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Posted
On 12/15/2023 at 12:37 PM, strive_for_five_guy said:


Dolphins could literally take the next three games off, and still win the division by just beating us.  Crazy every time I consider that.  We just gotta keep winning at this point.

Ill be happy if they take the next 3 games off, lets let that motivate us and the last game have meaning

Posted
2 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I'd go a step further - there is only an extremely narrow path for the Bills to make the playoffs without beating Miami. They can lose to Dallas and still make it in as a 10-7 team but the chances they lose to Miami and make it in as a 10-7 team with 6 AFC losses are very slim. 

Joe Marino explained the odds pretty well last week-

 

It was something like:

 

Lose to Dallas and win the next 3, you have about 70-75 percent of getting in.

 

Win against Dallas but lose one of the remaining 3 games after that, the bills would have about a 60-63 percent chance of making it

Posted
21 minutes ago, BillsFan130 said:

Joe Marino explained the odds pretty well last week-

 

It was something like:

 

Lose to Dallas and win the next 3, you have about 70-75 percent of getting in.

 

Win against Dallas but lose one of the remaining 3 games after that, the bills would have about a 60-63 percent chance of making it

Is this still true after the colts and bengals both picking up wins tho

Posted
On 12/16/2023 at 8:44 AM, Whites Bay said:

Long ways away, but if the Bills win out and the division title is on the line at that Dolphins game, they're going into Miami and they're going to commit assault.  I've not been more confident of an outcome all season.

 

As for the Dolphins-Jets...didn't the Dolphins lose their starting center last week?  And so some backup is blocking whom?  Quinnen Williams?  What on earth could go wrong for the Dolphins in that scenario?


But if they knock out Tua, we may have to face competent QB play 😁

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Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, JROC INTEL said:

Is this still true after the colts and bengals both picking up wins tho

According to the NYT simulator, yes it is. I messed with it last night and the Bills were about 80 percent odds of getting in at 3-1 except for the one loss being against Miami. That would drop their chances to around 60 percent.

 

Bottom line is no matter what happens today, we will almost certainly have to beat Miami in week 18.

Edited by buffblue
  • Like (+1) 2
Posted
14 minutes ago, JROC INTEL said:

Is this still true after the colts and bengals both picking up wins tho

That i am not sure.

 

This was before this week.

 

Colts game I believe didn't effect us because them or Pitts had to win/lose which helps and hurts us.

 

Bengals wasn't good.


But broncos losing last night was huge

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