The not so farfetched way the Bills miss the playoffs

[QB Bills]

After playing around with the playoff simulator, there's a plausible way the Bills miss out that involves only one potential underdog having to win in a group of 8 games over the next two weeks.

 

Week 17

Bills over pats

Colts over Raiders

Jags over Panthers

Texans over Titans

Steelers over Seahawks

 

All the teams above are home favourites except for the Steelers who are a 3 pt underdog on the road

 

Week 18

Dolphins over Bills

Jags over Titans

Steelers over Ravens

 

Bills likely a small underdog next week. Jags on the road but will still be favoured. Steelers likely playing Ravens backups if Ravens win this week in Miami and will be favoured if so. 

 

Hopefully they take care of business in Miami so all of this is moot.

 

And before anyone asks, yes I'm fun at parties.

[Dan Darragh]

and a cheery morning to you too!

[GunnerBill]

I see almost no chance the Steelers win their last two. The Mason Rudolph story is the same each time. Comes in, cuts it loose and puts up some yards in his first outing, then it all crumbles around him and those yards turn into picks. But you are right it isn't totally home and hosed yet. 

[julian]

Actually far fetched 

[Mikie2times]

[Ray Stonada]

How probable would you say this is?

[Doc Brown]

Harbaugh got burned resting his starters in the season finale in 2019 after they clinched the one seed (ironically a win against the Steelers).  They came out flat in the divisional round. I don't think he makes that mistake again.

[gonzo1105]

A lot really rides on the AFC South teams and the Steelers 

Edited December 28, 2023 by gonzo1105

[Matt_In_NH]

Pick 8 NFL games any week and let me know when you get all 8.  It is possible, agree but the Bills playoff chances are >95% if they win vs NE.

[Bob Jones]

1 hour ago, Ray Stonada said:

How probable would you say this is?

Seems like it hinges on the Steelers. All of the other games seem very probable to have the outcomes he shows (other than Bills vs Fish…that one is a toss up), but having the Steelers win those last two games seems HIGHLY improbable. 😉

Edited December 28, 2023 by Bob Jones

[Ridgewaycynic2013]

23 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:

A lord dies really ride on the AFC South teams and the Steelers 

"Predictive Text Stole My Posting!  Film at 11!"

[strive_for_five_guy]

Really need Seahawks to win this week.  If Ravens beat Miami, they’re going to have nothing to play for against the Steelers in Week 18.

[gonzo1105]

9 minutes ago, Ridgewaycynic2013 said:

"Predictive Text Stole My Posting!  Film at 11!"

Half asleep posting for sure 

[Andrew Son]

2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I see almost no chance the Steelers win their last two. The Mason Rudolph story is the same each time. Comes in, cuts it loose and puts up some yards in his first outing, then it all crumbles around him and those yards turn into picks. But you are right it isn't totally home and hosed yet. 

Ravens may not be playing week 18

[dma0034]

Except Texans and Colts tie in the last week and boom Bills in the playoffs .

 

Bengals have to factor in too. They have Chiefs and Browns. Chiefs are beatable and Browns will have nothing to play for in week 18.

[GunnerBill]

3 minutes ago, SWATeam said:

Ravens may not be playing week 18

 

I still don't think the Steelers would beat them.

[eball]

2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

I see almost no chance the Steelers win their last two. The Mason Rudolph story is the same each time. Comes in, cuts it loose and puts up some yards in his first outing, then it all crumbles around him and those yards turn into picks. But you are right it isn't totally home and hosed yet. 

 

This.  The Steelers are absolutely awful.  Cincinnati’s run was due to end behind Browning, so the result last week was not shocking.  Seahawks are at home and fighting for their lives this week as well.

 

I get the BBFS and all, but Buffalo just needs to win out and let the chips fall where they may, going into the playoffs on a heater…

 

 

[Dan Darragh]

2 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

How probable would you say this is?

I would say 3% if we beat the Patriots. (Actually, that's not me saying it, it's the NY Times Playoff Machine, which is the only remaining valuable contribution of the NY Times to modern society.)

[4merper4mer]

2 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

How probable would you say this is?

Somewhat?

[NewEra]

I can see why you say “not so far fetched”.  I could see all of those things happening.  Just win and we won’t have to sweat.