SNF: Ravens at Jags

[Dr.Mantis_Toboggan]

Terry must have money on the Jags, no way they were overturning that…

[SageAgainstTheMachine]

Lawrence is an above average starter and he's made some steps forward this season but he's still not what you expect a 1st overall pick to look like in Year 3.

[sven233]

3 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Is there a path the Bills can get the 2 seed at 11-5?

Bills win out and win division 11-5

Chiefs drop 1 and finish 11-5

AFC South winner 10-6

 

Chiefs travel to Buffalo Divisional round … I think we could all get behind this 

 

 

 

 

We already have 6 losses..... so no.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

10 minutes ago, newcam2012 said:

Their remaining schedule is pretty easy. 

I watched the bucs play today and they can easily beat the jags…panthers id assume is a win for jax but then week 18 division game vs Tennessee you never know 

[Aussie Joe]

3 minutes ago, sven233 said:

 

We already have 6 losses..... so no.

Thanks Swede … 11-6 

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

4 minutes ago, sven233 said:

 

We already have 6 losses..... so no.

I think he meant 11-6 and 10-7 clearly lol 

[Punch]

7 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Is there a path the Bills can get the 2 seed at 11-6? 

Bills win out and win division 11-6

Chiefs drop 1 and finish 11-6

AFC South winner 10-7

 

Chiefs travel to Buffalo Divisional round … I think we could all get behind this 

 

 

 

It's possible, but the only scenarios that allow for that possibility align a little too close for comfort to the single 0.1% scenario where the Bills miss the postseason despite winning out.

[1onemangang7]

Jags win over Buffalo gives them the tie breaker, i think we'd rather they win the divison...

also 

That was an example where replay is ridiculous.  If youre not gonna use it right then why have it?   The call on the field is still the one they'll go with unless it's not the call they want. 

Edited December 18, 2023 by 1onemangang7
merged

[sven233]

3 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:

Thanks Swede … 11-6 

 

Ah.....I'm just messing with you.  I am just too focused on trying to find a way into the Playoffs let along finding a way to the #2 seed.

 

My main goal right now is winning the next 2 for sure and finding a way to make the week 18 game against the Dolphins only for the Division and not having to win just to get in.  I am not sure that is possible with all the teams at 8-6, with our terrible tie breaker record, and the remaining schedules of each team.  It looks more and more like that game will be needed just to make the Playoffs even with winning the next 2.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

29 minutes ago, Punch said:

It's possible, but the only scenarios that allow for that possibility align a little too close for comfort to the single 0.1% scenario where the Bills miss the postseason despite winning out.

Do they? AFC south leader at 10 wins completely blows up the bad scenario and for us to get the 2 Miami would have to dump one to Dallas or Baltimore which also blows up the bad scenario.  
 

the bad scenario is pretty much only caused by a huge logjam at 11 wins  which requires some weird stuff to happen like Baltimore winning just one non Miami game and Indy winning out lol 

 

Right now any of the following wins/losses guarantees us a playoff spot at 11 wins:

 

Any bengals loss

any colts loss

any jags loss

any ravens win

Miami losing to one of Dallas/Baltimore

Cleveland losing to Houston or the jets

 

 

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Generic_Bills_Fan

[Aussie Joe]

2 minutes ago, sven233 said:

 

Ah.....I'm just messing with you.  I am just too focused on trying to find a way into the Playoffs let along finding a way to the #2 seed.

 

My main goal right now is winning the next 2 for sure and finding a way to make the week 18 game against the Dolphins only for the Division and not having to win just to get in.  I am not sure that is possible with all the teams at 8-6, with our terrible tie breaker record, and the remaining schedules of each team.  It looks more and more like that game will be needed just to make the Playoffs even with winning the next 2.

I did make a dumb typo so fair enough …

 

Yes … the playoffs is the goal … and there is much more work to be done …

 

 

 

 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Aussie Joe

[Big Turk]

Ugh...that Ridley overturned TD likely sealed a loss for me in my fantasy playoff

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

14 minutes ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

Lawrence is an above average starter and he's made some steps forward this season but he's still not what you expect a 1st overall pick to look like in Year 3.

I think he’s playing hurt…some of those throws were just awful 

[Punch]

3 minutes ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

Do they? AFC south leader at 10 wins completely blows up the bad scenario and for us to get the 2 Miami would have to dump one to Dallas or Baltimore which also blows up the bad scenario.  
 

the bad scenario is pretty much only caused by a huge logjam at 11 wins  which requires some weird stuff to happen like Baltimore winning just one non Miami game and Indy winning out lol 

 

That's a good point, I was overly focused on what happens with Cincinnati.

 

There are a lot of confusing possibilities, probably a good idea to do a deep drive when I'm not in a late night, beer soaked, good vibes, post-game celebration mode.

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

1 hour ago, Punch said:

That's a good point, I was overly focused on what happens with Cincinnati.

 

There are a lot of confusing possibilities, probably a good idea to do a deep drive when I'm not in a late night, beer soaked, good vibes, post-game celebration mode.

I edited my post to add all the different stuff that could clinch us a spot with 11 wins and I’ll paste it here too:

 

Any bengals loss

any colts loss

any jags loss

any ravens win

Miami losing to one of Dallas/Baltimore

Cleveland losing to Houston or the jets

 

just need one of these many games to go our way 😂. There’s some overlap so I’m gonna try to count the total number of games that have to perfectly go against us to keep us out of the playoffs at 11 wins lol

looks like it’s 15 games all going against us after that ravens win that would keep us out at 11 wins 

Edited December 18, 2023 by Generic_Bills_Fan

[Beck Water]

Mitchell out for season.  Big loss for the Ravens, he's been playing very well

 

https://www.nfl.com/news/ravens-rookie-rb-keaton-mitchell-knee-likely-out-for-season

 

 

[Sherlock Holmes]

1 hour ago, sven233 said:

 

We already have 6 losses..... so no.

False...time machine

[Beck Water]

1 hour ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

I edited my post to add all the different stuff that could clinch us a spot with 11 wins and I’ll paste it here too:

 

Any bengals loss

any colts loss

any jags loss

any ravens win

Miami losing to one of Dallas/Baltimore

Cleveland losing to Houston or the jets

 

just need one of these many games to go our way 😂. There’s some overlap so I’m gonna try to count the total number of games that have to perfectly go against us to keep us out of the playoffs at 11 wins lol

looks like it’s 15 games all going against us after that ravens win that would keep us out at 11 wins 

 

What about at 10 wins?

 

1 hour ago, Dr.Mantis_Toboggan said:

Terry must have money on the Jags, no way they were overturning that…

 

Yeah I thought that was weird.  The precise second at which he "gained control of the ball" was difficult to tell because the ref blocked one angle, not the ref's fault but it is what it is.  It seemed entirely possible that the heel of his tucked-under foot or his butt was out by the time he really secured control of the catch.

Edited December 18, 2023 by Beck Water

[Seventeen]

Lawrence is in the concussion protocol according to Pederson.

[Mr. WEO]

Jags/Lawrence=posers...