3 straight regular season games there....it's as meaningless as it gets.

 

This is also why I wish in some ways the Bills would have lost that game earlier this year, obviously wouldn't have won the division but they'd have a much better shot than trying to beat the Chiefs twice in the same season (regular + playoffs) which is something only Joe Burrow can hold claim too.

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so we'd have been playing the Wild Card on the road.... no thanks 

[Doc Brown]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:41 PM, Cvanvol7 said:

Now I wanna know what he thinks the spread is....... 

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Mahomes is 8-1-1 ATS as an underdog which is the stat that scares me the most.  I'm not sure if that includes 2017 because he only started one game that year.

Edited January 18, 2024 by Doc Brown

[Miyagi-Do Karate]

For everyone who said they are calm, I look forward to your manic posts like 5 minutes into the game in the gameday thread. 

[Cvanvol7]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:57 PM, Doc Brown said:

Mahomes is 8-1-1 ATS as a road underdog which is the stat that scares me the most.  I'm not sure if that includes 2017 because he only started one game that year.

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That's actually total underdog in his career. 7-3 Straight up. Only losses to Brady, Goff (lol) and Allen. It does include 2017.  

[RyanC883]

I think our LBs will be fine.  We stop the KC running game.  We stop the passing game with our secondary (CBs also fine).  We come at KCs improved D with multiple looks like we did to PGH by running, using Kincaid, etc, and throw in some deep to Diggs, and we win by 7-10.  

[BullBuchanan]

I think whoever has the ball last wins.

[wppete]

Josh Allen is going to put on the performance of his career. Defense gets 3 turnovers. 

[FireChans]

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:48 PM, FilthyBeast said:

 

As if the Chiefs didn't need anymore motivation....especially after the Toney Offside call and everyone throwing out the 'Mahomes has never played a road playoff game' stuff despite the fact the Superbowl is a road game and he's 2-1 there.

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Superbowl is usually neutral site, not a road game. Tampa was the exception but that was Covid year where the stadium was nearly empty.

  On 1/18/2024 at 7:58 PM, Miyagi-Do Karate said:

For everyone who said they are calm, I look forward to your manic posts like 5 minutes into the game in the gameday thread. 

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That’s what the GDT is for! It should never be taken too seriously,

[Lfod]

My gut feeling was the team almost didnt make the playoffs and managed to win the division. I feel better about the situation than I did before that is for sure. 

 

I feel the Chiefs are not as strong as usual but if the Bills are not productive enough at stealing time and scoring points the Chiefs will take advantage of being allowed to hang around. 

 

If the Bills don't dominate and the score is close then I fear prevent defense and playing not to lose and will probably lose. 

 

The only team that can beat the Bills are themselves. 

Edited January 18, 2024 by Lfod